TheMeyersReport_07_12_2024_Fast_15

  • 3 months ago
The Meyers Report 7-12-2027 Fast 15
Transcript
00:00Good morning. Welcome to the Myers report. Friday, fast 15. It is July 12th.
00:15Two leading topics that I want to bring up today. One is Coeur d'Alene, Idaho is now making it
00:23against the law to have improper thoughts. They're making thought thoughts.
00:29Thoughts like thinking, like thinking? Very much like thinking. They're taking
00:35existing crimes. They just passed, it was, I believe, a unanimous vote with the city council.
00:42What are the penalties? Because we're all going to be guilty. Oh yeah, especially me.
00:49Well, what they're saying is, if there's an assault and battery, that's a crime.
00:56But they're saying is, if you were thinking bad thoughts vis-a-vis, if you're thinking that
01:03it's racially motivated, that you're beating up somebody because you don't like their race or
01:09their religion, that's a separate crime. So all they want is heaven on earth, right?
01:15And they're going to legislate this? That's crazy. Let's move on.
01:21Yes, it is. God help us all if impure thoughts become a crime unto themselves.
01:29As an update on Iran, after the elections, they had a change in presidents. They now have a
01:36moderate Masoud Pazekian. I think I'm pronouncing it right. Here's what's going on. Iran wants
01:47to have more normalization with the West, particularly the United States.
01:50They have an 85-year-old Ayatollah who they think was going to be dead 10 years ago,
01:58but he's still there. But the point is, the Revolutionary Guard have made themselves
02:03fabulously wealthy, and they want normalization with the West because they want to keep their
02:09wealth and their power. And the only way to do that is to try and make life a little better
02:15for everyone else, lest they get thrown under the bus or get run over by the mobs like the
02:23Shah did. So they need normalization. And one of the things that's going to be happening,
02:29came out from our own discussion the other night, is that there will probably be peace
02:35in the Middle East. They're going to use the atomic weapons, the nuclear weapons treaty,
02:42and peace with Israel and Hamas and Hezbollah as a bargaining chip to achieve normalization.
02:50So we're going to make a forecast that by January 20th of 2025, assuming Trump gets in,
02:58there will be peace in the Middle East. But they're not the only ones, because there are
03:04other countries throughout the world that are trouble spots that are waiting to negotiate with
03:09the new president. And interestingly enough, Orban, the president of Hungary, who is now the
03:16president of the EU, left the NATO conference to go visit Trump in Florida. So this is becoming
03:25a very real thing. And I think we're going to wind up being seeing a peace dividend,
03:30and we'll have peace, hopefully. Don, there's a geopolitical question that's been,
03:37that the Washington Times was covering. And that is that the U.S. has formed a pact with
03:42Canada and Finland. They're combining their icebreaker fleets, construction capacity,
03:48because there's greater competition with Russia that's making a lot of, doing a lot of work in
03:57the Arctic. So the question is, they're doing this because the polar ice cap is supposedly shrinking.
04:03Is it true? And if so, why? The answer is no. In fact, what I'm showing you here is the Arctic
04:10ice extent as of late June. Can you make that a little bigger, please? Yeah, I certainly can.
04:16Let's see. There we go. So they've got it wrong. The ice cap is not shrinking. Yeah. And I believe
04:22it was the Washington Times, which is the absolute worst source of climate information you can ever
04:28go to. But this is the current ice extent as of late June of this year. If we were to compare
04:3618 years ago, it's higher now than it was almost 20 years ago. Okay. So the white is the extent,
04:43green is where it's grown, red is where there's less. So you can basically see it's averaged
04:48itself out. There's plenty of ice in the Arctic. And if you look at the trends so far this year,
04:55this is the Arctic ice mass going back in time. The solid line here is the average. 2024 is right
05:02on the average. So what they're using is old data from probably 2012 when there was
05:10lower Arctic ice. But the thing that people don't realize about the Arctic is that yes,
05:17the Arctic is warmer, but it's warmer in the winter. Summer temperatures haven't changed in
05:23the Arctic. So basically what that means is you're not getting the Arctic melting like the
05:29predictions were because instead of it being 39 below in the Arctic in the winter, it's 38 below.
05:36And in the summer- You're talking about Fahrenheit.
05:38Yeah, Fahrenheit. So you're not losing the ice because the summers haven't changed.
05:43It's the winters that are a little warmer, but you're not melting ice in the winter.
05:48So the premise that there's less Arctic ice or that the- This is probably the worst prediction
05:55of all climate change predictions is that the Arctic ice caps would disappear. I believe
06:00there's been four predictions, failed predictions of the Arctic ice disappearing,
06:04and this will be another one. So the story doesn't stand up in terms of reality.
06:11So basically, why is it- Well, first off, a one-degree variation in the winter,
06:20that's not particularly meaningful, is it? That's right. That's why the ice caps are still there.
06:24Yeah. Instead of freezing to death at 39 below, you would freeze to death at 38 below zero.
06:32That's the kind of stuff that I deal with all the time when you look at the data. Is it
06:36the data just doesn't support what the predictions are or what you're being told.
06:41Okay. Don, how bad was Hurricane Barrow and what are the after effects?
