• 2 months ago
Transcript
00:00Derek Carr is my alternate line. 250 passing yards or more at
00:08plus 140. His prop is 232 and a half. A number that both of the
00:13QBs filling his face this year have gone over. Kirk Cousins
00:17241. I'll be at 70 on the final offensive drive that led to the
00:21comeback for the Falcons. Jordan Love at 260 in week
00:24number one out in Sao Paulo. But Philadelphia Joe was the
00:28third worst passing defense in the NFL a season ago, allowing
00:32256 yards per game. They're giving up 241 on average this
00:39year and that incorporates some sacks in there as well, but
00:42Philly has not pressured the quarterback much the Saints. We
00:45thought there was some concern with the offensive line not
00:49here yet this season and the Eagles have only recorded three
00:53sacks in 2022. Philly was one of the best passing defenses in
00:56the National Football League because the team had 70 sacks.
00:59They have four guys with 11 sacks. In that year, they made
01:03it to the Super Bowl. The Eagles had the second most
01:05sacks in a single season in NFL history, only behind the
01:08monsters of the Midway Bears back in the mid 80s who had 72.
01:13It's been different and it's still taking some time for Vic
01:15Fangio to figure this out. Now as you look at Derek Carr 443
01:22yards this year, but on only 39 attempts, Joe that's 11.4
01:28yards per attempt. Why do I highlight that if this game is
01:31competitive and we expect it to be it's less than a field goal
01:35spread, albeit in favor of New Orleans if they finally are
01:39tested and it's not a 47 whatever route of Carolina or
01:434419 to Dallas when they scored on their first six offensive
01:47drives. If Derek Carr is throwing the football for all
01:50four quarters for all 60 minutes, I think he gets the
01:53250 plus on Sunday in the big easy. Yeah, I I'm with you, but
01:58I think this is going to be a fun one. I I've got faith in
02:02the offense of Philadelphia, but I think they're going to
02:06have to go toe to toe and match score for score. So it to me,
02:10New Orleans got a lot of opportunities to cash tickets
02:13in the prop market all line as well as team totals and maybe
02:17even total score Joe. There's a lot of statements that can be
02:22made on Sunday. If New Orleans wins and covers over
02:25Philadelphia, the Saints are a legitimate NFC contender. At
02:28least the odds will show that in the Eagles might have a few
02:32weaknesses. They still have to address that is also the case
02:36for sure in Dallas. The line is only a point and a half in
02:40favor of the flock, but now it's just four cents of
02:42difference between the Ravens and the Cowboys Baltimore minus
02:46110 Moneyline Dallas minus 106. The Ravens trying to
02:50avoid a dreadful Owen three start that more than likely
02:53would have Baltimore missed the postseason. If the Cowboys
02:57can't do that though, and Baltimore picks up its first
03:00win, we're going to have two one and two teams at the end of
03:03week three. So how are you approaching this game from the
03:06prop perspective? To me, it's all about Lamar Jackson and the
03:11rushing prop here. Yeah, 48 and a half yards. He is going to
03:16have to get at least that then if they're going to have any
03:19chance of getting this done. I don't like that the Henry fit
03:23here. The Derrick Henry fit. It doesn't make any sense. They're
03:27always out of the shotgun. That's where Lamar is his most
03:30comfortable. Derrick Henry is a guy where you need a quarterback
03:32under the center. None of it made any sense to me, but I can
03:36tell you this if Lamar ain't taken off scripted and
03:39unscripted, they don't win this game. I think he's going to
03:43have to. I think you can get it done. Maybe three four runs man
03:46and you're flying over that total.

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