Since Donald Trump announced the beginning of the peace negotiations over Russia's war against Ukraine, the US authorities have made several statements on what Ukraine should and should not expect. Yet, there are no indications of any conditions or concessions Moscow will have to settle for.
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00:00Since Donald Trump announced the beginning of the peace negotiations over Russia's war
00:04against Ukraine, the U.S. authorities made several statements on what Ukraine should
00:09and should not expect. As for Moscow, there have been no details on what conditions and
00:14demands will Russia face. Neil Malvin, Director of the International Security at the Royal
00:19United Services Institute, says the situation looks rather favourable for the Kremlin.
00:23Well, I think Russia will feel that it's entering into this potential negotiation with quite
00:29a strong hand. So what they're going to start to do, and you can see this already, is that
00:34they've been laying out what they consider to be their negotiating stance, which is on
00:39very high level. I mean, some of the demands that Russia will make through negotiation
00:44have already been recognised, such as that Ukraine will not become a member of NATO.
00:51So I think what Russia is going to want to do is enter into a direct negotiation with
00:56President Trump, not directly with Ukraine, not with, necessarily, the Europeans in the room.
01:05But what is it that Russia wants to achieve? Trump repeatedly said that he wants the war
01:09to end without clarifying the terms. Kuiv insists that its main goal is a lasting, reliable,
01:15just peace. Moscow, on the other hand, never revealed its vision of peace.
01:20I don't think peace is Russia's primary goal. I mean, President Putin entered this war.
01:25I mean, it was a war that he started for two particular reasons.
01:29I mean, one is because he has a particular historical vision of Russia, which is about a greater Russia,
01:37about the Russia of even the pre-revolutionary period, the pre-Soviet period,
01:44a kind of a Russian imperial, a Russian empire, and which many of the lands of contemporary Ukraine
01:50are seen in that vision as being core Russian lands because they were seized by various Russian tsars.
01:56And secondly, to push back on the Euro-Atlantic solidarity and, notably, the US security presence in Europe.
02:06And while it does seem as if only Ukraine is being pushed to concessions, what Moscow is limited by
02:12is time, Melvin says. If the talks drag on for too long and become too complicated,
02:19Trump might give up and the war will be left unresolved with much less interest from the United States.