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00:00Let's dive into this football game and figure out what we expect.
00:06Three and a half point favorites for the home pack, total in this one is 47 and a half.
00:12Talk to me, Leecey.
00:13What do you like?
00:14Well, I do think the line is a little fishy, knowing how Green Bay dominated San Francisco
00:18last week.
00:19And I understand that San Francisco was undermanned.
00:21They went with Braden Allen.
00:23They had a lot of key injuries.
00:24Deibo's not the same, but they were catching five and a half, six in that matchup and knowing
00:29how bad Miami is in terms of cold weather.
00:31I was expecting to see four and a half fives throughout the rest of the week.
00:36We're at three and a half, which is basically Miami has to win the game.
00:39In my opinion, I don't think it's going to come down to a field goal.
00:42So I do, from the spread perspective, lean to the Dolphins.
00:45I'm not betting it, but I would take the points.
00:48I do like the over here.
00:49I do believe that Jordan Love and that offense can move the football.
00:53He only threw for 163 yards last week.
00:56Turnovers gave them a short field.
00:58Josh Jacobs, Donnie broke out with 106 yards on the ground.
01:02Another dominant performance offensive line is producing, but I think it's a Jaden Reed
01:06game.
01:07I think Jaden Reed can hit pay dirt.
01:08I think he can go over his number and Tucker Craft, I think as well.
01:11I do think it is a cheap number because you're right, Joe, this line opened up at three and
01:15a half.
01:16Like, oh, I wonder where that moves this week.
01:17Didn't move anywhere.
01:18Just stayed at three and a half.
01:19And the same thing with the total.
01:20He tickled at 47 and a half.
01:21That's not moving much either.
01:22Now there are really cold conditions in Green Bay tonight for the Green Bay Packers.
01:25It feels like a little bit balmy temperatures here at 27 degrees.
01:28But keep in mind, no precipitation.
01:29So we're not going to have a slippery field with any, you know, rain sleet or any of the
01:33snow conditions and winds manageable right around 10 miles an hour.
01:36So I don't think that's going to play all that much into it.
01:39Also, we always talk about the Miami teams or the Southern teams going up north to play
01:42in cold weather.
01:43I do think it's actually a benefit here for the Dolphins that they played last year with
01:46Kansas City.
01:47So it's not like you're shocked into that game, by the way, minus 10, minus 15, way
01:51colder than this one's going to be.
01:52So I do think the passing game will be open.
01:54If I had to ask myself, one player of the game that I'm taking a look at in this game,
01:58it's Josh Jacobs.
01:59If he can control the ground game here for Green Bay, I think they win it.
02:02Four straight games of at least 75 yards coming into this one, I think it's his game to win
02:06it here, which also puts the onus on Devon Achan to say, I got a counter with a running
02:10game as well.
02:11The battle of the running backs tonight, I think is going to be won by Green Bay.
02:14Therefore, if that line sits at three and a half, that's the way I do lean, guys.
02:17So I look at this kind of spot here, and the weather is, certainly you're talking, right?
02:24Because it should be with what we've seen from the Dolphins.
02:27We remember how their season ended against Kansas City.
02:30Well, Tua has been addressing that straight on saying, Tom, we're ready to prove some
02:35people wrong here.
02:36Now, listen, at the end of the day for the Dolphins, proving people wrong is winning
02:40this game, right?
02:41By any score, 14-7 is as good as 41-17.
02:45But I think that Miami's offense is going to feel the pressure to produce in this situation.
02:52And everything I'm seeing suggests they will.
02:56Tua Tungivailoa, since he's come back from his most recent concussion, I don't know if
03:01them putting him on IR gave him all the time he needed, where he knew when his return date
03:06was.
03:07He has been unbelievable, 76.5% completion percentage, 11 touchdowns to just one interception,
03:17a passer rating of 116, which is the only other quarterback above a 110 on the season
03:25is Lamar Jackson.
03:27I understand that that is a five-game window.
03:30And yes, you could certainly say, oh, come on, who was it against?
03:33You could argue the best game Tua's played since he came back was the second one on the
03:37road against everybody's favorite AFC contender, the Buffalo Bills.
03:41Tua has been brilliant for this team.
03:44And we learned during the Dolphins' time without Tua that, yes, McDaniel's really good.
03:50Tyreek is a first ballot Hall of Famer, in my opinion, eight chains, got all the juice
03:55in the world.
03:56Jonu Smith breakout.
03:57That's great.
03:58Tua's the MVP of this football team.