• 2 days ago
The last time anyone other than a fighter pilot went supersonic was 20 years ago. Today, you can only visit a Concorde in a handful of museums. It's a relic, left behind by an industry that invested in efficiency rather than speed.

Now, companies are investing billions of dollars in restoring commercial Mach-speed flight, but the path to supersonic travel isn't going to be easy. Business Insider's Daniel Allen looks at the key reasons that bringing back supersonic is almost impossible.

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00:00The last time anybody besides a fighter pilot was able to hit Mach speed was in one of these.
00:09But that was 20 years ago.
00:11The Concorde didn't just hit Mach speed, it went double the speed of sound, flying
00:15from New York to London in under three hours.
00:19Today you can only go visit a Concorde in a handful of museums.
00:23It's a relic, left behind by an industry that invested in efficiency rather than speed.
00:29Look online and you'll see that there's a huge appetite for supersonic travel.
00:34The race to supersonic is heating up.
00:37I've talked to nearly all the companies building these new planes, and I asked them,
00:41why is it so hard to bring back supersonic?
00:44And what's the limit to how fast a passenger plane can actually go?
00:50In order to understand the challenges that they're up against, I decided to start here
00:54at the Concorde.
01:00So my first impression of the plane is that the head clearance walking in is extremely low.
01:05I'm 6'4", and I have to really uncomfortably duck down just to get in this doorway.
01:10So we're going to see what it's like inside, but it's obvious that this plane's dimensions
01:15are totally different from normal commercial airlines.
01:18First of all, the head clearance in here, thank God, is a little bit better.
01:23But I am about touching, if I stand up straight, my head is touching here.
01:27So it is pretty narrow and low.
01:30Here's my hand against the window.
01:32Look at how small it is.
01:33When this plane was flying at such a high altitude, if there was a failure of one of
01:38the windows, these small windows were meant to slow that cabin depressurization.
01:43So it was a safety measure.
01:44And actually, on some of the newer planes that we're talking about, they don't even
01:48have windows.
01:49Attention Concorde passengers, on today's menu, Duck L'Orange, caviar, and champagne.
01:57Lots of champagne.
01:58I always wanted to hold one of these.
02:00Anyway, one of the things about the Concorde, it wasn't just about speed.
02:04It was about luxury.
02:06Every seat on this plane was considered first class, and the service was first class.
02:12There was a culture created on this plane of frequent flyers.
02:16A lot of the time, celebrities were getting invited to the front, to the cockpit.
02:21And the pilots that we talked to have some really fond memories of meeting those people,
02:26interacting with them, and almost creating friendships with them.
02:30The rock stars of that era, you know, the Rolling Stones, the Beatles, they would use
02:35it quite a lot.
02:37And they'd certainly be there.
02:38And I certainly remember them.
02:39And I had a menu where I was collecting my favorite rock stars' signatures.
02:46I sent it back to somebody.
02:47I won't mention the name.
02:48I sent it back to somebody for that person to sign.
02:51And they thought it was a gift for them, as it was their birthday.
02:54And they walked off with it, which was a bit of a blow, to put it mildly.
02:59This is the forward-most cabin before we get to the front of the plane and the cockpit.
03:04And I'm comfortably standing up now, finally.
03:06So that might be explained by the fact that, as you can see, the body of the plane gets
03:10sort of narrower towards the back.
03:13So we're in the front of the plane.
03:15We're towards the cockpit.
03:16The view is extremely narrow.
03:18If this was a car, I would not feel comfortable driving this on the road, because the visibility
03:24down to the ground is extremely poor, hence the droop snout design.
03:29So the Concorde's droop snoot was a feature that allowed pilots to see the runway during
03:35takeoff and landing, but then snap back into place when it was hitting supersonic speeds
03:39over the Atlantic Ocean.
03:42The beginning of the end for Concorde came in 2000.
03:45After about 30 years of service, tragedy struck.
03:50So we're underneath the plane now, and you can see the landing gear on each side.
