• 8 months ago
Shares of Netflix soared 10% after Atlantic Equities upgraded the stock. Netflix is still down 60% this year.

Dan says Netflix looks like it's ready to party. He said the very thing that took the stock down could take the stock back up.

Guy says the move down to $180 was hair raising, but it was the first time you could buy Netflix at a market valuation.
Transcript
00:00 Shares of Netflix soaring nearly 10% today.
00:02 It was the second best performing stock in the S&P.
00:05 The move comes after Atlantic Equities upgraded the name to an overweight.
00:08 It's our call of the day.
00:09 Analysts saying that the launch of an ad supported tier later this year could boost the streamer's
00:13 share price back over 280.
00:15 That's a jump of nearly 40 bucks from today's close.
00:18 Quick reminder, Netflix is still down 60% this year.
00:22 And to boot, Carter Braxton Worth of Worth Charting sent out a note today with a number
00:26 of charts for them, I believe, saying, "It's a buy here."
00:29 So you got these two things going down.
00:31 I mean, some of us would say it looks like it's ready to party.
00:34 I mean, there's some huge gaps in this thing.
00:36 You know, I mean, the news has not been particularly great.
00:38 It showed really good relative strength to the market when it was selling off in August.
00:42 And again, there's this huge catalyst.
00:44 I mean, the very thing that kind of took the stock down, it could be the very thing if
00:48 they get right, will take it, you know, one step at a time to fill in those gaps.
00:52 I think that we have really had a hard time saying that Netflix looks reasonable on a
00:56 valuation basis for a very long time, as long as we've been doing this show.
01:00 Value Lady bought it right over the summer when it was in the hole.
01:03 Like one share?
01:04 Well, I bought the one share by accident, and then I added after that, remember, the
01:08 crown?
01:09 Yeah.
01:10 So it bought on the crown, only got filled on one share, bought some more.
01:13 I mean, the valuation has come in, and I think that just, you know, when they missed twice,
01:18 it was really the second miss that did them in.
01:21 And all that momentum for whatever, it was a 600-plus stock, they just bailed out at
01:25 any price, no matter what.
01:27 That's an interesting dynamic to me.
01:29 700 print, actually, which is remarkable if you think about it.
01:32 We all probably, well, I shouldn't say, I know I loved it then, too.
01:35 So the move down to 180 or so was just hair-raising, but we actually all said at the time, it was
01:41 the first time maybe ever you were able to buy Netflix at a market valuation.
01:45 Even with the move, it's only trading at 23 times next year's numbers, which is reasonable.
01:50 So 285, given, again, it doesn't matter where we are, but in terms of valuation, it's not
01:55 unreasonable for the stock.
01:56 So CBW likes it, Dan and Karen like it, Courtney probably digs it.
02:00 Stranger Things, by the way, tremendous.
02:03 You've seen it?
02:04 I thought you didn't know how to stream anything.
02:05 No, I get people, you know, I don't understand.
02:08 You got people for that?
02:09 Well, I don't have people for that.
02:10 You've got Lily.
02:11 I have kids, but they help me.
02:12 But I can tell you, Winona Ryder, badass, digger.
02:15 I mean, this has done more for her career than Beetlejuice.
02:18 Remember that?
02:19 No.
02:20 There you go.
02:21 Courtney, do you dig Netflix, as Guy put it?
02:22 Yeah, and I think as long as you're assuming that they can hit these numbers, this does
02:26 look very attractive because their whole issue is that they're kind of stalling out with
02:30 customers.
02:31 But if we're in this period now where maybe people are having to cut their expenses, they're
02:35 coming out with an ad support tier to say, OK, you don't have to cancel Netflix, just
02:37 get the lower subscription and we get ad revenue out of it.
02:41 It's kind of a win-win for everyone, which is really interesting with Netflix.

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