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00:00With a massive game in the AFC, Josh Allen was asked during the week if this was a big game.
00:06He said it's just week 11.
00:08Josh Allen is lying.
00:10Yeah.
00:11And it's not that the Buffalo Bills would prove anything of major substance if they win this,
00:17because they've beaten Kansas City plenty of times in the regular season.
00:22It's not about that.
00:23It's not about proving anything.
00:24It's about the one seed.
00:26It's about not having to go to Arrowhead at the end of your season.
00:30That's what it's about.
00:32If you're the Buffalo Bills sat there at 8-2, and the Kansas City Chiefs are sat there at 9-0,
00:37a win today puts you a win away.
00:39And you would own the tiebreaker.
00:42This is a massive game.
00:44Make no mistake about it.
00:46You could arguably shift the Buffalo Bills to conference favorites if they win this game,
00:52because of what it would represent.
00:54Because we've all, everybody is waiting for the bottom to fall out
00:58on the way the Chiefs are playing.
01:00So sorry, Josh Allen.
01:01This is a very important game.
01:04It's not just another week.
01:06So tell me, Leecey, when you dive into this game, what are you looking for?
01:10I look for the defense of the Buffalo Bills,
01:12and that's going to be where this game is going to be won or lost.
01:15If they could force turnovers against Pat Mahomes, they did,
01:18and force three interceptions against Joe Flacco last week,
01:20shut down the rushing attack of Kareem Hunt,
01:23I think they're going to be in this matchup.
01:24That is the key for me in terms of this ballgame.
01:27It's not the offensive side of the ball.
01:28We know Josh Allen can run it.
01:30He can fling it through for 280.
01:32It's what do you get out of this defense overall,
01:35especially with limited weapons for the Kansas City Chiefs.
01:38This isn't even last year's team, right?
01:40It's a dialed, it's a watered-down product, but all they do is win.
01:44We saw Denver contain them for much of the game last week, right?
01:47Get it to a low-scoring game.
01:49You get that type of effort out of Buffalo,
01:51they're going to win and cover this number.
01:53So it is the defensive front going up against the rush.
01:56They allowed well over 100 yards to Jonathan Taylor.
01:59They were up early in that matchup,
02:00gave up some garbage touchdowns,
02:02but they need to force turnovers early and often
02:05and give Josh Allen opportunities.
02:07And without Kincaid in that lineup,
02:09it has to be Amari Cooper today, guys, offensively.
02:11He's finally got to step up,
02:12banged up with that wrist injury.
02:14But for me, you look at the ticket count in this game,
02:16basically nine out of every 10 tickets coming in on Kansas City.
02:18For me, Kansas City has a better offense coming in today,
02:20a little bit more healthy in the Buffalo Bills
02:22and the better defense overall.
02:23So you say, well, what gives here?
02:24It's a great spot for the Buffalo Bills.
02:26And as Kevin pointed out, this is one of those games
02:28where you can look to as a springboard to your season.
02:30Oh no, Donnie, Buffalo's having a great season.
02:32Buffalo's not having a great season.
02:33They lose the football game today
02:35because the expectations for Buffalo
02:36over the past couple of years is AFC championship game or bust.
02:40And they just haven't gotten to that picture yet.
02:41And the team you need to climb over,
02:43it always feels like is the Kansas City Chiefs.
02:45You win this football game today, you get the momentum,
02:47you get the tiebreaker if you need it later in the season.
02:50But also, that minus one and a half
02:51that opened up as a favorite towards Kansas City
02:53as a look-ahead line, now all disappeared
02:55and obviously close to a three-point favorite now
02:57for the Buffalo Bills on the opposite side.
02:59Most outlets here sitting at two and a half.
03:00Early in the week, I got to tell you,
03:02I was all Buffalo buildup.
03:03And as the week goes on, guys,
03:05I'm starting to lean more to Kansas City at this point
03:07just because of the injuries.
03:08If you were to give me Kincaid healthy in this game,
03:10Omari Cooper 100% healthy, Keon Coleman,
03:12I'd have a completely different outlook, Kevin, for me right now.