03:55And one of the things that's understood about when the plane actually did crash is that
04:01there was one of the tires hit something on the runway, and it kicked up the piece of
04:07debris into the jet fuel tanks, which are right here.
04:11And that's what caused the fire that caused the eventual crash.
04:16Concorde did start flying again not long after, but its fate seemed sealed.
04:21And the last flight was a few years later, on the 26th of November, 2003.
04:25So over 20 years later, have any of these companies solved the big problems that Concorde
04:30faced while it was flying?
04:32Probably the most challenging obstacle these planes will have to overcome is their noise.
04:37The sound of a sonic boom has remained the biggest obstacle to supersonic flight since
04:41the very beginning.
04:46So far, 7,000 people have complained to the Ministry of Technology and to the Noise Abatement
04:51Society.
04:52Only one man has seemed to have come out in direct praise of the boom, and that's a 74-year-old
04:57old-age pensioner who claims that the boom has cured him of his deafness.
05:05We got a purpose to stop the Concorde.
05:08In 1973, following a public outcry, the U.S. banned overland flights for supersonic jets,
05:15followed by most other countries.
05:17That's why the Concorde was only ever allowed to fly supersonic over water.
05:21Planes have been getting quieter over the past 50 years, too.
05:25That's thanks to improvements in aircraft design and more stringent government regulations
05:29on sound.
05:31So a loudly booming supersonic jet would be even more noticeable compared to modern subsonic
05:36travel.
05:38So how does a sonic boom actually work?
05:40Here's what happens when anything travels faster than the speed of sound.
05:44So, sound is a wave of pressure.
05:46For a stationary object, it travels in concentric circles out from where the object is.
05:51The waves of sound get pressed up against each other.
05:54And that wall of high pressure?
05:56That is the sound barrier.
05:58Breaking that barrier means an object is traveling faster than the sound it makes.
06:02It leaves behind a loud shockwave, kind of like the wake behind a boat that's going really
06:06fast.
06:07And that is what you call a sonic boom.
06:09If a plane booms too close to the ground, it can actually shatter glass.
06:22Many people, including myself before making this video, thought that a plane booms one
06:27time when it breaks the sound barrier, and then it's quiet as it's moving through
06:30the air.
06:31That's actually not what happens.
06:33As long as a plane is traveling faster than the speed of sound, it's leaving that sonic
06:38boom sound behind.
06:40For every thousand feet of altitude, the boom carpet left behind the plane is about a mile
06:45wide.
06:46So, a plane traveling past Mach speed at 60,000 feet has a 60-mile-wide swath of land underneath
06:52it that's hearing that boom boom sound wherever it goes.
06:57And for those on the ground, that boom is about 105 decibels.
07:01That's at least twice as loud as a normal plane flying overhead, and it's equivalent
07:05to standing next to a chainsaw or a car horn.
07:10So let's look at our four planes.
07:12It's worth noting that I originally spoke to five key players, but one of them went
07:16under while we were making this video.
07:18And it just goes to show you how much of a challenge developing these planes can be.
07:23Each of them has completely different approaches to supersonic travel, and each faces different
07:28challenges.
07:29The X-59, Boom, and Concorde all use similar technologies, flying at 60,000 feet and hitting
07:36between Mach 1.4 and Mach 2.
07:39Those kinds of speeds can get you from New York to London in three hours, rather than
07:43the usual seven.
07:45The Halcyon will use a ramjet engine along the turbofan to get it all the way up to Mach
07:495.
07:51That would get you from New York to London in just an hour and a half.
07:54And the Stargazer is using a detonation rocket engine, something you don't commonly see outside
08:00of missiles.
08:01That might just do the same trip from New York to London in under one hour.
08:06So how are these four planes going to tackle the noise issue?
08:10Boom's Overture isn't looking to reduce the sonic boom at all at Mach 1.7.
08:15With Overture 1, we're starting really simple.
08:17We're putting sonic booms out over open ocean where no one's there to hear them.
08:22U.S. regulations still ban all commercial planes from going supersonic over land.
