PointsBet's Billy Brownless and Daisy Thomas preview of this weekend's AFL matches providing their best tips. Head over Heart is sponsored content presented by PointsBet. Gamble responsibly - Call 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au
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00:10 G'day punters, welcome to Head Over Heart, Billy Brownless.
00:13 Daisy, hello Daisy.
00:14 Hello Bill, how are you?
00:15 Good, we're here for?
00:17 Points bet, of course Bill.
00:18 What a great year it's been.
00:19 I know there's two rounds to go Daisy, but it's been a really good year.
00:22 Yeah, very rarely do you get to this point in the season and have no real idea
00:26 who's going to make up the last three spots on the eight.
00:28 It's going to make for an enthralling last two weeks of the season
00:31 with some big clashes, a couple of sides obviously playing to keep the
00:34 finals dream alive, and people like the Hawks who have got a real chance
00:37 to play party pooper, which they've done in the last two,
00:40 and makes for some real great footy.
00:42 And Carlton are probably the most informed side in the comp right now.
00:45 Absolutely, Carlton are the D's and then of course they roll them
00:48 on the weekend.
00:49 So the Blues, who were 15th not too long ago, find themselves inside
00:53 the top eight, and I think there's only a 1% chance that they can't make finals.
00:57 Wow, thank you Pythagoras.
00:59 Collingwood have been okay, they play Friday night, good game this one
01:02 at Marvell, interesting, and it's 1 v 2.
01:06 Yes, the Pies have a chance to lock up the minor premiership if they're good
01:09 enough to win this one, 1 v 2 on a Friday night.
01:11 Sit down and get excited, this should be an absolute belter.
01:14 Under the lid at Marvell we don't really know about.
01:17 The Lions don't mind this match-up though.
01:19 Collingwood, do they like it?
01:20 I'm not too sure, they don't get there too often, more games played at the MCG.
01:23 The Lions have won their last five against the Pies, but four of those
01:26 have been at the Gabba, so a different side when they have to travel.
01:29 They'll be happy it's at Marvell, not the MCG though.
01:31 But you'd think Collingwood would win this game without Darcy Moore,
01:34 that hurts, because that'll be two, three, four weeks.
01:36 Yes, it will be.
01:37 Probably the good news for the Pies, and we don't want to say it,
01:39 Jack Gunston goes down as well.
01:41 So Moore you'd think would go to Hipwood, or Joe Danaher up there,
01:44 or would have, now they just have to shuffle a little bit.
01:46 Okay, Collingwood in that one.
01:48 What about Carlton?
01:49 They are airborne, eight in a row, they're flying daisy,
01:52 take on the Gold Coast Suns, but it's up there,
01:55 and they don't mind playing up there, the Suns.
01:57 Yes, the Suns don't mind it up there, a different side when they do get back
02:00 to their home patch.
02:01 The Blues though, who saw this coming, Bill?
02:03 They were down and out, the memberships were getting torched
02:05 in microwaves, the fans were going berserk, they wanted the coach sacked,
02:08 they wanted the board sacked, and since then, eight in a row,
02:11 sees them fifth on the ladder, and they are finals bound,
02:15 as I said, only a 1%.
02:16 If they manage to gas this, they may burn the joint down.
02:19 I think the Blues are playing finals.
02:20 So eight weeks ago, they were four wins, eight losses, one draw.
02:23 Round 15, Bill, they were 15th on the ladder.
02:26 They now find themselves in fifth.
02:27 Well done to Carlton, to everyone in there, the admin staff,
02:31 the team, and Vossie.
02:33 So well done to everyone there, and go Carlton, of course.
02:36 We think they'll win that one there.
02:38 What about this one?
02:39 Saints take on Geelong.
02:40 This is a good game.
02:41 We love this one.
02:42 Saturday night footy at Marble Stadium.
02:44 This is interesting.
02:45 So you killed a sixth on the ladder, Geelong are 11th,
02:48 but you've got a good stat here.
02:50 Why are they so short?
02:51 Well, the last seven times the Cats have come up the highway
02:53 to play at Marble, a side who's higher than them on the ladder,
02:57 they've got the win.
02:58 So they don't mind it.
02:59 They like causing upsets.
03:00 The Saints, though, I haven't given them enough credit
03:02 throughout the season.
03:03 I thought the weekend again was going to test them
03:05 against the Tigers, and they were absolutely brilliant.
03:08 Ross Lyon, hard, tough, really well organised defence.
03:11 The Tigers had no answers, and I think they can stifle the Cats
03:14 in this one as well.
03:15 Yeah, well, Rowan Marshall's been very good in the ruck, of course.
03:18 Maxie King, he's back in town.
03:20 Any time you kick six, that's very handy.
03:22 Well, he had the shoulder.
03:23 I thought he was out for the year, and he's been really, really good.
03:25 The little guys as well, though.
03:26 Higgins and Butler down there, and Gresham as well.
03:28 They've been very good.
03:29 Dangerous.
03:30 So some good signs for the Saints.
03:32 And also, their defence holds up really well,
03:34 covered a little bit by the midfielder who rolled back.
03:36 But the Cats, if they can't get the ball quickly in there,
03:38 I think the Saints can have a field day.
03:40 Interesting.
03:41 I think the Cats - who are you tipping?
03:42 No, I'm going with Geelong.
03:43 I'll go out on a limb.
03:44 Here we go, Melbourne take on Hawthorne.
03:46 I tell you what, now the Ds are going OK.
03:48 They must win this one.
03:49 They want that top four position.
03:50 Must win.
03:51 But if there's a side in the competition right now you don't want to play,
03:54 it's the Hawks.
03:55 Yeah, well, talking about party poopers in the lead in their build,
03:58 the Hawks have done it last too.
03:59 Rolled the pies, no-one saw that coming.
04:01 And then go down to the Western Bulldogs down there in Utah
04:04 and get a win as well.
04:05 Fall in over the line there.
04:06 So they are salvaging something from the season.
04:09 Nice springboard for them come pre-season.
04:11 The Ds just have to win this.
04:12 The 1 and 2 will be massive come the finals time.
04:15 The home ground advantage and the Ds,
04:17 they wouldn't want to be in third taking on the Brisbane Lions
04:19 in the first week of finals.
04:21 I think they win this one and do it quite comfortably.
04:23 Yeah, I think they do.
04:24 I think it will be a tougher game than we think.
04:26 John Newcombe, outstanding.
04:27 Your boy from Poo Wong, hard and tough.
04:29 Poo Wong is hard.
04:30 Will Day as well.
04:31 Yeah, Will Day.
04:32 But the Ds to win that one, Daisy,
04:33 and please tell me you've downloaded your points back.
04:35 I have, Bill.
04:36 It only takes a minute of your time to get access to all those markets
04:38 and anything else you may need on your weekend's footy.
04:40 Have a great weekend and happy punting.
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