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00:00The enthusiasm around the Harris-Walz campaign is seen at their rallies, no doubt.
00:06It's also showing up in new polling that we want to bring to you today, showing the Democratic
00:09ticket has made some gains in some battleground states.
00:12What does momentum look like in the polls?
00:13Harry Intim is here.
00:14What are you seeing?
00:15What am I seeing?
00:16So these were these New York Times-Siena College polls that came out over the weekend.
00:20And look, this is Democrat versus Trump margin.
00:22This is May, Biden versus Trump.
00:24You see plenty of red on this side of your screen, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan.
00:28And of course, that quote unquote blue wall, this was back in May.
00:31You saw Trump up by three, Trump up by one in Wisconsin, Biden up by a single point in
00:36Michigan.
00:37The trend line here is what's so important.
00:40So let's jump ahead from May to August.
00:43We go from some red on this side of the screen.
00:45Look at all this blue on this side of the screen, Pennsylvania Harris by four, Wisconsin
00:50Harris by four, Michigan Harris by four.
00:53So you're seeing those comments on Trump on social media kind of going bananas.
00:57And you're wondering why.
00:59It's because he's looking at polling data like this, which shows clear momentum from
01:03Donald Trump to Kamala Harris as Joe Biden's got out of the race.
01:06I'll note still, no clear leader up here, but you would much rather be Kamala Harris
01:10up by four within the margin of error than Joe Biden down by three in Pennsylvania, down
01:15one in Wisconsin, and only up by one in Michigan within the margin of error.
01:19These are three to five point movements towards the Democratic ticket.
01:23Clear momentum.
01:24And it's clearly angering Donald Trump.
01:26But take us inside the numbers.
01:27Who is Harris appealing to that Joe Biden was not when we had these numbers?
01:32Yes.
01:33So, OK.
01:34Is it that Harris is getting Republican voters?
01:35No, it's not that she's getting Donald Trump voters from 2020.
01:39What is she doing?
01:40Number one, she's coalescing the Democratic base.
01:42So look, in Biden this spring, he was getting only 90 percent of the voters who voted for
01:46him back in 2020.
01:49Look at it now.
01:50What do we see?
01:51We see Kamala Harris is getting 93 percent of those voters.
01:53So we see that momentum.
01:54The other thing that we see is those untraditional voters.
01:58Those voters.
01:59There's all this talk that Donald Trump was going to get these voters off the sidelines
02:02and get them to vote for him.
02:03We didn't vote in 2020.
02:04Back in the spring.
02:05Look at that.
02:06Joe Biden was only getting 28 percent of the 2020 non-voters.
02:09Look at where Kamala Harris is now.
02:10She's getting 43 percent of those voters, a 15 point jump.
02:14So Kamala Harris is doing two things here.
02:17Number one, she's getting more of those untraditional voters.
02:19And number two, she's coalescing that Democratic base.
02:22Are you seeing signs in other polling of the Harris momentum as well?
02:26Yeah.
02:27OK.
02:28So if it's just one poll, I'm not that interested.
02:29But take a look here.
02:30This is among those certain to vote.
02:32This is the Democrat versus Trump in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin.
02:35This is an Ipsos poll that came out last week.
02:37Look at this.
02:38The June margin.
02:39Biden versus Trump.
02:40We see Trump was up by two.
02:42Very similar to what we saw in those New York Times-Siena conference.
02:45Look at where we are now in this August margin.
02:48Look at that.
02:49Plus two for Harris.
02:50So again, a four point movement towards Harris.
02:53And the last thing I'll note, look at this.
02:55If Harris just wins up in the Great Lakes, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, she
02:59can lose Arizona, Nevada and Georgia and she gets to exactly 270 electoral votes.
03:05All right.
03:06So momentum it is.
03:07Momentum it is.
03:08Thank you, Harry.
03:10Siena's Isaac Dover is here with the very latest.
03:11How does the Harris team view things this morning, Isaac?
03:15Well, look, John, they obviously are glad to see good poll numbers following a good
03:21couple of weeks for for the vice president since she got into this campaign.
03:25Remember, we're only talking about three weeks here since Joe Biden dropped out.
03:29But they're trying not to get too ahead of themselves.
03:33Harris herself was in San Francisco yesterday at a fundraiser.
03:35And she said to donors there that she's never been one to really believe in the polls, whether
03:40they're up or they're down.
03:41What we know is the stakes are so high and we can't take nothing for granted in this
03:45moment.
03:46What the Harris campaign is focused on here is making sure that people don't get feel
03:52like the race is done, feel like they don't have to do a lot of the work here.
03:57There are very few people who believe that this race won't come down to a couple of hundred
04:03thousand voters at most between a couple of states.
04:06And that's the sort of thing that could even doesn't matter where the popular vote goes,
04:10could end up swinging the Electoral College.
