Venezuela, electoral polls results spark debates on veracity

teleSUR English

*Polls are offering dissimilar results with ample margins *Polling firms seem unreliable for presidential election *Polls results encourage triumphalist scenarios from the opposition

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00:00In Venezuela, dozens of electoral polls have provoked a debate due to their dissimilar

00:05results and the discovery that many of them turn out to be false.

00:08We analyzed these instruments in the following report by our correspondent, Leonel Retamal.

00:15In the streets of Caracas, there is no common opinion on the electoral polls.

00:19I don't trust those things very much, but it's better to go with what you think is best.

00:24The vote is one's own.

00:27In Venezuela the polls are offering very dissimilar results, and in some cases with such wide

00:32margins that they seem unreal compared to previous instances.

00:36So what role are they playing?

00:39The actual electoral participation is the one that ends up defining the result and not

00:43the intention to vote.

00:47Because the intention to vote is a declaration of sympathy, a declaration of leaning towards

00:51a candidate, but it does not mean that the voter actually manages to put the vote in

00:55the ballot box.

00:57There is a very important distance between one act and the other.

01:02In private uses, polling firms provide reliable information for economic or institutional

01:06decisions, but those that are being circulated do not seem reliable for presidential election

01:10predictions.

01:13The polls have no more importance or validity than what the public opinion gives them.

01:18What we are witnessing is the search to manage a climate in which the opposition has more

01:21opportunities than it really has.

01:24In this sense, there is the issue of the polls, also the issue of the use of bots in

01:28social networks.

01:32These are the same pollsters that have referred to supposed levels of rejection of 70-80%

01:37of the population against President Maduro when in reality these expressions have not

01:41been reflected in the electoral results.

01:44This means that there is a very important accumulation of failed polls that have resulted

01:47in failed predictions.

01:50The results have created scenarios of triumphalism for the opposition, as in previous occasions,

01:55some spokespersons would practically ignore the election result.

01:58This strategy hides an objective.

02:02In Venezuela, we are also in a very delicate period, a seditious one, in the search to

02:07disregard the electoral result.

02:10And one of the proofs to disregard, in quotation marks, that electoral result, may be the use

02:15of this type of polls that deceive the electorate with such a wide difference of votes for the

02:20candidates.

02:22Polls are an instrument that is always being put to the test as forecaster of elections.

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