IHSG melejit 1,15% ke level 7.165,2 sesi I, Rabu (15/5/2024). Sektor barang baku melonjak tajam 1,71% di kontribusi oleh saham Group Prajogo Pangestu kompak menguat signifikan dan kembali menembus New All Time Hight. TPIA New ATH di Rp9.300, BREN Rp10.450, PTRO Rp.8250. Sektor Keuangan +0,63% dengan BMRI +2,42%, BBRI +2,11%, BBNI +1,93%.
Dari global, Bursa ekuitas Wall Street menghijau, Selasa, dengan Nasdaq mencetak rekor penutupan tertinggi sepanjang masa, ketika Chairman The Fed Jerome Powell meyakinkan investor setelah mencerna data indeks harga produsen dan menunggu laporan penting inflasi konsumen, Rabu.
Dari global, Bursa ekuitas Wall Street menghijau, Selasa, dengan Nasdaq mencetak rekor penutupan tertinggi sepanjang masa, ketika Chairman The Fed Jerome Powell meyakinkan investor setelah mencerna data indeks harga produsen dan menunggu laporan penting inflasi konsumen, Rabu.
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TVTranscript
00:00Thank you for joining us, and in this segment, we will review how the trade has been going throughout the day
00:06in the middle of the gas industry, Samkabunga has experienced significant strength and tried again
00:10technically trying to approach the level of 7200. And we remind you, you can still join our interactive WhatsApp
00:17at 0812-8788-3723, as shown on your television screen later.
00:24And right now, we are connected through Zoom with Mr. Filip Jeremy, Financial Educator and Technical Analyst at Sukorsekuritas.
00:31We will go straight to Mr. Filip. Good afternoon, how are you, sir?
00:35Good afternoon, Mr. David. How are you, Mr. David and the entire IDX Channel team?
00:39Good afternoon, Mr. Filip. Thank you for taking the time on IDX Channel.
00:42And it looks like the good news is also coming from the Samkabungan gas industry.
00:45It's been quite a while, the IHSG has not strengthened significantly, especially above 1%.
00:50Today, technically, it tried to approach the level of 7200, Mr. Filip.
00:56In the last few weeks, the range of movement from the Samkabungan gas industry was not too wide, 7100.
01:02It went back below the level of 7100, then it went up again alternately from the trade in the last few days.
01:09But today, the movement is quite okay, the increase is also quite significant.
01:13Has this passed the resistance level to take a much higher step back, Mr. Filip?
01:18Yes, if we look at it technically, it's not yet.
01:22To take a step further, the most important area that needs to be noted,
01:26for us to pay attention, there is a breakout that goes to the 7400 time high area,
01:30it is at the number 7243.
01:34Well, there, if we pay attention, there is indeed a large breakout with a fairly high volume.
01:39There, we can see that there is potential to return to the time high area.
01:43However, so far, for today's increase, if we pay attention,
01:46it is indeed because it has touched the level of 7000 yesterday,
01:497030, where it became a level of support,
01:52so automatically, indeed, outside of the fact that we are flooded with some positive sentiments today,
01:58it is also quite normal to experience a technical rebound.
02:02Okay, in the short term, where is it going, Mr. Filip?
02:05After the release of the US producer inflation data last night,
02:09this is quite neglected by the Samkabungan gas industry.
02:12Well, later tonight, at 7.30 p.m. WEST INDIAN TIME,
02:15the US will also release this consumer inflation data, sir.
02:18Will this not affect, or are we still waiting for the update,
02:24whether the data will be released, or maybe these investors
02:27have been subject to the last statement from Ciram Powell,
02:30regardless of the function or data from inflation,
02:34if it is still in the normal range,
02:37the Fed will not increase the rate of inflation in the near future.
02:43Yes, maybe what is more important is,
02:45actually we follow the inflation data so that we can know,
02:48whether the rate of inflation will be increased or decreased.
02:51Well, based on the statement from Ciram Powell,
02:53we do notice that this rate of inflation will be enough to be maintained in 2024.
02:58Because the market expectations for this year are actually reduced.
