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00:00 The most significant numbers this week are the US inflation numbers, which came less than expected,
00:09 and despite the signs we had this week, it was a high probability that we would be surprised negatively.
00:20 The US inflation numbers came at 0.3% monthly, either for the CPI indicator or the main one, which excludes food and energy prices.
00:32 If we look at the annual numbers, the CPI numbers came at 3.4%, as expected, this is the annual reading.
00:41 And for the core numbers, they also came positive.
00:45 The question today is not only about these numbers, but it is also about some of the elements we were observing,
00:53 which are related to housing and energy prices.
00:56 First, for the shelter, which represents about a third of the CPI indicator,
01:02 the housing prices rose by 0.4% monthly.
01:07 The problem is that these are the same numbers we had monthly for the past three or four months.
01:14 This indicates a high level of stickiness in the inflation in housing prices.
01:19 The other component is related to energy prices, which rose by 1.1% monthly,
01:27 and gasoline prices rose by 2.8%, which is a very high rise.
01:34 The problem is specifically for housing,
01:37 because today, according to many economists, the US federal government should not start lowering interest rates
01:44 before making sure that it is specifically for housing elements.
01:47 We started seeing a decline in inflation numbers.