08:27But researchers at MIT found that 78% of demand for supersonic transport was over land routes.
08:34Almost 40% of that was on U.S. domestic flights.
08:38If these regulations change, Boom says the Overture could achieve a boomless cruise,
08:44flying at just over the speed of sound over land without an audible sonic boom.
08:49But this phenomenon requires specific atmospheric conditions to achieve.
08:54Flying any faster than that, without making a lot of noise, requires some really innovative
08:59design.
09:00And that's where the X-59 comes in.
09:02The X-59 isn't aiming for commercial supersonic flight like the others.
09:07It's actually one of 66 X-planes developed by the U.S. government.
09:11The X is for experimental.
09:13The first X-plane was the Bell X-1, which was the first plane to break the sound barrier
09:18in 1947.
09:20The X-13 tested vertical takeoff and landing.
09:23The X-15 was the fastest piloted aircraft that never left Earth's atmosphere, and it
09:28hit Mach 6.7.
09:31It's taken NASA and Lockheed six years to build a prototype X-59.
09:37First off, X-59's engine is on the top, not underneath the wings.
09:41So by putting the engine on top, we kind of shield that shockwave from reaching the ground.
09:47Then there's the nose.
09:48It's a little hard to miss, as it's 38 feet long.
09:52The idea of minimizing the sonic boom is to keep those shockwaves small, weak, and relatively
09:59evenly spaced.
10:01So that long nose essentially starts that process.
10:04It sets up those initial shockwaves to be weak and kind of equally spaced along the
10:09first part of the airplane.
10:11And lastly, the light carbon fiber further helps to reduce the plane's weight.
10:16Otherwise, the X-59 is built from parts of other planes.
10:19It's got a T-38 cockpit, which is a favorite for test pilots, and landing gear from an F-16.
10:25So, did NASA actually figure out how to quiet the boom?
10:29We feel that we have.
10:30I mean, we have shown in a wind tunnel, in an experiment and analysis, that an airplane
10:39can be shaped so that instead of producing a boom, it produces a thump.
10:44Their aim is to reduce the boom from 105 to 75 perceived decibels.
10:51That's equivalent to either a car door closing across the street, or the sound of distant
10:56thunder.
10:57As part of the Quiet Supersonic mission, NASA has exposed communities to a simulated sonic
11:02thump.
11:04In 2018, they conducted one of these surveys in Galveston, Texas, with 500 civilian volunteers.
11:19Eventually, the actual X-59 will make about 60 flights over a variety of yet-to-be-named
11:24communities in the U.S. to collect more data.
11:27But there's another, much simpler way to reduce the sonic boom.
11:31Fly higher.
11:32Both the Stargazer and the Halcyon want to fly much faster, and much higher, than the
11:36other supersonic planes.
11:38It turns out, at roughly about 100,000 feet, a sonic boom about 100,000 feet is inaudible
11:47to the human ear.
11:49We can measure it with scientific instruments, but it's inaudible to the human.
11:53That's Dr. Andrew Duggleby, the CTO and co-founder of Venus Aerospace.
11:57Just flying higher sounds like the easy solution, but when you're at those kinds of altitudes,
12:02a whole host of other problems quickly appear.
12:05So right here on this chart, at 26,000 feet, is the death zone.
12:09That's where the air becomes too thin to breathe.
12:11It's why most climbers need oxygen to summit Everest.
12:15Almost all planes cruise higher than this.
12:17But the higher the altitude, the bigger the risk when something goes wrong.
12:21When you're flying at 100,000 feet, if you lose cabin pressure and you don't manage
12:26it appropriately quickly, your blood will boil.
12:31Oh my god.
12:32So you basically have to treat it like a spacecraft cabin?
12:34Yes.
12:35Airtight.
12:36Yeah.
12:37But I think the solution that you see at the end of the day will look much more like a
12:41hybrid between a spacecraft cabin and an aircraft cabin today than just a pure aircraft cabin.