04:13It's amazing to think about Democrats talking about complacency when just three and a half
04:16weeks ago it was Republicans talking about complacency there.
04:20So what does the week have in store in terms of a policy rollout?
04:23And I guess the first ever appearance between President Biden and Kamala Harris since he
04:29has left the race.
04:31Yeah, we saw them briefly on the tarmac when that prisoner exchange happened at Andrews
04:35Air Force Base.
04:36But this will be an event on Thursday in Maryland, right outside D.C. with the two of them there
04:41together.
04:42And that is it put out as an official government event, not as a campaign event exactly.
04:48But they clearly are going to be doing it in the sense of passing the torch.
04:52What the White House has told us so far is that it will be focused on lowering costs
04:55for Americans.
04:56And what that is important is because not only is it Harris and Biden talking about
05:00economic issues, but it's the two of them staying very closely connected to each other.
05:05And that is something that we've seen since Harris got into this race.
05:08Even as the Republicans in the Trump campaign have tried to say that Biden's record is bad
05:13and Harris is tied to it in a bad way.
05:15That's not the approach that they're taking.
05:17I think they're very great to see this morning.
05:19Always great to have you on in the morning.
05:20Appreciate it, Sarah.
05:21All right.
05:22Here we go again.
05:23False claims about crowd size from Donald Trump, but even more talk about Kamala Harris's
05:27race and childless cat ladies from his running mate, J.D. Vance.
05:32Just a few of the new and familiar lines of attack we heard this weekend as Donald Trump
05:38tonight sits down for an interview with Elon Musk.
05:41Let's bring in CNN's Steve Contorno.
05:43Steve, some Republicans want to see more discipline, as you heard from Isaac DeVere, a message
05:47from Trump going after Harris.
05:51But is that what they're getting?
05:54Certainly doesn't seem so far, Sarah.
05:56I think scattershot is probably the best word to describe what we saw from the former president
06:03over the weekend.
06:04He made fun of Senator Jon Tester's weight, the Democrat in Montana.
06:09He called Tim Waltz, quote, very freakish.
06:12He said Harris, Waltz supporters were pink haired Marxist looters, perverts, flag burners,
06:19Hamas supporters, drug dealers, gun grabbers and human traffickers.
06:24And he also continued to be fixated on the crowd size of what Vice President Harris is
06:32getting versus his own.
06:33In fact, in a series of social media posts, he he he shared debunked footage and claims
06:42that Harris was doctoring her crowd size.
06:46These were A.I. images that they were sharing.
06:48He said that she should be disqualified because they fake their crowd sizes when these photos
06:55were easily debunked.
06:56Meanwhile, his running mate continues to be answering questions about some of his past
07:02statements and trying to focus the attacks more on what they say are the anti-family
07:08policies of the Harris-Waltz ticket.
07:11Take a listen to what J.D. Vance told our CNN over the weekend.
07:14I think that what it is is two people, Kamala Harris and Tim Waltz, who aren't comfortable
07:21in their own skin because they aren't comfortable with their policy positions for the American
07:24people.
07:25And so their name calling instead of actually telling the American people how they're going
07:29to make their lives better.
07:30I think that's weird, Dana, but look, they can call me whatever they want to.
07:33Do you believe Kamala Harris is black?
07:36I believe that Kamala Harris is whatever she says she is.
07:40But I believe, importantly, that President Trump is right, that she's a chameleon.
07:44She pretends to be one thing in front of one audience.
07:50Now still not much campaign action from Donald Trump this week, though he will, as you said,
07:55Sarah, speak to Elon Musk later today.
07:58J.D. Vance, meanwhile, will be more active on the campaign trail in the coming days.
08:02Steve, just curious what you can tell me about the Trump campaign saying that they have been
08:06hacked.
08:07What do we know on that front?
08:10Yeah, there's still a lot we're still trying to figure out about this.
08:14The Trump campaign claims that a quote, high ranking official in the campaign was hacked
08:22from Microsoft by Iranian hackers.
08:25Now, Iran, we should say, has so far denied this and is unclear if Iran was responsible.
08:31Microsoft has so far declined to comment.
08:33The U.S. government has sort of not shared any details that it has had at this point.
08:39This is all stemming from Politico reporting over the weekend that it had received emails,
08:44including internal communications and a research dossier on J.D. Vance that the campaign had
08:51put together.
08:52The campaign in a statement saying these documents were obtained illegally from foreign
08:56sources hostile to the United States, trying to sow chaos throughout our democratic process.
09:01I should note, Sarah, that Donald Trump was the recipient of this kind of foreign interference
09:08back in 2016.
09:09He actually encouraged Russia to go after Senator Clinton's emails and then continue
09:14to talk about them well into the race.
09:17We all remember that.
09:19Steve Contorno, thank you so much.
09:20Appreciate your reporting this morning.