Predicting Diamondbacks' Win & Astros' Strategy in MLB Games

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Transcript
00:00I think this is the spot for the Diamondbacks to bounce back.
00:06Zach Allen getting the start here and I was looking at his props,
00:09looking to bet those coming into this matchup here today, Kevin,
00:12and you can't even touch them.
00:14His strikeouts is so highly juiced at over five and a half at minus
00:17156 and his outs 17 and a half at minus 168.
00:21So unless your book will allow you to parlay those, I wouldn't touch
00:24those bets, but I think the Diamondbacks, you look at them straight
00:27up here on the money line in the first five innings.
00:30It's coming in at minus 108.
00:32Jeffrey Springs is coming out here for the Tampa Bay Rays and the lefty
00:36here has a 4.61 ERA.
00:39I do think we see the Diamondbacks bats get nice and hot against him.
00:43He's allowing that hard contact out there and I could really see those
00:47runs coming in.
00:49So in this one, give me the Diamondbacks straight up on the money line
00:52to have a nice big day in this matchup.
00:56All right.
00:57Fair enough there, Joe.
00:58What about everybody's favorite Chicago White Sox yesterday?
01:03Huge underdog got the job done against the Houston Astros and they do
01:07it again.
01:09No, they absolutely can't.
01:11The Astros are going to be so mad with how that game went down with
01:14Chicago getting the win of five to four.
01:16Chris Flexin is getting the start and this is where it comes down to
01:20for me, the major fade.
01:22Chris Flexin is a complete fade, 2-11 on the season.
01:26We look at him on the road.
01:27He's 1-6.
01:28ERA on the road is a 6.75.
01:31The Houston Astros have the ability to hit him and hit him nice and hard
01:35and we look at Hunter Brown coming out here for the Astros and he can
01:38really limit the bats of the Chicago White Sox.
01:41Now, we did see him back about 10 games ago versus Chicago.
01:45He did allow those hits to come in.
01:47So we need him a little bit stronger than the last time versus the
01:50Chicago White Sox, but I still have the faith that Chris Flexin will
01:55let his team down in this matchup and the Astros will get a win.
01:58So the problem with this game, Kevin, is the size of a favorite that
02:03the Houston Astros are and finding some value in betting this game.
02:07You look at the Houston Astros on that run line, you have to lay
02:11basically three and a half runs to get plus 140.
02:15Two and a half runs, you're still laying the juice.
02:17I'm going to look at the year fee in this game and I'm expecting those
02:21runs to come out of Houston in the first inning.
02:23That's coming in at minus 115.
02:26They have to come out.
02:27They have to hit Chris Flexin right away.
02:30Now for a little fun bet, if you're into exact scores, I did put a sprinkle
02:35on the 6-2 win for the Houston Astros.
02:39That's coming in at plus 3,500 on found deal.
02:42I think it has every opportunity of hitting the Astros team totals coming
02:46in at five and a half too, if you just want to back that to the over.
02:49But I do think it's a 6-2 win here for the Houston Astros in this matchup.

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