03:01But because the inflation, the movement is still not too big,
03:05yesterday there was inflation due to the increase in oil prices,
03:08we do notice that this rate of inflation will be maintained.
03:11So, the news about consumer inflation
03:13will not be too sensitive to the movement of the ISG,
03:16unless there is a direct statement from the Fed,
03:19which does state that the rate of inflation will be reduced,
03:21so it is more of a wait-and-see.
03:23Okay, short and medium term, where is the direction of the ISG, Mr. Philip,
03:27with the projections that you have mentioned earlier?
03:29Okay, short term, I expect,
03:31in the short term, the movement is still quite limited.
03:34Tomorrow, it is likely to continue strengthening to the price of Rp 7,243,
03:39the resistance level that I have mentioned earlier.
03:42The lowest level, the lowest point,
03:44most likely will not be below the support level of Rp 7,100,
03:48the movement will still be above Rp 7,100,
03:51so the movement is likely to be quite limited.
03:53For the medium term, we will notice that the ISG is still quite sideways.
03:57Because even today, we can see,
03:59some of the companies that are experiencing strengthening,
04:01that support the strengthening of the ISG,
04:03all of them will increase in a quite news-like manner.
04:06We can see that the economy is consistent,
04:09the economy is good, and it is strengthening at the same time,
04:12so we can see that the movement is still quite limited.
04:15Okay, SAMSAM from Rayogopengestu Group,
04:17it seems that today is quite dominant, Mr. Philip.
04:20It has been quite a long time,
04:22this incident can be repeated
04:24when before, SAMSAM from Rayogopengestu Group
04:26was more likely to experience this pressure.
04:28There is TPIA, Nul Atim Hike today,
04:30the brand also broke through to the highest level,
04:32PTRO also broke through to the highest level,
04:34intraday throughout the period.
04:36How do you see this condition and position, Mr. Philip?
04:41Okay, we have to pay attention to a few things,
04:44from the strengthening of these Rayogopengestu Groups.
04:48First, maybe we can discuss the BRPT first.
04:51Today, the BRPT also strengthens at around 7.29%.
04:55However, it should be noted that the BRPT,
04:58the long-term correction movement
05:00from the end of last year,
05:02so from the price of Rp1,920,000,
05:04now the correction,
05:05this is a lot of potential,
05:07it's called a technical rebound.
05:09So this is only a technical rebound,
05:11it should be considered,
05:13there is a potential for a reversal,
05:15but there are a lot of technical rebounds
05:17after a long correction.
05:19So after a long correction,
05:21of course the stock will not continue to go down,
05:23but it will definitely experience a price fluctuation.
05:26This is the situation today,
05:28because as we can see,
05:29the shape of the chart has not yet broken out from any area,
05:32even though today there is a big strengthening.
05:35Except for the PTRO,
05:37we do notice a significant increase in PTRO,
05:40very, very high today,
05:42around 19%.
05:44Especially after the ex-dividend,
05:46but after the dividend distribution,
05:48this is also a bit surprising,
05:50because after the ex-dividend,
05:52it still continues to strengthen,
05:54so in my opinion,
05:55we have to be more cautious.
05:57First, after the stock went up,
05:59the tendency for correction is greater.
06:01Second, if we pay attention,
06:03the volume is not too large.
06:05If we look at the volume,
06:07from the increase in the percentage
06:09compared to the volume,
06:11it is not too large,
06:13so it is still prone to correction.
06:15Okay, let's go to BRPT, Mr. Philip,
06:17support and resistance,
06:19and also your recommendation.
06:21Okay, for BRPT,
06:24we round it to 1,000
06:26for the support area.
06:28The first resistance is 1,070
06:30and the second resistance is 1,125.
06:32If the break is 1,125,
06:34it will be confirmed
06:36to be a reversal, like that.
06:38Okay, for TPIA.
06:42Okay, for TPIA,
06:44the TPIA chart is also very high,
06:47experiencing an all-time high for TPIA.
06:50This is not recommended for entry,
06:52especially the formation of today's candles.
