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00:00Shota Iminaga makes his second start of the season against L.A.
00:04Dustin May on the other side for the Dodgers.
00:06Despite being in Wrigley, Los Angeles, of course, a favorite.
00:10Minus 126 on that money line.
00:13Total eight and a half.
00:15How does this third and final series between the Cubs and the Dodgers start today?
00:20Yeah, it should be a fun one here.
00:21And I love these, you know, the morning handicaps here.
00:23We don't really know what the actual roster is going to look like tonight at this point.
00:26But obviously, we know who the starting pitchers are going to be.
00:28And in the afternoon, you get into some more of those intricate matchups like lefty-righty splits with XFIP numbers.
00:33But if we're just looking at the game and handicapping it, Dustin May has been really good to start, Ben.
00:3765 total batters he's faced.
00:38How about an 0-34 ISO against and a weighted on base percentage of 171?
00:42That is spectacular.
00:43If you look on a card today, 30 total pitchers that I have rated in this.
00:47And if we're taking a look at May, he actually comes in fifth, Ben, in XFIP.
00:501.06 is an ERA, but a 330 XFIP number translates very well.
00:5568 degrees, 67 degrees in Chicago.
00:57With the wind blowing out the center field lightly at 5 to 6 miles an hour, that should help.
01:01Now, let's go to the opposite side and take a look at Shota Imanaga.
01:04He sets up and looks decent against this Dodgers lineup, who, again, Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts, Teoscar Hernandez, Tommy Edmund, and Will Smith.
01:11All have high ISO power numbers against left-handed pitching.
01:14Now, take a look at this.
01:15Once again, yesterday, we had Vasquez, as I bring up for the Padres.
01:18Had a low ERA, but a really high XFIP number.
01:21Sooner than later, he's going to get hit.
01:23Case in point yesterday, a Detroit Tigers win in six runs that they posted in that game.
01:27Look at Imanaga's, 28 and a third innings pitch, Ben.
01:30His ERA, really good at 2.22.
01:33XFIP, though, double that at 4.86.
01:36So, for my money today, I do look at the Dodgers as that short-price favorite, saying,
01:40well, maybe the ERA doesn't match up with what Imanaga's actually doing.
01:44The Dodgers get to him.
01:45The Dodgers get a victory.
01:46And anytime you see the Dodgers at that minus 120 price, it's like, hey, sale on.
01:51Everybody's for sale today.
01:52Get on the Dodgers.
01:53I'll take them.