Subway Series Showdown: Yankees vs. Mets in the Bronx
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00:00Today, the Subway Series begins in the Bronx. The Yankees, a
00:07favorite at home today and as I try to find the price for this
00:11Subway Series, the Yankees, a slight favorite to win the set
00:14overall plus 164. A tie. That's a split of the two game set is
00:20minus 102. The Mets enter the series at plus 440. Both teams
00:25ended out an extended weekend series in a four-game set
00:28yesterday. Both with a victory. The Mets on the road in South
00:32Beach over the Marlins. The Yankees at home yesterday. Some
00:36day-to-day baseball against the Rays. Both splitting that four
00:40game set. Our guy, Luis, don't call him, Heel on the bump
00:45today. Minus 162. The Pinscribes, a home favorite
00:48against the New York Mets. Yeah, I liked what I saw to Luis
00:51Heel over the past two starts here. Maybe bouncing back to
00:54that form that he started the season with but if we do take
00:56the 60-day statistics in totality between both of these
00:59pitchers, Jose Quintana's got a 105 X-fit minus and you take a
01:02look at Luis Heel, a 106 X-fit minus. Both of those guys just
01:06above that average threshold here but also, sometimes it
01:09comes down to the match-ups here. Quintana's gonna come
01:12here with 98 batters faced over the past 30 days. An ISO power
01:16number combined of 195 and a weighted on base percentage of
01:19295. The one thing that he's done extremely well is dominate
01:22left-handed batters. On the lineup today, the only lefty
01:24that's gonna be in there is Juan Soto. Mets has very good
01:27statistics with lefty on lefty. If you take a look at Quintana,
01:30he's got an elevated ISO power number against right-handed
01:33batters but a good weighted on base percentage. Here's the
01:35issue. Take a look at this lineup. We talked about it
01:38yesterday. Boy, until that game started against the Rays where
01:41they actually had a very good offensive outing, put up nine
01:43runs like where's the offense been cuz it's felt like Ben,
01:46it's just Soto and it's just Aaron Judge and quite frankly
01:48against left-handed pitching over the past 30 days, it's
01:51just Soto and it's just Aaron Judge. Everybody else has been
01:54brutal besides those two guys. Flip it over to the New York
01:58Mets here and see how they match up against Lee's heel. If
02:00we're just looking at the past 30 days, he was a right-handed
02:03pitcher. Left-handed batters have gotten the best of them
02:05here. Two guys with great numbers at the top of the
02:07lineup that will be lefties today. That's Francisco Lindor
02:10and Brandon Nimmo. You also take a look at a little bit
02:12later in that lineup, Jeff McNeil. So, obviously, the
02:15batting optics look better on a Mets side here. So, I'm
02:19actually gonna look at this and say, boy, I'd love to go with
02:20an over but I just think it screams under to be honest.
02:23Even though it's a hitter's ballpark, those Yankee numbers
02:25don't look great against lefties and I'll ride that.