12:45For high-altitude military planes like the SR-71, the pilots actually had to wear sort
12:50of a modified spacesuit because of the danger of the altitude and speed that they were flying.
12:55Are CEOs going to want a spacesuit up to get to their meeting in Tokyo a little earlier?
12:59I'm not so sure about that.
13:02To be in a plane like this, there are so many things that could go wrong at a high altitude
13:07that you really need to protect your body from a worst-case scenario.
13:10And it's not just the pressure at high altitudes.
13:13There's one more problem with flying that high and that fast.
13:18You'll notice on this part of the wing, there's some black heat shielding.
13:22And the reason for that is that certain parts of this plane would be exposed to the most
13:26amount of friction at speed.
13:28The heat that could be experienced on the outside of this plane could sometimes top
13:32250 degrees Fahrenheit, combined with the fact that the exterior temperature was well
13:36below zero at the high altitude, negative 75.
13:40That heat and cold caused a lot of stress on the outside of the plane.
13:44It meant that it needed a lot of maintenance, and it meant that it was a limit to how fast
13:49this plane could go.
13:50Going faster than Mach 2, Mach 3, Mach 4, Mach 5, you need to get into exotic materials.
13:55Aluminum, like this plane is made out of, just doesn't cut it anymore.
13:59It's when you get really fast that heat becomes the biggest problem.
14:03Aerodynamic heating increases non-linearly with speed.
14:07That means that as speed increases, the temperature rise becomes more dramatic.
14:11What hypersonic really meant is the speed at which, pardon my French, it's the speed
14:15at which heat kicks your ass.
14:18It's where heat becomes the defining problem.
14:22If you're trying to go make a missile, sure, maybe you want to go hypersonic because you
14:26have other reasons to go really, really fast to avoid defenses.
14:29There might be military reasons to go crazy, blazing, fast, hot, but I bet if I look at
14:36this from a, I want to sell commercial flights, how do I keep the cost down and competitive?
14:40I bet I don't want to fly a Mach 5.
14:43One of the centerpieces of this museum is obviously the SR-71 Blackbird.
14:48You can see on the tail fin here, there's the symbol of Skunk Works, which are the people
14:53from Lockheed Martin, their sort of top secret division that works on stuff like this.
14:58This plane broke speed records going over Mach 3.
15:01It's one of the fastest aircraft of all time, and everything about it is built for high
15:06speed and to deal with heat.
15:09The SR-71 actually reached 600 degrees at Mach 3.2, and the glass in the cockpit here
15:16was actually an inch and a quarter thick quartz material.
15:20If you were to touch that, even with gloves on, you would burn your hand.
15:25So underneath the plane, the tires, again, because of the heat and the speed that it
15:29was traveling, these tires actually have inside of them nitrogen, not oxygen.
15:34The oxygen would just blow up at the speeds that this was going and the temperature it
15:38was hitting.
15:39And they also have a silver look to them because they contain aluminum, again, to deal with
15:43high heat that the plane was experiencing.
15:47The only way the fuselage could survive these temperatures was to make the entire thing
15:51out of titanium alloy, which is 10 times more expensive than aluminum.
15:56It's important to note that things that go into space and re-enter hit Mach speeds that
16:00are a completely different class.
16:03This thing would re-enter the atmosphere somewhere between Mach 16 and Mach 20.
16:08And that's why we always see on the space shuttles this black heat shielding on the
16:13front.
16:14That's actually reinforced carbon.
16:16As it's re-entering the atmosphere, it's exposed to heat that's on a different order of magnitude
16:21than anything that's flying, you know, at 100,000 or even 180,000 feet.
16:26But even though these hypersonic planes aren't going to be hitting space shuttle speeds,
16:30finding solutions to these problems is going to take time and money.
16:38The Overture has been in development for 10 years at this point, and Boom's test plane
16:45just broke the sound barrier in late January 2025.
16:48There we are.
16:50XB-1 is supersonic, faster than the speed of sound.
16:54The X-59 is expected to take its first flight in 2025 and has already cost $632 million.
