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00:00Kansas City is plus 190 to do this.
00:03Chris Jones, of course, one of the ultimate sack masters.
00:07It's interesting that both Philadelphia and Kansas City,
00:12both of the, a lot of the pressure that they get
00:15is up the middle and not on the outside.
00:16That's generally not the way it works in the NFL.
00:19Yeah, it's generally not.
00:20And don't forget about Karloftis too.
00:21Like that's another guy that can get after the quarterback.
00:23It's not just Chris Jones and Karloftis to get a sack today.
00:26I would love that prompt also.
00:28I'd be all over that one because Chris Jones
00:29creates so much terror all over the place.
00:32Fun fact here.
00:33People say, oh, that's an impossible number, right?
00:34Well, it happened to the Philadelphia Eagles
00:36and Jalen Hurts back in September against the Buccaneers.
00:40He also had a sack five times against the Dallas Cowboys.
00:43So Hurts against pressure is not the greatest thing.
00:46I don't think this number is great enough for it,
00:48but it is something to consider
00:50where both these teams do get after the quarterback.
00:52So rather than look at this, oh, big numbers, big returns,
00:55five plus sacks or whatever it might be,
00:58look for the individuals.
01:00Look for Karloftis, look for Chris Jones,
01:02look for the overs on the sack totals on these guys.
01:04Because Jalen Carter is going to get after it.
01:06I think some of these other guys will too.
01:07So these quarterbacks will take some sacks.
01:10The numbers bear it out.
01:11But at the same time, trying to get some of these wacky ones
01:14just isn't as good of a play.
01:16Yeah.
01:17George is, we'll be quick with George on these
01:19because he's not rooting for any of these.
01:20So.
01:21Yeah.
01:23To show George, are you no, no, no
01:25on all three of these?
01:25Obviously, right?
01:27When we get to them.
01:28You know, probably.
01:30But listen, I do have some Kansas City props.
01:32I just think it's a little tougher on Kansas City
01:34to figure out where the points are coming from,
01:36where the yardage is coming from here,
01:37outside of Mahomes.
01:39And so I think Mahomes is going to do all the damage here.
01:40But there's a prop where you could pick 12 and a half
01:45or less players to catch a pass today, both teams combined.
01:49You know, and the Eagles are probably only going to have
01:50four or five guys at most.
01:52It's the Chiefs that are the problem.
01:53They might have eight, nine guys catch a pass.
01:56I mean, Joe already named all the Randles.
01:58Before, right?
01:59So here's the Hopkins, Brown.
02:01I mean, they got a lot of guys, Gray, Kelsey.
02:04We haven't even got to the receivers, right?
02:06The running backs, sorry.
02:06Perrine, Hunt, Pacheco.
02:08That's eight guys I just named on top of my head.
02:10They are a problem.
02:11That's why it's very hard to lock down the Chiefs
02:13and their props.
02:15You're better off investing, like say one unit
02:18on all of those Randles,
02:20than probably three units on a Kelsey
02:23to score a touchdown today.
02:24Because one of those is going to hit
02:26and it's going to have a massive return.
02:28And it's just funny.
02:29Like you could just spread it out.
02:30It's like, well, this is a diversify, right?
02:31That's what you got to do with your investments, diversify.
02:33You're better off probably diversifying
02:34with some of these Randles on the Chiefs
02:36than you are heavily investing in a guy like Kelsey.
02:39All right, both defensive touchdown props,
02:40basically seven to one.
02:42Kansas City's very similar to Philadelphia.
02:45It's not something that you expect,
02:47but it has happened previously in the Super Bowl.
02:49And then we have once again,
02:51Kansas City to win in overtime, gentlemen, at 18 to one.
02:55Joe, I'll start with you.
02:56These are just very similar in nature
02:58to the Philadelphia one.
03:00Well, the win in overtime, I think,
03:01is a really good bet for either.
03:03And I think both of these,
03:05you could bet and then just cash one out
03:08or you're going to,
03:10I would bet both of them and just let it play out,
03:12to be honest with you,
03:13because you've already won
03:15and you've already run a huge return, right?
03:16You put 10 bucks on both of these,
03:18you get to overtime, you're a winner.
03:20You're already making a nice return.
03:22So it's actually one of the more interesting ways
03:24to bet this game.
03:25We did finally have an overtime Super Bowl.
03:27These teams are so close.
03:28Okay, why not?
03:29Now the defensive touchdown is interesting.
03:31And the one thing that I would remind everybody,
03:34the ball security of Jalen Hurts historically
03:36has been a little iffy.
03:38This is a guy that if you go back and look at the numbers,
03:40he's 45 career fumbles.
03:42Now that's a good amount.
03:44And I think people forget that
03:45because this year he's been much more economical
03:47with the football,
03:49but it's not impossible that we look
03:50for a Jalen Hurts fumble and a pickup
03:52and a return going the other way.
03:54Not so much an interception.
03:56I think that is where people are looking at,
03:57well, there's maybe not enough attempts in there
03:59where we're looking for Jalen Hurts to maybe throw a pick.
04:02But what about the fumbles?
04:03What about a situation where there's a bad exchange
04:05between him and Barkley?
04:06Or what about maybe him just getting flushed out
04:08of the pocket, not protecting the football enough
04:10with a guy like Chris Jones
04:11or with a guy like Karl Loftus?
04:12That to me, I think is the far more likely scenario
04:15than a pick six is the pickup six,
04:18where you go ahead and just pick up that fumble
04:20and run the other way with it.
04:21Because I think that one is the more likely
04:24of those scenarios when it comes to the chief side
04:25of this defensive touchdown.