s&p video.mp4

Transcript

00:00 Despite the many challenges we have seen, especially in 2023, such as the collapse of banks like Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank,

00:10 the US federal policy has succeeded in supporting the US financial markets in 2023.

00:18 In 2022, S&P 500 fell by 19% due to the rise in inflation, which caused investors to fear bankruptcy in 2022.

00:31 But in 2023, due to the US federal monetary policy, S&P 500 rose by 24% and will be traded at the highest level by the end of the year.

00:44 S&P 500 is only 27 points away from the highest level in January 2022.

00:54 This is also due to the US federal policy, which has raised the interest rate four times last year

01:01 by 100 points to reach a total of 525 points since the beginning of the interest rate increase in March 2022.

01:11 The market value of S&P 500 achieved an increase of $8.5 trillion last year to reach $42 trillion.

01:23 But the US federal policy also raised the interest rate four times in 2023 at 5.5 points, which is the highest level in 21 years.

01:35 But what does Buffett's indicator say? Buffett's indicator measures the market value of US stocks in terms of the overall local product.

01:44 If the number is higher than 100%, then there is an exaggeration in it.

01:49 But during the year 2023, Buffett's indicator measured the US stock market at 175%, which is an exaggeration,

01:58 and it is higher by about 44% of the average of US markets or the US market index in recent years.

02:10 What about the profit return? The profit return measures the price of the stock to the profit return of the stock.

02:17 Historically, the profit return has reached 24 times, and based on the latest financial results,

02:24 it indicates that in the future it will be close to 21.7 times.

02:32 Also, the technology stocks that were listed in 2023 were supported by S&P 500 indicators.

02:38 The most listed share is the Nvidia share, which rose by about 240%.

02:44 This is due to the impact of the revolution launched by GDPT in the late 2022 in the world of technology and artificial intelligence.

02:52 Also, Apple's share rose with the launch of the iPhone 15 and achieved the highest annual closing in its history,

02:58 and rose by about 50% in 2023.

03:03 Also, Meta's share rose with optimism in achieving the highest financial performance ever, and rose by about 194%.

03:12 But also, the US federal policy has achieved optimism in the markets,

03:19 and there are hopes to reduce the tightening of the monetary policy in 2023,

03:24 where the US federal policy has succeeded in slowing the growth rate from 6% in January to 3% in November,

03:33 and the interest rate in March 2024 rose by 72%.

03:38 Now, the markets expect a decrease in interest rates in 2024 by about 150 points.

03:45 Also, the US federal policy has succeeded in reducing the fear of recession,

03:49 and there was a rise in the overall local product in the third quarter by about 5%.

03:56 Now, the markets expect the overall local product to rise in the fourth quarter and also in 2023.

04:04 So, this was the performance of S&P 500 indicators in 2023.