17:02That sounds like a lot, but building a plane is never cheap.
17:06Both the Airbus A380 and Boeing 787 Dreamliner cost over $20 billion to develop, and that's
17:13with huge manufacturing arms already in place.
17:16The CEO of Boeing said if they were to develop a new plane today, it would cost $50 billion.
17:24Exosonic was going to be the fifth plane on our list.
17:26They were also aiming for a very achievable sounding Mach 1.8 plane using already existing
17:32engine technology.
17:33They closed their doors completely in November 2024.
17:37I spoke with the CEO before they went under, and he was a little more realistic about timeframes
17:41for this technology.
17:43So at least for the airliner, we don't see that coming into the market until like mid
17:47to late 2030s, which I think, you know, UBS or some other bank had a similar conclusion.
17:55The speed of developing these planes isn't helped by the fact that there's literally
17:59only one place you can fly supersonic planes over land in the United States, the Edwards
18:04Air Force Base.
18:07We can take off and immediately climb up to 30,000 feet where we're now cleared to go
18:11supersonic and that doesn't exist basically anywhere else in the country and certainly
18:15probably not even around the world.
18:16Edwards Air Force Base was established around two dry lake beds.
18:20It's roughly 35-ish square miles of naturally dry, compacted surface that's hard enough
18:27to land airplanes on.
18:28There are other areas, especially over the water, where you can be doing supersonic flight
18:32tests, but that's not exactly a place you want to be if something goes wrong during
18:37the flight test.
18:38I don't want to be over the water and I certainly don't want to be far away from a landable
18:41surface.
18:42But the area is not completely uninhabited.
18:45We asked a few people in nearby towns what a sonic boom sounds like.
18:49I've heard it described as the sound of freedom.
18:52Well, sometimes you get the rumbling, the building will shake, and other times it's
18:56just a loud like MAD or something going off, a big explosion.
19:01So when people come here and not from the area, they hear the noise and the first thing
19:04they want to do is run out the store because they think it's an earthquake.
19:08So to me it's funny and I just look at the reaction and then let them know it's a sonic
19:12boom.
19:13So, NASA, Lockheed Martin, Boom, Hermes, and other organizations building supersonic prototypes
19:19will at some point be testing in this one strip of land in California.
19:23And it's not just the test flights.
19:25Finding the space to test engines is even more of a challenge.
19:29But that's changing.
19:30And we went to Jacksonville, Florida, to check out why.
19:33This is Cecil Airport, it's outside Jacksonville.
19:37We're here for a press event.
19:38So basically Hermes is opening up a new facility here that's called HEAT and it's going to
19:45be for testing engines.
19:48And they've got their quarter horse prototype plane inside the hangar here, so we're going
19:54to get to check that out, which is pretty cool.
19:56Let's go take a look at this plane, wow, this looks crazy, look at this.
20:02So in order to test the engines associated with hypersonic flight, there's only a couple
20:07places in the country that you can do it at the scale that we need, at the scale of the
20:10F-100.
20:11And that primarily, the kind of like go-to one is Arnold Engineering Development Complex.
20:16That facility is bottlenecked in the entire country because everyone wants to get in there.
20:21And so what we want to do is not only bring in something that will help us accelerate
20:25our roadmap that isn't bottlenecked where everyone is trying to get there, but also
20:29increase the capability of the country.
20:31So this is the tunnel, this is the inside of the tunnel where they're going to be testing
20:35things like the quarter horse and other engines.
20:39And it's hard to tell, but it's super, super quiet.
20:44Hermes, an Atlanta-based firm, is arguably the furthest along in testing their hypersonic
20:49prototypes.
20:50They're planning to modify the Pratt & Whitney F-100.
20:54That's the same engine that's inside an F-16.
20:56So what they're doing is cocooning that engine inside of proprietary technology to take what
21:01was an engine that could go Mach 2 and giving it the capability to go Mach 4, 5, and above.
21:08You spend a lot of time in Washington.
21:09I do.
21:10And that means you're probably talking to people from the Department of Defense.
