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00:00You've allowed yourself to be in a very bad position and he's happens to be right about the very beginning of the war
00:06You're not in a good position. You don't have the cards right now with us. You start having cars right now
00:12You don't know you're playing cards. You're playing cards. You're gambling with the lives of millions of people
00:17You're gambling with World War three
00:20You're gambling with World War three and what you're doing is very disrespectful
00:25Disrespectful to the country, this country, that's backed you far more than a lot of people said they should have
00:33This negotiation has been enforced or forced rather and imposed and it hasn't necessarily been on Ukraine's terms
00:42So I think that they are playing a waiting game to see if the situation will relent somewhat
00:49The pressure will relent somewhat, the conditions are better for entering into negotiations
00:54Rather than rushing into it simply because on the whim of the US president
00:58You haven't been allowed, you haven't been allowed
01:01We gave you, through this stupid president, 350 billion dollars
01:06We gave you military equipment and you men are brave but they had to use our military equipment
01:12If you didn't have our military equipment, if you didn't have our military equipment
01:17This war would have been over in two weeks
01:19In three days, I heard it from Putin, in three days
01:23Maybe less, it's going to be a very hard thing to do business like this
01:28For the Americans, a bad deal is better than no deal
01:34But for the Ukrainians, a bad deal is worse than no deal
01:39And that is a fundamental tension between the two
01:42So there will need to be some form of impasse break in order to move this forward
01:51President Zelensky can't sell out his country for personal and patriotic reasons
01:57Even if he's willing to cede power in order to get some form of compromise from the Americans
02:03That would work, but it's not yet working for the Americans
02:08Who are doubling down on the restrictions they're placing on the Ukrainians, of course
02:21Only manipulation, nothing more, nothing serious
02:25I think we need to worry about this decision
02:29This decision is not final, I'm sure of that
02:33Look at the uproar among the masses of people
02:41It's sad
02:43For you it's sad, for me it's sad
02:48It's sad
02:50And for you?
02:52I think we'll figure something out
02:56I think we have strong diplomacy, and we're not the only ones in the world
03:02Everyone can see how quickly diplomatic events are developing
03:08Today our teams, Ukraine and the United States of America, began working on a meeting
03:16Andrei Yermak and Mike Waltz spoke
03:18There is a positive movement
03:22Let's look forward to the results of the next week
03:46The United States was the ultimate backstop, the ultimate guarantor
03:50Which it no longer is
04:16Zelensky's resignation would not mean that he would be automatically replaced by a Russian puppet
04:26Except in the event of a total Ukrainian defeat in the war, of course
04:30There are other Zelenskys out there, there are other talented individuals
04:34Who will need to defend the country's territorial integrity and independence
04:46I think a mineral deal is under question
04:50For a start, if the Americans are withdrawing with one hand
04:54It puts less pressure on the Ukrainians to do a deal
04:58On the other hand, it is, to be fair, the Ukrainians do want to salvage something from the relationship
05:02I think it's going to be interesting to see what happens
05:06I think it's going to be interesting to see what happens
05:10I think it's going to be interesting to see what happens
05:15I think it's also questionable that President Trump
05:19Is purely transactional and purely commercial in his interests
05:23Because if he were, then actually this deal would have been done last week
05:27And he would not have put the Ukrainians off in the manner in which he did
05:31Or ambushed them in the manner in which they were
05:44The Saudi views itself as a middling to great power
05:48And obviously a great power in energy and financial terms
05:52And its motivations are indeed principally commercial
05:56It's going to be a very difficult situation
06:00Because if the Americans are withdrawing with one hand
06:04It puts less pressure on the Ukrainians to do a deal
06:08On the other hand, if the Americans are withdrawing with one hand
06:12It puts less pressure on the Ukrainians to do a deal
06:16It's going to be a difficult one
06:20Ultimately, the Ukrainians aren't going to let themselves get pushed around
06:24By a mediator that they don't entirely trust
06:28But then again, the Russians don't trust any mediators either for what it's worth
06:32You believe you have a lot of things to talk about
06:36On the electoral and also on the region
06:40Most countries are increasing their defence spending as a percentage of GDP
06:44And so this is happening
06:48The problem is that there is a gap between the Europeans realising this
06:52Making it happen, and the lifeline that Ukraine has under more deleterious circumstances
06:56That gap is ultimately built up by the Russians
07:00That gap is ultimately the crucial question
07:04As to whether Ukraine can hold out that long
07:30Thank you very much
08:00The Russians, of course, have been emboldened and encouraged
08:04By recent moves from the US
08:08That gives them a morale boost
08:12And the ability to stay in the game longer
08:16On the other hand, summer is coming
08:20It does get a little bit easier
08:24For the Ukrainians
08:28In those physical conditions
08:32And Ukraine has been stockpiling in the knowledge that this was likely to happen
08:36And can therefore hold out probably longer than many people assume
08:40So in fact there is still all to play for
08:44And as has been the case for the last few years now
08:48This war could actually go either way
08:52And much depends on the political will of the West
08:56To step up to the plate in America's relative absence
09:00Well, I think what's going to happen is Ukraine wants to make a deal
09:04Because I don't think they have a choice
09:08I also think that Russia wants to make a deal
09:12Because in a certain different way, a different way that only I know
09:16Only I know, they have no choice either
09:26Thank you for watching!