TED-Eds Frog Riddle Is Wrong
TED-Ed presented a riddle last week based on a classic probability problem. However in the riddle there is a small and seemingly insignificant detail that changes the calculation. In this video I present the pertinent details of the frog riddle, explain its connection to the boy or girl paradox, and then do a detailed calculation of what I believe is the correct probability.\r
\r
TED-ED frog riddle: \r
\r
Blog post (another calculation if the probability a male frog croaks is p): \r
\r
Ron Niles made a video that shows the probability visually and explains an interpretation of a male frog croaking with probability p: \r
\r
If you like my videos, you can support me at Patreon: \r
\r
Connect on social media. I update each site when I have a new video or blog post, so you can follow me on whichever method is most convenient for you.\r
\r
My Blog: \r
Twitter: \r
Facebook: \r
Google+: \r
Pinterest: \r
Tumblr: \r
Instagram: \r
Patreon: \r
\r
Newsletter (sent about 2 times a year): \r
\r
My Books\r
\r
The Joy of Game Theory shows how you can use math to out-think your competition. (rated 4/5 stars on 23 reviews) \r
\r
The Irrationality Illusion: How To Make Smart Decisions And Overcome Bias is a handbook that explains the many ways we are biased about decision-making and offers techniques to make smart decisions. (rated 5/5 stars on 1 review) \r
\r
Math Puzzles Volume 1 features classic brain teasers and riddles with complete solutions for problems in counting, geometry, probability, and game theory. Volume 1 is rated 4.5/5 stars on 11 reviews. \r
\r
Math Puzzles Volume 2 is a sequel book with more great problems. \r
\r
Math Puzzles Volume 3 is the third in the . \r
\r
40 Paradoxes in Logic, Probability, and Game Theory contains thought-provoking and counter-intuitive results. (rated 4.9/5 stars on 7 reviews) \r
\r
The Best Mental Math Tricks teaches how you can look like a math genius by solving problems in your head (rated 4.7/5 stars on 3 reviews) \r
\r
Multiply Numbers By Drawing Lines This book is a reference guide for my video that has over 1 million views on a geometric method to multiply numbers. (rated 5/5 stars on 1 review)
\r
TED-ED frog riddle: \r
\r
Blog post (another calculation if the probability a male frog croaks is p): \r
\r
Ron Niles made a video that shows the probability visually and explains an interpretation of a male frog croaking with probability p: \r
\r
If you like my videos, you can support me at Patreon: \r
\r
Connect on social media. I update each site when I have a new video or blog post, so you can follow me on whichever method is most convenient for you.\r
\r
My Blog: \r
Twitter: \r
Facebook: \r
Google+: \r
Pinterest: \r
Tumblr: \r
Instagram: \r
Patreon: \r
\r
Newsletter (sent about 2 times a year): \r
\r
My Books\r
\r
The Joy of Game Theory shows how you can use math to out-think your competition. (rated 4/5 stars on 23 reviews) \r
\r
The Irrationality Illusion: How To Make Smart Decisions And Overcome Bias is a handbook that explains the many ways we are biased about decision-making and offers techniques to make smart decisions. (rated 5/5 stars on 1 review) \r
\r
Math Puzzles Volume 1 features classic brain teasers and riddles with complete solutions for problems in counting, geometry, probability, and game theory. Volume 1 is rated 4.5/5 stars on 11 reviews. \r
\r
Math Puzzles Volume 2 is a sequel book with more great problems. \r
\r
Math Puzzles Volume 3 is the third in the . \r
\r
40 Paradoxes in Logic, Probability, and Game Theory contains thought-provoking and counter-intuitive results. (rated 4.9/5 stars on 7 reviews) \r
\r
The Best Mental Math Tricks teaches how you can look like a math genius by solving problems in your head (rated 4.7/5 stars on 3 reviews) \r
\r
Multiply Numbers By Drawing Lines This book is a reference guide for my video that has over 1 million views on a geometric method to multiply numbers. (rated 5/5 stars on 1 review)
Category
📺
TV