21:14The systems you see the department investing in right now are one-way systems, right?
21:18You send them, they launch, and then they don't return.
21:21And so every time you-
21:22AKA missiles.
21:23Missiles.
21:24$20 million a shot or more.
21:27And so the cost is really challenging to scale.
21:29When you have a vehicle that returns, the cost per effect of those munitions significantly
21:34decreases.
21:35It would also have the impact of unlocking a lot of private capital.
21:39Hypersonic weapons are at the center of an arms race among the world's superpowers.
21:43That's because a hypersonic missile remains within the Earth's atmosphere, unlike an ICBM,
21:48which goes up in a sort of parabola and then comes back down.
21:52In theory, it makes hypersonic missiles harder to detect.
21:55The U.S. has spent over $10 billion on hypersonic weapons so far, about 3% of the overall R&D
22:02budget for defense.
22:03And it seems to be with good reason.
22:06China may have already tested a hypersonic nuclear weapon.
22:10And they've built wind tunnels that can test speeds up to Mach 30.
22:14According to articles we've read, Chinese scientists have patented an engine that can
22:18go up to Mach 16.
22:20And one Chinese company, called Space Transportation, is building what they call a rocket with wings.
22:26Take a look at this wild CGI video.
22:31Do you think that the United States is behind on hypersonic?
22:35I think it's an incredibly difficult competition.
22:37We have a different approach in general to how China and Russia have taken it.
22:42I mean, the flight tests kind of speak for themselves.
22:45The pace of flight testing that China, the CCP, have been able to demonstrate over the
22:50past decade exceeds ours by an order of magnitude.
22:54And I think that speaks for itself.
22:56So I guess the last question is, when will you feel like hypersonic passenger planes
23:02are a real thing?
23:04Ask me again once we've flown a hypersonic aircraft.
23:07That's step one that we've got to prove out.
23:10So we know it's going to take a long time before supersonic or even hypersonic passenger
23:14planes are going to be in the air.
23:16And development is going to take a lot of investment, another problem that Concorde
23:21just didn't have.
23:23The development of the Concorde was completely subsidized by the governments of France and
23:27the United Kingdom.
23:28Rolls-Royce, the engine manufacturer, was actually government-owned during the Concorde
23:32era because it had filed for bankruptcy.
23:36The airlines didn't even have to buy the planes.
23:38I mean, initially, let's face it, the airplane was basically given to British Airways.
23:41I mean, they didn't have to pay a cent for it.
23:44That level of state investment just isn't happening today.
23:48And that's definitely going to slow development.
23:50I wouldn't be surprised if we saw a commercial supersonic around 2050.
23:56And to kind of unpack that, we would need to have both low-boom aircraft and very abundant,
24:03very cheap SAFs in order for supersonics to succeed.
24:07And 2050 is about the timeframe that I think it could happen.
24:11That's Dan Rutherford.
24:12He's an environmental engineer that's been researching aviation emissions and policy
24:16for about 15 years.
24:18SAF stands for Sustainable Aviation Fuel.
24:22It's still an emerging technology, but it's one that's going to play a crucial role when
24:25it comes to these planes because of just how much fuel they need.
24:32Let's compare fuel use against standard subsonic airline travel.
24:36Commercial planes vary, but take the two most common planes flying today, the Boeing 737
24:41and the Airbus A320.
24:42Now, this, of course, varies on route, weight, and lots of other factors.
24:47But as a fairly high estimate, they both use around three tons of fuel per hour.
24:52Now compare that to the Concorde, which used a massive 22.6 tons per hour and for a lot
24:58fewer passengers.
24:59Even if you were to calculate it per distance, Concorde gets 13.48 miles per gallon to a
25:05777's 80.
25:07Now it's obvious that jet fuel is different from petrol.
25:10It's actually closer to diesel.
25:12But for a simple comparison, a full flight on Concorde is the emissions equivalent of
25:16every passenger on board driving from London to New York in a Ferrari 812 Competizione.
