グッド！モーニング 2024年8月12日
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00:00The data also confirmed a reduction in the yen-carry trade.
00:05The yen-carry trade, which uses yen at a low interest rate and dollars at a high interest rate,
00:13has been said to be one of the factors that have accelerated the yen price.
00:20Looking at the sales volume of yen-transferred goods,
00:25which is used as a reference for analyzing the yen-carry trade,
00:29we can see that the yen-carry trade has decreased significantly in the past few weeks.
00:36It is seen that the yen-carry trade has rapidly improved
00:41as the exchange rate has moved from the $1.60 to the $140 range.
00:50The background is a sense of alertness to the addition of yen.
00:57Vice-President Uchida said that the financial market will not recover when it is unstable.
01:05But if the financial market calms down, it may recover again.
01:12I think that the hedge fund has become less likely to inflate the yen-carry trade as easily as before.
01:19So I don't think we need to worry about the yen-carry trade returning to the $150-160 range soon.
01:30Next, here is the next question.
01:32Is there any further disruption?
01:36Last week, the yen-carry trade fell by more than 4,000 yen,
01:42and the next day, it became the largest increase in the past.
01:46The yen-carry trade is in a state of disruption.
01:52An expert is concerned about the second-lowest yen-carry trade this week.
01:58After a large fall, the yen-carry trade once returned,
02:02and when it was about to settle down, there was another large fall.
02:06This has happened many times in the past.
02:09It was the same with the B-1 shock and the China shock.
02:13There will be fewer transactions on the golden holidays next year,
02:17so if there is a slightly larger order,
02:20it will make it easier for the yen-carry trade to move around.
02:24If we look at the past, the second-lowest yen-carry trade won't be a problem this week.
02:32This week, there are also important indicators such as U.S. consumer stocks and high sales.
02:42If the numbers are weaker than expected,
02:46it is expected that the U.S. economy will be difficult,
02:49and the yen-carry trade will also fall.
02:53This is a situation that we cannot let our guard down this week.
03:05Now, let's take a look at this morning's news.
03:08Here is today's news.
03:10Japanese candidate for IOC President Bach
03:15I will ask questions after the commentary.
03:17This morning, there are two points due to the Fricka holiday.
03:21Please participate.
03:22Today is the Paris Olympic Games.
03:25During that period,
03:27President Thomas Bach, the current IOC President,
03:30said that the new era is looking for a new leader
03:35in order to increase the popularity of President Thomas Bach.
03:40He said that he will resign with full popularity next year.
03:48President Bach has been the IOC President six times in 2013.
03:55He has been the IOC President for about 12 years.
03:59How will the next president be decided?
04:02The presidential election will be held in March next year.
04:07How will it be decided?
04:09There are 115 members of the IOC.
04:12A candidate will be elected from here.
04:14The form of the vote is that
04:16the same country as the candidate does not have the right to vote.
04:20The next president will be decided by an anonymous vote.
04:24There is a possibility that a Japanese candidate will be elected.
04:27What kind of person will it be?
04:29There are various names.
04:32According to the Nikkei News,
04:34for example, the son of the two previous presidents of President Thomas Bach,
04:39the current IOC President of the Spanish Samaranch Junior IOC,
04:43the IOC President Sebastian Coe,
04:46and the IOC President Morinari Watanabe from the International Athletic Association.
04:53If Mr. Watanabe becomes the IOC President,
04:56he will be the first Asian.
04:58He is currently 65 years old and from Fukuoka Prefecture.
05:01He is the president of the International Athletic Association.
05:06He has been in the gym for only a few years since high school.
05:09However, he started his own gym project
05:14and got a job at a supermarket.
05:16He opened a gym school nationwide and contributed to the spread of gymnastics.
05:20In 1998, he became the chairman of the Japanese Gym Association.
05:24In 2016, he became the president of the International Athletic Association.
05:29Mr. Watanabe is known as a hard worker of the Showa era.
05:36In order to greet the members of the International Athletic Association,
05:42he visited 102 countries and regions in one and a half years.
05:47It's a very busy schedule.
05:49In addition, the International Athletic Association
05:52spends a lot of money on travel expenses.
05:54However, Mr. Watanabe is a first-time athlete.
05:56He has been a member of the Association
06:00and has been a member of the economy.
06:06Mr. Watanabe said that he would like to discuss
06:09with the JOC and government officials
06:11about the future of Japan's economy.
06:15I'm looking forward to the election campaign in March.
06:19What does the new president want?
06:23According to sports writer Nobuya Kobayashi,
06:26he wants a very difficult handling
06:30in terms of contribution to sports and fundraising.
06:33First of all, IOC.
06:35About 90% of the revenue is distributed to each sports association.
06:39In order to develop sports, IOC is necessary in terms of funding.