Exploring Top BMW Championship Picks: Morikawa, Thomas, McIlroy
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00:00All right, Brady, give it to me the outrights for you this week in Colorado.
00:09Well first of all, I'm right there with you.
00:11I didn't play it, but I absolutely agree with your Morikawa play.
00:15I was on him last week.
00:16I like to go on this guy when driving accuracy I feel is more of a factor.
00:21And he's been so close.
00:23I said basically the same thing that you just said.
00:26It would be wild if we went through this entire year without Morikawa winning.
00:30He's been so close.
00:31So I'm rooting for you.
00:33We do land on the same guy in Justin Thomas.
00:36I got him at like 52 to 1.
00:40Isn't that amazing?
00:4150 players in the field and Justin Thomas is 52 to 1.
00:45That's crazy.
00:46But it just tells you where his game has gone the last couple years.
00:48But we've started to see it turn around.
00:50A couple things I looked at this week were how have guys done when playing at elevation
00:56and how have they done on Jack Nicklaus designs?
00:59Well Justin Thomas has done tremendous at the Memorial.
01:02He's got a number of top 10 finishes there, top 15 finishes at the Memorial.
01:06And then also when they played that Workday Charity Open, remember when they went back
01:11to back weeks at Muirfield Village in 2020, Thomas lost in a playoff actually to who?
01:18Your guy, Colin Morikawa.
01:20And he also finished runner-up at Sherwood Country Club in Thousand Oaks, California.
01:24Another Nicklaus design when they played the Zozo there in 2020.
01:29So he's got the Nicklaus chops.
01:31And at the WGC Mexico, when they used to play there at elevation, they played that tournament
01:35for four years at Chapultepec.
01:38And Thomas was a machine there.
01:40Every year, all four years, he finished top 10 and he was runner-up one year as well.
01:44So, you know, it just makes sense from those two angles.
01:47And I said, okay, 52, let's try it with JT and see if he can recreate what he's done
01:52in the past at elevation and at Nicklaus design golf courses.
01:56And then like you said, I went to a big dog.
01:59I went with Rory McIlroy.
02:00Okay, there's 50 guys in the field and let's be realistic.
02:04Let's say 30 of them have a realistic chance to win, right?
02:07So Rory McIlroy at 16 to one in a field of 30, basically, I thought that was a pretty
02:13good price.
02:14We're getting a little bit of value because he finished second to last, last week in Memphis.
02:19I talked about total driving.
02:21There's nobody better.
02:22He's second on the PGA Tour in total driving is Rory McIlroy.
02:26There's reports that he's just been blistering the golf ball out there.
02:29He might hit it 400 yards one time this week.
02:32If he can find the fairways, he's going to be tough to beat.
02:35And then I went a little deeper at 25 to one to another guy that just mashes the ball off
02:40the tee long and straight.
02:43Number three on tour in total driving Ludwig Obert.
02:48Also great on approach.
02:49You know, I just think, again, a fit for this golf course and I think we may have gotten
02:54some value on his price as well with him finishing 40th last week.
02:58So I was a little surprised to see him as high as 25.
03:02Now he's creeped down a little bit.
03:04I've seen him closer to 20, 21 to one.
03:06I thought 25 was a tick too high.
03:09And then I went with Mr. Red Hot.
03:11Billy Horschel has three top ten finishes in a row.
03:15Comes off of the runner up at the Open Championship.
03:18Finished eighth at Valhalla earlier this year.
03:21Another Nicklaus design.
03:22Has won at Mirafield Village before the Memorial Tournament, a Nicklaus design.
03:27And has won at Elevation.
03:29The last time the BMW Championship was in Colorado, 2014, 17 miles away at Cherry Hills.
03:36Who was your winner?
03:37Billy Horschel.
03:38And he went on to win the FedEx Cup that year.
03:40So give me McIlroy, Oberg, Horschel and JT for a four pack.
03:45I think you're absolutely right, Brady.
03:46You're getting two guys there at this, really three if you count JT.
03:50You're right.
03:51That's a discounted price with only 50 guys in the field.
03:53But Rory's been coming off between five and ten and you're getting him at 16.
03:57Ludwig's been between 15 and 20 and you're getting him at 25.