25:22And not only is it burning more fuel, but even the same amount of fuel use could be
25:26worse for the environment at higher altitudes too.
25:29Because supersonics would fly very, very high in the sky, there's a concern that emissions
25:35from their engines will have a disproportionate impact, especially on the climate.
25:40And just kind of ballpark figure, if a plane is operating at, say, 33,000 feet, emissions
25:48from its engine stays in the atmosphere for like two or three days.
25:53But if you take it and you make it supersonic and you fly it 55,000 feet, what we call the
25:59residence time, or the amount of time that pollution stays in the atmosphere, is more
26:03like two or three years.
26:06And that's very concerning both from climate change and then for ozone depletion.
26:10How are these newer planes going to solve this efficiency problem?
26:13Well, the truth is they really aren't.
26:16The main problem is the faster you go, the less efficient travel becomes.
26:21In fact, Saudi Arabia wants to invest in supersonics precisely because of this.
26:26They highlighted the future of supersonic flight as a key focus in their oil sustainability program.
26:32Here's a graph showing the drop-off in efficiency at greater speeds.
26:36The higher up on the graph, the more efficient the plane.
26:39Boom is probably the closest of these projects to reality, and they claim that the Overture
26:44is 30% more fuel efficient than Concorde.
26:47Maybe moving them up here.
26:49The Halcyon will be using a ramjet and end up somewhere around here on the graph, just
26:53beyond the SR-71.
26:56The Stargazer uses a similar engine, but also adds their brand new rotating detonation rocket
27:01engine for higher speeds.
27:04Rockets are way more inefficient, and if you look at the bottom of the chart, that's where
27:08you're going to see the rocket propulsion.
27:10Not a lot of planes use rocket propulsion for that reason.
27:13Compared to the Concorde's 22 tons of fuel per hour, this thing burned 20 tons of fuel
27:19per second.
27:22Now it's not an exact comparison, obviously, because the planes that we're talking about
27:27are not launching directly up to get out of Earth's gravity well, but it just gives you
27:32an idea of how much fuel it takes to move weight, you know, up into the atmosphere.
27:38I mean, you could kind of see the design is different, right?
27:42They're more compact.
27:44It's just about throwing as much power through it as you can.
27:49Venus is targeting a specific impulse of 1,250 seconds, which the company claims will put
27:56its hybrid rocket ramjet engine in line with standard ramjet performance.
28:01But that's still 80% less efficient than the 747.
28:05And rather than 400 passengers, it carries only 12.
28:10Airplane efficiency may not be the sexiest topic, but all of these planes will undoubtedly
28:15be worse for the environment than subsonic travel we have now.
28:18It's not just the environmental impacts either.
28:20This fuel costs a lot of money, and it might just be the make or break reason that flying
28:25supersonic just isn't profitable for these companies.
28:29It's a lovely goal.
28:31Everyone wants to go higher, faster, farther.
28:33We don't like to use that phrase too much, but at some point there are limits.
28:39In the case of airplanes, the limit for speed is Mach 1, a little bit below it, practically
28:44speaking, to be commercially viable.
28:46Beyond that, no.
28:48Here's a graph of jet fuel prices over the last 50 years.
28:52This flat period of low prices was Concorde's era.
28:55Since then, fuel prices have shot up.
28:57So while a trip on the Concorde in 1999 costs about $154 per passenger and fuel, that flight
29:04today would cost over $700.
29:07And for Boom, the numbers are looking much worse.
29:10They've made a commitment to sustainable jet fuel.
29:12Today's airplanes are actually only 50-50 compatible with sustainable aviation fuel,
29:17and Overture were designing to run on up to 100% sustainable fuel.
29:22Sustainable jet fuel is a type of jet fuel made from either renewable sources like plants
29:25or algae, or repurposed waste that's intended to have a lower carbon footprint.
29:30The thing to know is that SAFs remain very expensive and very rare.
29:35So typically, SAF costs between two and five times as much as fossil jet fuel.
29:40And it only accounts for two-tenths of 1% of fuel use today.