06:55The formation of the last three candles,
06:57we see a doji-doji
06:59and a thick green candle.
07:01Quite concerning because it is still too high.
07:03If you want entry, the support level
07:05is around 7,700,
07:07which is still quite far.
07:10Is the recommendation the same for the brand,
07:12Mr. Philip?
07:15Okay, for the brand, yes.
07:18Yes, for the brand, the brand is the same.
07:20The brand must be more vigilant.
07:22There is a tendency for correction.
07:24Especially if we look at the shadow
07:26or the upper shadow of today's candle brand.
07:28It's high, quite big, at 10,350.
07:30Most likely, this will be tested
07:32at a price of around
07:34maybe below 8,000,
07:36based on the trend movement.
07:38Because this usually rises too fast,
07:40usually the decline is also quite deep.
07:42It means it is prone to profit-taking, sir?
07:44Investors will also do
07:46profit-taking to trade tomorrow
07:48and not yet recommended
07:50to enter this far.
07:52There is the TPIA brand,
07:54then there is also the PTRO earlier,
07:56which today reached the highest level of intraday
07:58over time. And again,
08:00the decision to invest is still in the hands of
08:02the IDA channel. From Samsam Group,
08:04Rayogo, Pangestu, Mr. Philip,
08:06we switch to banking,
08:08even though the movement is not as calm
08:10as BBRI and BMRI,
08:12which today experienced a significant
08:14strengthening, it seems.
08:16Let's go to BBRI first, Mr. Philip.
08:18Yes, if we look at it,
08:20this is a bit of a change, the movement.
08:22Several times, the BBCA was strong yesterday,
08:24now it's the turn of the BRI, which is strong.
08:26But this BRI is really
08:28can be monitored for friends
08:30who watch today. The price is now
08:324,800,
08:34below 5,000, it's already very cheap.
08:36Friends, if you want to buy,
08:38you can buy now.
08:40Support level area at 4,650.
08:42Minimum target to 5,300
08:44for the BBRI.
08:46Okay, for Bang Mandiri, sir,
08:48today the highest seems to be
08:502.82%, 6,375.
08:54Yes, Bang Mandiri is also the same,
08:56there is an uptrend pattern
08:58formed from this BMRI,
09:00after forming a double top
09:02in March and also in February.
09:04Then a big correction
09:06up to 6,150
09:08where it becomes a strong support level area.
09:10So 6,150
09:12below the price of 6,500
09:14you can buy. Support level area 6,150.
09:16The closest target is
09:186,50 and to the price of
09:207,075.
09:22Okay, when earlier
09:24the shares of the Rayo Gopeng S2 group
09:26you haven't recommended yet,
09:28then also not supported from the volume
09:30and it is likely that there will be a profit taking.
09:32How about the shares of the Big Cap bank,
09:34some of its shares today also
09:36experienced significant strength, Mr. Filip?
09:38Yes, for Big Cap,
09:40because some of them experienced significant strength,
09:42we can use this as a confirmation
09:44for buying.
09:46So if we wait,
09:48usually a Doji candle will come out,
09:50then when the green candle comes out, we buy.
09:52For the banks themselves,
09:54this can be a signal for buying,
09:56but with notes, you are better
09:58to do dollar cost averaging than lump sum.
10:00So we buy it,
10:02if it goes down,
10:04so we still have capital to
10:06enter again at a lower price.
10:08But still not, Mr. Filip,
10:10the strength that happened to some Big Cap banks,
10:12at least not to change
10:14the trend pattern in the short term?
10:16Yes, for the short term,
10:18it has been confirmed,
10:20maybe between 1-2 months
10:22there will be a reversal,
10:24but for the long term, it is quite far
10:26correction from Big Cap.
10:28So for the short term, it has been confirmed,
10:30for the long term, we still have to
10:32wait and see, that's why we buy it.
10:34Okay, the analysis from
10:36the Big Cap banks that today also accompanied
10:38the Samkabungan family,
10:40so that it experienced a strength above 1%
10:42and again tried to approach the level
10:44at around 7,200.