八点最热报 | 六州选举尘埃落定,国盟和团结阵营以三比三的战局打成平手。为了突破现有的困局,避免现有马来基本盘受到强打马来民族主义和伊斯兰挂帅的国盟的进一步侵蚀,政策上讨好马来人,向右倾斜是安华接下来唯一的选择吗?(主播:萧慧敏)
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00:00 Before watching the video, I remind you that there is more content on the Hotline.
00:03 Yesterday's six-state election further confirmed that the green tide continues to play.
00:08 The Nationalist Party of China even won the eight-state election in which the Uyghur rebelled.
00:12 Officially replacing the Uyghur, it became the political first choice for the Malays.
00:15 Judging from the election of the two sides,
00:17 although the Ximen Nationalist Camp has stabilized the original three-state regime,
00:21 but not only can't grab more Malays votes,
00:24 but also lost more Malays.
00:27 In the nearly 70% objective reality of the Malays election,
00:30 can a regime without Malays can be stable?
00:33 In order to break through the existing dilemma,
00:35 and avoid the existing Malays' fundamentalist party being further invaded by the powerful Malays,
00:39 and the Islamic League,
00:42 is it the only choice for Anhua to favor the Malays and lean to the right?
00:49 After the mid-term results were settled, many analysts pointed out that
00:52 in our country's political reality, numbers are the key.
00:56 If the Malays' support rate keeps decreasing, the regime will be in danger.
01:00 Therefore, in order to improve the Malays' public opinion and grab the Malays' support,
01:03 Anhua has no other choice but to lean to the right and lean to the Malays' nationalism.
01:10 Political scholar Huang Jingfa believes that
01:11 this election conveys a very obvious message,
01:14 that is, the grassroots of the Uyghur was cut in half by the Ximen and the Nationalist.
01:19 In other words, Ximen originally hoped to use the power of the Uyghur to increase Malays' votes,
01:23 but it was in vain.
01:26 The votes of the Uyghur were not only not successfully transferred to Ximen,
01:29 but also left to the Nationalist.
01:31 Professor Shaza, a deputy professor of the International Islamic University,
01:34 believes that Anhua cannot be allowed to lose support in the Malays' society,
01:39 because this is not a proper choice for any Malays' leader.
01:43 But political scholar Pan Yongqiang believes that
01:45 if Anhua chooses to lean to the right,
01:49 it will be in a dilemma,
01:51 because Anhua's core basic group is the open Malays and non-Malays.
01:56 This group is the core force that stabilizes Ximen in Xuezhou and Bincheng.
02:01 If Anhua leans to the right,
02:03 it will lose its original basic group.
02:06 This election result is a defeat for Anhua.
02:11 And it is a defeat that Anhua has encountered twice in a short period of eight months.
02:17 It is the loss of support in the name of the Malays.
02:20 This will have a certain impact on the government's responsibility in the future.
02:26 Political scholar Pan Yongqiang pointed out
02:27 that the support of the Malays for the Nationalist Party is close to 70%.
02:31 This shows that Anhua and the United Government have lost support in the name of the Malays.
02:35 In order to win the hearts of the Malays,
02:36 will the Anhua government start leaning to the right
02:38 and implement more policies to please the Malays?
02:41 Professor Shaza, a deputy professor of the International Islamic University,
02:44 believes that although the Anhua government has always been open and focused on diversity,
02:47 in the political reality, they have no choice but to do so in order to win support.
02:51 It's logical, it's rational for them to move in the same way as society.
02:57 If they don't, then they will definitely lose future elections.
03:00 And people will say, "Oh, so you're thinking about future elections."
03:03 Of course they're thinking about future elections.
03:05 They're politicians, right?
03:06 You can't say, "Yes, they should be ideological,
03:09 they should have a stand and if they are centre-right, then stay centre-right."
03:15 It's true, but then what's the point?
03:17 Politician Huang Jinfa and Pan Yongqiang also believe
03:20 that Anhua may be leaning more towards the Malays.
03:23 As a leader of the Malays,
03:25 she can't ignore the strong Malaysian opposition.
03:28 But she faces two difficulties.
03:30 Judging from the results of the mid-term elections,
03:31 the one who can help Xi to stabilize the regime
03:34 is the non-Malays.
03:36 If she leans towards the Malays,
03:38 she may lose the basic support.
03:40 If the opposition is leaning towards the Malays,
03:45 or the non-Malays' freedom of movement,
03:49 then there will be a big rebound.
03:51 And the result of that rebound is that Anhua will find herself in a dilemma.
03:56 The non-Malays have become the main, core, and basic support of Xi.
04:02 But if after the mid-term elections,
04:04 Anhua continues to lean towards the Malays' nationalism
04:10 or the right-wing voters who don't offend or get angry,
04:13 how long can her foundation still hold up?
04:17 If you are going extreme,
04:18 meaning that you are copying what the past is doing.
04:21 What the past is doing is rhetoric, all about rhetoric.
04:24 During the campaign, you can gain votes.
04:27 But during the administration,
04:29 the next five years, you need results, you need proof.
04:33 So that's the reason I say,
04:34 Datuk Serena will not go to the extreme as past.
04:38 Asmi Hassan, a political scientist at the University of Kota,
04:40 believes that although the government cannot regain the three states on the East Coast,
04:43 and even the local opposition cannot form,
04:46 this is a game of chance.
04:48 Because this will allow voters to compare the results of the states
04:52 that the two parties have governed in four years.
04:54 Xi must show the voters of the National Alliance
04:57 how to develop their GDP better than the states that the National Alliance has governed.
05:02 GDP will demonstrate how efficient the government is.
05:05 And if the Kelantan state government, Tengganu and Kedah state government,
05:10 in terms of GDP, is still at the bottom peak,
05:13 meaning the bottom three,
05:15 I think it will create a signal in Selangor, Negeri Sembilan,
05:19 and also in Penang, that they need a state government
05:22 that aligns with the National Alliance and also the Parasat National.
05:26 Asmi Hassan, a political scientist at the University of Kota,
05:32 believes that the real way to restore the support of Malays
05:34 and at the same time stabilize the basic plate of non-Malays
05:36 is to start with politics.
05:39 Data speaks for itself.
05:40 Especially now that Zhou Zhengxuan is more clear-cut,
05:43 he can send a signal to the Malays
05:46 who support the National Alliance through the development of the state,
05:49 telling them how the government can be better
05:52 and more able to promote economic development and improve life.
05:56 And there will be no major election activities next,
05:58 so the IPO government still has four years to start from the economy
06:02 to turn the hearts of Malays.
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06:08 (Music)
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