29:46So it's very much a nation technology.
29:48So if Boom achieves their 25% more efficient than Concorde claims, and SAF costs the $8
29:54per gallon that it cost recently, that means the fuel alone for each passenger on a flight
29:59from London to New York would be around $1,500.
30:03If SAF hits the highs of $10 that it did multiple times last year, that would be almost
30:09$2,000 in fuel costs for every single passenger.
30:14Those are really rough estimates, and maybe Boom will manage to squeeze a little more
30:18efficiency out of their planes.
30:20But it gives you an idea of just how expensive these fuel costs could be.
30:24We reached out to Boom about this, and they told us they're aiming for a $5,000 round
30:29trip ticket.
30:30If that's true, $3,000 to $4,000 of that would be fuel alone.
30:35They told us,
30:36We've designed Overture to be profitable for airlines at fares similar to first and
30:41business class.
30:42That includes fuel costs, which we expect to go down over time as the supply of SAF
30:47increases along with demand.
30:50And there's one other big problem with this plan.
30:52SAF often isn't actually as sustainable as it sounds.
30:56Well, there's a lot of diversity hiding under that term, sustainable aviation fuels.
31:01A SAF can be produced in a sustainable way with a good feedstock and reduce emissions
31:06by 80% or more compared to fossil jet fuel.
31:11But it also can be produced in a way that actually makes it more polluting than fossil
31:15jet fuel.
31:16So to take an example, if you take palm oil that's derived from like a deforested area
31:22and turn that into a SAF, then that's actually going to have higher life cycle emissions
31:27than fossil jet fuel, just because of all the carbon you released when you cut down
31:30the forest.
31:31The U.S. government is aiming for 3 billion gallons of SAF supply in 2030, which is a
31:36hundredfold or more increase from today.
31:39So those would be SAFs produced from corn or soy that offer modest, if any, greenhouse
31:44gas benefits.
31:45It's going to be a tough task to balance out fuel costs, environmental damage, and
31:50heat problems, all while making a comfortable and affordable ride for passengers.
31:56Now that we've seen all the supersonic prototypes, who's actually going to fly on these things?
32:01All the CEOs we talked to said similar things.
32:04I think it's typically the business traveler, folks that you would see flying in business
32:10class or first class today.
32:11When we talk to people who are the most frequent international travelers in business class
32:18and first class, 97% of them say they want supersonic flights.
32:23You land in Japan at 2 p.m. your time, but it's more like 7 a.m. their time, and you
32:28take an Uber or you ride a taxi to the factory.
32:31You're able to have a meeting with whoever you're meeting with for like three hours.
32:35You can then board a flight and get back home in time for dinner.
32:39And in a world of super fast internet and remote calls, do we really need to be flying
32:43these CEOs across the planet at hypersonic speeds?
32:47And finally, for the nearly 10% of CEOs who are super commuters traveling 100 miles or
32:53more to work, one study found that they consistently underperform their localized counterparts,
32:59causing their firms to lose value and their tenure to be shorter.
33:03It's even worse if they own a boat or live near a golf course.
33:06It turns out the only person who would actually fly supersonic and be home in time for dinner
33:11was the pilot of the Concorde.
33:13I would drive my wife early in the morning to the station, our local station.
33:20She'd get on the train, commute into the city, and I would go to Kennedy, get in my Concorde,
33:26fly to London, go swiftly through customs and immigration and come out the other side
33:32and get on as a passenger on the evening Concorde out of Heathrow.
33:38And I'd get back into Kennedy, get in my car, drive up to Katona, and pick my wife
33:45up at the station, she having been to work all day, and me too I suppose.
33:50But even for the ultra wealthy, are they going to pick speed over comfort?
33:54When you can already fly in luxury on a private jet, is the few hours saved going to be enough
33:59to entice people back to supersonic?
34:02Could there be a faster supersonic future?
34:04Maybe.
34:05But it's not happening any time soon, and there's a lot of reasons that people should
34:09think about and be concerned about what the implications of that future might be.

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