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00:00 Josh Allen, 227 and a half passing yards, 227 and a half through the air over or under
00:11 for Josh Allen.
00:12 Yeah.
00:13 Josh Allen was the guy we loved last week.
00:15 Now this week he's going up against the fourth ranked pass defense, right?
00:19 So a little bit different.
00:20 It's not like you're going up against Pittsburgh, who was a sieve and didn't have TJ Watt rushing
00:24 the quarterback.
00:25 And that's why we love Josh Allen last week.
00:26 Cause if you don't put pressure on Josh Allen, Josh Allen can sit in the pocket, make throws,
00:32 go run a mock.
00:33 That's basically what he did.
00:34 I mean, Josh Allen only threw for 200 yards last week, but he also ran for 74.
00:38 Yeah.
00:39 That one 50 yarder, it was really low putting things up.
00:41 This is a number two that I think is again, if you look back last time against Kansas
00:45 city, he went for two 33 and this one was on the road.
00:49 Conditions are a little bit different here in this one to two 27 and a half.
00:52 I think it's a spot on number.
00:54 I stay away from this number because I think it's right on.
00:56 I think the rushing equity that Josh Allen brings and also the mistakes that Josh Allen
01:03 can bring in big games when he is rushed, when he doesn't have the time of the pocket,
01:09 that's a very different set of circumstances.
01:11 Last week, no picks the week before two picks, you know, he's at four interceptions in his
01:17 last three games leading into the playoffs.
01:19 So there's a lot to unpack here because every time you throw an interception, you're taking
01:25 away that opportunity to hit this total and you're taking the ball out of your offense's
01:30 hands and you're taking away chances.
01:31 And that's the thing that worries me a little bit here.
01:33 Look, Josh Allen, again, all the credit in the world to him.
01:37 He's put the team on his back.
01:38 He's carried them.
01:39 It's been a tough season for the Buffalo bills emotionally, physically, they've gone through
01:43 the ringer.
01:44 They had a big win last week.
01:45 They had to move the playoff game.
01:47 Just a lot.
01:48 The Buffalo bills have dealt with a lot, but I think this number right here is so spot
01:51 on if anything, I mean, no, it sounds crazy, but I might lean towards the under because
01:56 also no Gabe Davis in this game to Stefan Diggs has not been good down the stretch.
02:00 So really you're looking at Dalton Kincaid, Khalil Shakir, James Cook.
02:04 Like it really hasn't gotten done, you know, for the most part.
02:09 So I think you lean towards the under of anything here, but to me, this number is a stay away.
02:13 There is a number attached with Josh Allen.
02:15 I like a little bit more.
02:16 We'll get to that I'm sure in a second, but I think that's my personal take on this one.
02:20 Anytime touchdown score for him.
02:23 That's a different situation.
02:25 Obviously when it comes to Josh Allen, you're going to get minus one 10 on him right now
02:29 on places like fan dual.
02:31 That's a better bet for me than trying to screw around with this because Josh Allen
02:36 not getting in the end zone today is a little bit more unlikely than him necessarily reaching
02:41 or going over this passing total today.
02:46 (upbeat music)