06:47Well, it caused a lot of damage. It came in as a low-end Category 2. So it wasn't terribly-
06:56a very large or big hurricane, but it intensified right as it reached the Texas coast. And it went
07:02through some very populated areas. And that's the thing with these hurricanes and tropical storms,
07:07a Category 1 or 2 now, if it hits the right location, can cause a lot of damage because
07:16we keep building and putting people in the paths of these hurricanes. So just a Category 1 or 2,
07:22which, you know, every hurricane's bad, but it wasn't off-the-rails intense hurricane like
07:28the Texas coast has seen before, but it went through-
07:31Don, does this explain why all these people say that we're having more hurricanes and they're
07:37doing more damage? If you look at the damage, that may be true. If you look at the power of
07:42the hurricanes or the number of them, it's not necessarily true.
07:46Right. Number one, hurricanes have not increased in number. The data doesn't show that. Number two,
07:52hurricanes have not increased in intensity, but it's not necessarily true.
07:57Intensity, but to your point, the increased population, the cost of rebuilding, you know,
08:06you're hearing a lot of insurance companies raising rates, blaming climate change, but
08:12there's a Dr. Roger Pilkey, who's a environmental scientist and political scientist crunched the
08:20numbers. If you include inflation and you normalize losses due to extreme weather in the
08:26last 30 years, it's not because of an increase in extreme weather, it's because of the other
08:33factors. Inflation, population, you know, building buildings. I mean, Moore, Oklahoma is a good
08:39example. Moore, Oklahoma is ground zero for tornadoes. And, you know, the population of
08:46Moore, Oklahoma 30 years ago was about 30,000. You know, they're pushing 100,000 now,
08:53even though tornadoes will go through there about every two years. So you're going to have
08:58increased losses, not because of increased bad weather, but increased population in the paths
09:05of hurricanes and tornadoes. You're talking about mass public stupidity. Why would you move into
09:14the path of an eventual disaster? It's human nature. It's not going to happen to me.
09:22But it does. OK. What's your forecast for the next few weeks? How does it look for how does
09:31it look in terms of hurricanes, weather and, of course, crops and food production?
09:36Well, right now we're going to see a break in the tropical activity. There's not much going
09:41on at the moment. There might be something along the southeast coast in a week or so,
09:44but it doesn't look significant. We have a lot of heat in the west that's expanding east.
09:50So you're going to start to warm up in the Midwest and the Corn Belt and Great Lakes
09:56right on schedule for a mid to late July, early August hot period. It's well timed
10:01in terms of some very wet areas in the northwest Corn Belt that needs to dry out and see some heat.
10:08So overall, it's it's going to make the corn grow. So we're going to have a good crop here.
10:14Yep. OK, I think we lost Isaac. Bob, if Trump wins, there could be a serious, serious
10:24peace dividend on the horizon. How do you see it? It would be wonderful.
10:29Yeah, absolutely. The you know, the point that you made about Iran is something that I hadn't heard
10:37that they might be seeking peace. And it makes sense that they would seek peace at times,
10:43especially if they can get rid of some of their more extreme leaders.
10:48But if that were to happen, that would be fantastic.
10:51Do you remember six years ago, we were talking about the scenario of controlling oil with Trump
11:00and Putin setting a deal where everyone thought that Putin ate Trump's lunch and was the other
11:06way around? Well, the point is, one of the problems they've got now is they're still
11:10selling their oil. They're selling it to Russia and they're selling it to China
11:16at a deep, deep, deep discount. So it's not helping their the sanctions against them.
11:22They're getting killed. And if we go back, I mean, this is a subject that we could take an
11:28awful lot of time on. But there were an awful lot of things that were done by the Biden administration,
11:34both to encourage the hostilities in Ukraine, as well as encourage the hostilities in the
11:41Middle East and Gaza. You know, the the cutting off of support that Trump did to the
11:50factions in Gaza and in the Middle East, what she said was a terrorist group. So there's no
11:57way we should support them. So they cut off their support. When Biden came in,
12:01he reinvigorated that support. He took them off the terrorists. He gave them more money.
12:06And the end result was not positive. It wasn't the intention to do it.
12:10Same thing occurred in the Ukraine, Gary. Initial moves by the Biden administration
12:18really set up and encouraged Russia to invade in that country. It wasn't their intention, I'm sure.
12:25But it ended up being the result. So let's go back to the thing that you mentioned. If Trump
12:30becomes president, one of the greatest potential possibilities is to expand peace throughout the
12:38Ukraine, throughout Europe, throughout the Middle East, and also perhaps to work with Iran if they
12:43really want peace. And it would be a totally different world. Yes, I think so as I think so
12:49as well. One of the things that our country has been and let's make this one fast, because
12:57we will talk about this in greater depth. We'll do a special session on it. But is it where we've
13:02been referred to some people are thinking of our country as being the latter stages of the
13:06Weimar Republic. Is it possible for us to grow out of our deficits and the huge national debt?
13:14Yeah, as bad as it has been, and as much as we've added to that debt and created really
13:21self-created problems for ourselves, there are always solutions to these problems. And there
13:27will be better solutions and worse solutions. And I'm very optimistic that the groundwork has been
13:35laid that if there is a Trump administration coming on that they will be able to hit the ground
13:42running to make an awful lot of changes that will get us out of some of our worst problems in terms
13:48of this fiscal mess that we've put ourselves in. So basically, you're optimistic. I am
13:57guardedly optimistic. Donde, from a weather and just general, I mean, look, when you're dealing
14:03with the weather, you're also dealing with geopolitics. Are you optimistic or pessimistic,
14:09both as a professional and as an individual? Well, it all comes down to the election.
14:16If the election goes Biden's way, I'm very pessimistic. If it goes the other way,
14:21I'm certainly more optimistic. And that basically has to do with policymaking
14:25in regards to climate and weather. Okay. With that, I want to say,
14:31thank you. Be well, have a good weekend, and God bless America.