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00:00this line is
00:02Mostly a coin flip if we're honest the world where the Ravens win this
00:072423 and they win and not cover the one-and-a-half point line it could happen
00:11It's unlikely you are mostly betting this game on who you will believe is going to win this football game
00:19So I go to you Joe. Who do you think wins this football? I think it's Buffalo
00:23We talked about how dominant they've been at home this year with the playoff win against
00:28Denver last week. They've won nine home games by an average margin of victory of
00:3317.4 points per game Josh Allen is a do-it-yourself and just steps up in terms of a multi
00:40multidimensional quarterback again in big games Josh Allen
00:43Utilizes his arm, but he utilizes his legs as well
00:47And that's going to be the key for them to pull this ball game out now again Baltimore is a dynamic offense
00:53They've won six games on the road this year by an average margin of twelve point one points for a game
00:58But the fact that the game is in Orchard Park the fact that in previous years
01:02Buffalo hasn't been able to close the door last year against Kansas City and two years ago against Cincinnati
01:08I think they step up you're gonna get their best effort today, and I think they win this game now
01:13Do they win it by 10 15? No, I think they win it by a field goal or maybe a touchdown
01:18But in the end, it's Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills Donnie
01:21Yeah, I think the Baltimore Ravens gonna win this but again. This is why the spreads one and a half
01:25We're not dealing with the games. We had yesterday close to a touchdown
01:27You know just let's just say double digits both of these teams have extraordinary talented quarterbacks and cold weather
01:32Not a lot of precipitation and light winds they both should be able to eat today
01:36It's just a matter of what that game plan is going to be and I'll continue to say this time and time again if we're
01:41lining up a game versus a game in this I love the Buffalo Bills because they have a quarterback in Josh Allen that can do
01:47Wonders here
01:47But your a game is not as good as the Baltimore Ravens a game because when Baltimore's on their game running the football being effective
01:54Nobody's beating them in the NFL outside of maybe the Philadelphia Eagles
01:57We'll get to that a little bit later
01:58But if we're live look look at the way these games have finished if that Eagles lost
02:0124 to 19 which actually didn't think the Eagles were going there and beat the Baltimore Ravens
02:05Absolutely hammered the New York Giants hammered the Steelers hammered the Texans hammered the Browns and hammered the Steelers again last week
02:11Why because they're sticking with their identity now there is a chance and we've seen this in the past
02:16Where Baltimore goes like you don't be fun 38 passes for Lamar Jackson
02:20Let's see how the MVP can hold up going against the other MVP
02:22No, I'm telling you again today. If you're looking at the final box score, don't look at the score itself
02:28Just look at the players in there. If Lamar Jackson has 25 or less passes
02:32There's no way Baltimore loses this game
02:34Which means Joe they were effective on the ground and we know Lamar as a passer is also effective throwing touchdowns using intermediate routes
02:41But more importantly, he's gonna be on turf today. There's gonna be a pass rush
02:45Lamar is gonna run this football dozen times at least looking maybe Joe 70 80 and 90 yards him. I like Baltimore today, too
02:52Yeah, it's possible. I mean you have to shut down Derek
02:56Look 45 touchdowns for I mean for an exception. That's amazing. Great. No quarterbacks were allowed to play that well
03:03Here we go. We're gonna start this again
03:05He's played phenomenal
03:07And guess what he'll be mentioned with the great quarterbacks if he can close the door today and win in the AFC
03:13Championship and then more importantly get it done in the Super Bowl against either in Washington or or the Eagles, you know
03:19So we'll see about the Rams. Well, we'll see how that game plays out. I will see if the Rams are up to part today, but
03:26That's the way I look at it
03:28and here's the other thing the problem that I have is the 51 and a half today with the wind with everything and knowing how
03:34There's no wind
03:36Well, it's cold. It's supposed to be freezing right? No wind whatsoever
03:39Yeah, all right
03:40I still can't get to the 51 and a half because again
03:43I think Buffalo does run it to some capacity with Josh Allen
03:47I do think James Cook's numbers a little bit light in terms of 53 and a half
03:51I think cook it could be utilized in the in the receiving game today as well. Keep an eye out for a Maury Cooper
03:57I think it's a lower scoring game, but I still give the edge to Buffalo
04:01I see this game somewhere in the area of about 24 20 bills
04:04So to me, I I've gone back and forth on the side of this game. I have I initially
04:10Figured I'd like Baltimore and then the week went on I went the bills are home. They've not lost at home and that matters
04:17but I think what it boils down to is not forgetting what I thought a couple of weeks ago, and it's that the
04:26Buffalo defense is vulnerable if you look at that two-week run where Josh
04:31We fought won the MVP the loss to the Rams and the win to the Lions
04:37That defense really stood out as a potential worry and then they play New England twice and the Jets once
04:43You know, I all right. Let's not think about it anymore. And then the game against Denver
04:48Yeah, all right. They played Denver right and and that Broncos team ultimately didn't have a lot of juice for him
04:54They go up against what has been the most efficient offense in football this season whether that's
04:59Running the ball or throwing the football and I think that's what it does come down to for me in this game
05:05I think it it is more likely that the bills are able to fly or that the Ravens rather are able to find stops in
05:12This one. I do I do
05:14Prefer the total though actually towards the over now. I'm waiting. I was expecting this number to continue to bounce down
05:22Sitting at 51 and a half. I'm not running to the window to you know, what's gonna if it goes to 52 and a half
05:27Okay, fine. I don't think that's really going to happen. This to me is a
05:33superstar showdown and
05:35You have a Buffalo team who I think has their best mode of attack
05:39Will be throwing the Ravens defense in the game against Pittsburgh looked largely how it has this year
05:45Don't run at us. You can't run at us. Please stop throwing on us
05:49Oh gosh, they're throwing on us and it's very vulnerable in the secondary
05:52So the bill should be throwing quite a lot and Baltimore is so capable of explosive games Donnie whether they're throwing or running