• 2 days ago

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00:00Jared Goff, he's playing outdoors today, chilly, chilly soldier field, 262 and a half passing
00:10yards is the number.
00:11Is it over or under for the indoor cat?
00:14Yeah.
00:15He's also playing without David Montgomery, which I don't love.
00:17Like this is a David Montgomery spot, right?
00:20Cold weather was grinded out.
00:22It's Dan Campbell, the football, all that stuff.
00:24You know, Jameer Gibbs is great and not taking away anything from him, but the dynamic duo,
00:29you know, and not being a duo anymore, this is the spot where it hurts them the most.
00:32I'm going to do some stats for you with Jared Goff.
00:34Okay.
00:35You ready?
00:36Let's go.
00:37In domes.
00:38Let's see.
00:39Pass a rating of 102.2 outdoors.
00:42It drops to 89.7.
00:43He has taken 87 sacks in a dome.
00:47He's taken 135 sacks outdoors.
00:50Interceptions just 28 in a dome in his career, outdoors, 52.
00:56So yeah, it's a different cat when he's outside and it does worry me a little bit.
01:02Could he go out there and this offense is just humming along and it's all fine against
01:05the bears who are completely dysfunctional?
01:08Of course.
01:09But there is enough data to suggest that this could be an under.
01:12There is enough data to suggest without David Montgomery that maybe this offense doesn't
01:15run like clockwork the way it used to.
01:18I know Amon Raw is coming off a career game.
01:20I know they were slinging the ball all over the place, but that's in the course field
01:24of the NFL in Detroit.
01:26Chicago is a tougher place to throw the football.
01:29And Jared Goff has played very well.
01:30This is not a knock on Jared Goff.
01:31This is just data.
01:33And right now, when you look at the data, I think that's a high number.
01:36So I'd be looking for the under on that number because 262.5 suggests a couple things.
01:41Number one, Jared Goff plays really well outside.
01:44Okay.
01:45And then number two, the bears challenge him and they do enough that he has to throw for
01:49262.
01:50That's also a bit curious to me.
01:53So that combination is enough for me to think this is like an under 250 game for him.
01:57Probably still a win for the Lions, but these individual games get weird.
02:01And I know the bears look so bad last time we saw them, but don't be shocked if they
02:06gear up again at home where they played much better football and look a little bit better
02:09against the Lions.
02:10Seem that is beaten up physically and mentally, I think after last week.
02:14All right.
02:15Yeah.
02:16And I mean, look, outdoor sacks hurt, right?
02:18Keep your sacks indoors.
02:19All right.
02:20That's my announcement.
02:21That's my announcement from me to everybody.

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