During a Senate Banking Committee hearing prior to the Congressional recess, Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT) spoke about housing costs.
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NewsTranscript
00:00Senator Tester from Montana's recognized. Well, thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you
00:04for the courtesy. Chairman Powell, good to see you here today.
00:08Appreciate your work. Look, regardless where I go in the state of Montana,
00:15housing is a big issue. Whether it's Billings or Butte or Bozeman or Busby or
00:20Big Sandy, it doesn't matter. Larger towns to medium-sized towns to small
00:25towns, housing is a huge issue. And I think it's a huge issue all over the
00:30country, and correct me if I'm not correct in that. And I was wondering how
00:34the housing challenges fit into the overall economic picture that you're
00:39seeing. So we do pay a lot of attention, and I would agree with you.
00:46We have significant housing issues in the country, and we had them before the
00:51pandemic. Certainly, the pandemic has created new distortions. And, you
00:58know, monetary policy works through interest-sensitive spending. There is no
01:02more interest-sensitive spending than, you know, buying a house and having a
01:05mortgage. So for sure, our tighter policy is having an effect on economic activity
01:12in the housing sector. But I would also say the best thing we can do
01:17for housing is to succeed in getting inflation down to 2% on a sustainable
01:23basis so that rates can come down, so that the housing market can get back to
01:27what was the pre-pandemic normal, which is to say still a housing shortage, but
01:32not dealing with the kinds of specific things we're dealing with now. So let me
01:37drill down a little bit. I'm speaking not necessarily from a housing cost
01:43interest, and you're correct on the things you just brought up. I'm speaking
01:46more from a standpoint of economic growth, and that there are plenty of
01:51small businesses, schools, hospitals, Main Street businesses that can't hire
01:56people, they can't expand because there simply is no place for them to live. How
02:01does that fit into your economic outlook metrics? Because I think it's, from my
02:08perspective at least, I think it's limiting the opportunity for expansion,
02:12it's limiting the opportunity for entrepreneurs, just business startups,
02:15and does that fit into the economic picture that you look at? So our mandate
02:22is for stable prices and maximum employment. And again, I think for
02:28housing supply, the best thing we can do is get inflation under control so that
02:32rates can come back down, so that we can have a more normalized set of rates and
02:37a more normalized housing system. But I think policies to increase housing
02:43supply are really not so much in the hands of the Fed, they're in the hands of
02:47legislatures, you know, state and federal. Do you believe that if we were to put
02:53forth some housing incentives, whatever they may be, that could have a, if it
02:59resulted, if those incentives resulted in more affordable workforce housing on the
03:03market, that would have positive impacts on the economy? You know, these are
03:07questions for you, but I would say this, that I'm aware that we, that housing is
03:14in short supply, and that for many it's a critical need for the workforce. And so
03:22more of it is better, but as to where the fiscal policy should, how you should
03:26prioritize that, that's not up to us. Look, I want to talk about the
03:30independence of the Fed for a second, because I know that you are a strong
03:34supporter of independence, as am I, and political influence I don't think helps
03:40with monetary policy in the country. And so give me an, give me your perspective
03:47at least on why the central bank independence is so critically important.
03:52Thank you, I'd be glad to. So essentially all advanced economies have adopted a
03:59policy of central bank and operational independence, and that just means that we
04:03make our decisions, we're instructed to make them without taking in extraneous
04:07factors, one of which would be politics. And the record is pretty clear that
04:11that's, that that's a good pro, it's a good institutional arrangement that
04:16serves the public well. And you know, we just want to stress, as we do
04:22periodically, that this is an institutional choice that we make as a
04:25country, and that as long as it's seen to serve the public well, it's a good choice.
04:29We think so. Okay, on advanced economies, there's some that talk about the economy
04:36of this country not being in very good shape. From your perspective, tell me how
04:42the economy of this country is doing compared to other advanced economies
04:45that have central banks. You know, so I'm in lots and lots of international
04:50discussions as part of my job, and the story for the last two years has been
04:54just how exceptional the performance of the U.S. economy has been, and that's not
05:00a secret. You know, there's a, there, clearly the U.S. economy has performed
05:05very well compared to sort of our advanced economy colleagues. Is there any
05:10country in the world with central bank, any advanced economy that's performing
05:14better? Better as a central bank? No, any economy that, that's just, that's an
05:20advanced economy that has a central bank that performs better than us. I, you know,
05:24none comes to mind. As I think of the majors, the answer would be no. Okay, thank you.