التوترات الأمنية في الشرق الأوسط تلقي بثقلها على الاقتصاد اللبناني
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00:00 "The risks to the Lebanese economy are increasing as security tensions in the Middle East and
00:08 the latest Iranian attack on Israel are rising.
00:10 Lebanon's devastating economic implications as a result of the war in the south and the
00:16 serious damage and losses of more than two billion dollars on the level of homes, agricultural
00:22 lands and infrastructure, and the displacement of more than 120,000 people, are increasing
00:27 and the expansion of the battle line of labor is threatening the Lebanese economy, which
00:32 suffers from a inflation rate of more than 220%, which will be affected by the rise in oil, gas, and raw materials prices, and therefore the rise in shipping, insurance prices, and others."
00:44 "In fact, there are two direct impacts. The first is that we are suffering during the war with Israel in the southern areas, with all its economic implications on agriculture and tourism.
00:53 There are also indirect implications, which are the impact of the Iranian attack on Israel
00:59 by the departure of all tourists and Lebanese immigrants to Lebanese lands, the increase in
01:04 the pressure on the dollar exchange rate, the fear of the impact of the problems, the suspension
01:08 of the summer of 2024 due to the fear of tourists from coming to Lebanon, and of course there
01:13 is a possibility of rising oil prices, especially if the situation in the Hermouz region develops,
01:18 which will cause the rise in the oil import price on Lebanon, the increase in electricity
01:23 problems, and the increase in all costs on Lebanese people, if Lebanon is not economically isolated
01:29 due to the sea and the weather in the coming days, if things develop."
01:33 So, according to experts, the negative indicators are more of a close economic future,
01:38 which is reflected in the various sectors that are trying to get out of the biggest economic crisis they have been in.
01:44 In its report, the tourism sector, the rate of the airport movement was about 20% compared
01:49 to last year, in addition to the rate of foreign investments of more than 40%.
01:55 "Lebanon is currently in an open war, and this has greatly affected the economy, meaning
02:00 that it has affected the tourism movement and travel.
02:03 The holiday season and the New Year's Eve began, and therefore it was greatly affected,
02:07 and the holidays were extended, and now it looks like a summer season, and therefore it
02:11 is a summer season, and tourism is about 20% of the Lebanese economy, and therefore any
02:15 weakness in tourism affects the entire economy."
02:18 "The conflict has expanded, and here we are talking about destruction, and who will rebuild
02:22 under it? In the previous war, companies had money, and you could tell the employees
02:27 to stay at home and I will give you your salaries until the war is over.
02:31 Today, companies are going through a crisis, their money is in banknotes, and therefore
02:35 they are not able to pay their employees.
02:37 People will have a very bad situation in the event that they are unable to work and
02:41 they go to work because of the war."
02:43 The national result for Lebanon recorded about 22 billion dollars annually, or about
02:47 60 million dollars per day.
02:49 However, the soldiers who were killed due to security tensions, reduced by 10%, or
02:55 about 6 million dollars per day over six months.
02:59 And the continuation of the situation as it is or its deterioration means that the Lebanese
03:03 economy and its citizens are in danger.
03:06 Lebanon's security is linked to the days and weeks ahead of military confrontations,
03:12 which are also a sign of internal political tensions and the divisions that will delay
03:18 the reforms to advance the country again.
03:21 Elena Mrat, CNBC Arabia, Beirut.