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00:00Detroit Lions and the Green Bay Packers go head-to-head. A fascinating matchup
00:09here with a Detroit Lions team that is red-hot. Winners of five in a row and
00:14many believe are not just the best team in the conference but maybe the best
00:18team in the National Football League. The Packers on the other hand are hot as
00:23well. A 6-2 group this season who have been able to win with and
00:27without Jordan Love. Winners of four straight at home are an underdog to
00:33these Lions which begs the question I think off the bat how much of this line
00:38Joe is a result of the Jordan Love health status here because again Green
00:43Bay at home supposedly one of the better teams catching point. Yeah they are it
00:47was three and a half early in the week we see it under a key number two and a
00:51half and that's the line movement I think because of Jordan Love but again
00:54you have the more consistent team in Detroit that had just pounded teams not
00:59just at home Kev they pounded them on the road as well they went to Dallas and
01:03won that game by 38 like I mentioned 19 points per game they're undefeated on
01:07the road so I think you know the two and a half three point number is fitting but
01:12I still think Green Bay is alive even if Jordan Love is not a hundred percent
01:16healthy in this matchup we saw Josh Jacobs pound the rock for over a hundred
01:20yards last week two touchdowns I think the offensive line is playing well
01:24and I believe in Green Bay's defense they've been opportunistic in recent
01:29weeks I think they could force some turnovers they're gonna have to do it
01:32because Jared Goff even though it's a wet track has been phenomenal last five
01:36games he's completed over 72 percent completion percentage only like 20 in
01:41completions over the last four weeks Donnie he's playing lights out MVP level
01:46but I still give the edge at home to Green Bay I do have Detroit going to the
01:50Super Bowl and should they make the Super Bowl where is it this year guys
01:53that's in New Orleans that's a dome so it's perfect scenario it's what they
01:56like to the reason I bring up the dome is because they haven't played outside
01:59yet this year and you're gonna go into Green Bay 50 degrees windy and also some
02:02rain in the forecast that changes things up use that fast track inside most of
02:06these domes certainly have turf going in there you're not gonna have that today
02:09which means leaning on that ground game Montgomery and Gibbs out of the
02:12backfield if it's cold are you gonna be dumping it down as opposed to taking
02:15deep shots there no Jamison Williams still suspended at this point I'm gonna
02:19Ross St. Brown he should be fine but I'm just trusting my gut here because you
02:22look at those last four games Joe 42 47 31 and 52 that offense is a machine I've
02:27been calling it all year pound for pound the best offense by far in the NFL and
02:31if you have the best offensive line in football which Detroit does you should
02:35be able to win games outdoors when it's raining and in windy conditions yeah I
02:38think the fascinating thing though again is what percentage of this line is how
02:44good Detroit is viewed and what percentage of it is the Jordan love
02:47injuries because look the way the Green Bay Packers are perceived by so many
02:52many people a home dog should be labeled disrespect realistically right I've been
02:59told consistently that they are just underneath this Detroit Lions team we
03:03know home field advantages again you I mean you talk about it Donnie right
03:06where cops outside today maybe we can give him a pass it because that is a
03:10worry when it comes to the Detroit Lions offense outside of dome conditions there
03:15so that to me makes this tricky is are we betting into a game with a quarterback
03:21that doesn't have his full arsenal of within him own self there are angles you
03:27could take I think on Romeo Dobbs props or Jaden Reid props that would all make
03:31sense here to me going through this game especially with some tough weather
03:35conditions potentially on board I find David Montgomery to be the safest option
03:40and the best bet Monty is in a very simple and obvious bounce back spot here
03:45having less than 40 yards in each of the last two games though those were oddities
03:49right injured against Minnesota and then the route that was that matchup with the
03:54Tennessee Titans but we've seen David Montgomery in Detroit consistently get
03:59consistent work and I don't fully buy into this Packers defense especially
04:04against the run I think you guys know this I think Gibbs is significantly
04:07better than Montgomery but it doesn't stop them from using those guys
04:10certainly from the rushing play angle the exact same if not leaning towards
04:16Montgomery I think you're going to see him have a really big game here against
04:19the Packers I played him over his rushing total yeah and he's a tougher
04:22inside runner I believe then Jamir Gibbs not to take away from Gibbs ability but
04:27when Gibbs catches the edge he's gone he's a home run hitter Montgomery does
04:31the dirty work between the tackles and in terms of this type of matchup where
04:35there is a wet track you want to sustain drives and keep the opposing
04:39offense on the sidelines and that's where David Montgomery is a huge asset
04:43let's not forget played in Chicago played at Iowa State he's used to these
04:47type of conditions in this matchup and again you're right I mean Jacksonville
04:51put up 27 points through the air on the ground with tank Bigsby they got going
04:57with the rushing attack in the second half of the matchup I will say when I
05:00look at this game I think the bigger back in this in this matchup for me is
05:04Josh Jacobs because again you look at the last two weeks for Detroit even
05:09though they dominated over 140 yards and back-to-back games granted it was in
05:13garbage time maybe Tennessee and Minnesota if I'm Green Bay I want to
05:17pound the rocks stay in manageable situations and then work off a play
05:21action with Jordan Love because I don't want him back there third and long
05:24pinning their ears back and taking sustained hits today