PointsBet's Billy Brownless and Daisy Thomas preview of this weekend's AFL matches providing their best tips. Head over Heart is sponsored content presented by PointsBet. Gamble responsibly - Call 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au
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00:00 (upbeat music)
00:02 - G'day punters, welcome to Head Over Heart.
00:12 Billy Browlis, Daisy Thomas, our good friends at Pointsbed
00:15 and Daisy, it's finals time, don't you love it?
00:18 - Yeah, certainly do.
00:19 There's a different smell in the air, Bill,
00:21 and I hope that's not something
00:22 you've just dropped over there,
00:23 but it has been awards season as well,
00:24 which is what the players love in the lead up
00:27 to a big grand final and a big final series.
00:30 What have you loved most about the awards?
00:31 - Zach Butters.
00:32 - Yes.
00:33 - He's smooth, you can put him on in your toast,
00:35 but he has won everything.
00:36 He's won the Coach's Award, he's won the Triple M Award,
00:40 he's won the Sunday Footy Show Award,
00:42 he is a star and good on you, Zachy boy from back of smart.
00:46 - Yes, he might be a chance to win another award
00:48 later in the year too when it comes to Brownlow Night,
00:50 same as this man, Marcus Bontempelli,
00:52 won the Players MVP, which is great recognition
00:55 for a great season.
00:56 I love the fact that Toby Green was given the captaincy
00:59 of the All Australian side.
01:00 We love Toby, well done to he.
01:02 And Harry Sheazle knocking off his good mate Will Ashcroft
01:04 for the rising star.
01:05 Those two will be stars for a long time to come.
01:08 - Exactly right, but let's have a chat about the finals.
01:11 Here it is here, it's Carlton and Sydney,
01:13 Friday night footy MCG.
01:16 This will be a beauty and I've got a factor here.
01:19 It's called the Kerno Mackay factor,
01:21 gets Carlton over the line.
01:22 - You reckon the two guys have won three common medals
01:25 in the last three years are gonna be the factor?
01:26 - That's it.
01:27 - You can just absolutely find us a nugget
01:29 anytime we need it.
01:30 I'm really concerned about the weather in this one, Bill.
01:33 I've had a look at the weather forecast.
01:35 I think they may mar the game.
01:36 Raining, potential hail, which means whoever's midfield
01:40 is harder and stronger and tougher in the clenches
01:43 could be winning this one.
01:44 If you have a look at both sides, you've got Cripps,
01:46 you've got Hewitt, you've got Cher and Docherty.
01:48 And on the other side of the page,
01:49 there are stars everywhere.
01:50 - Parker.
01:51 - Parker, yes, sorry, Mills and Warner.
01:54 - Oh, and throw in Errol on the wing there.
01:56 - Errol on the wing there.
01:57 So it shapes up to be an absolute cracker.
01:57 - What about the Lizard?
01:59 - Well, I've got him here, the Lizard and the Isaac Heaney.
02:01 I think they're two players,
02:02 if the Swans are causing upsets,
02:04 they have to be involved, especially Heaney.
02:06 - Especially Heaney, spot on, same game, Moldy,
02:08 I reckon you're in.
02:09 - Yes, well, I can't tip Carlton
02:10 because I said I'd never do it again.
02:12 And since then, they've won nine of their last 10.
02:14 I'm gonna take the total points under in this one
02:16 with that predicted rain.
02:17 Charlie Kerno, one of the factors you speak of,
02:19 kicked two or more goals.
02:20 Sam Docherty, 25 or more disposals.
02:23 And Lukie Parker, hard, tough, built for this sort of stuff.
02:26 25 or more disposals, $7.45.
02:28 - That's very nice, I like that.
02:30 7.45 only at points bet.
02:32 I like this game,
02:33 and I like both these sides playing in finals.
02:36 The Saints have never been out of the eight all year.
02:38 And the Giants, they've come from no,
02:40 actually come from West Sydney,
02:41 but they've come from nowhere.
02:42 - They have come from West Sydney,
02:43 but they have been absolutely brilliant in the back half.
02:46 Nine of 11 they won to get themselves into the finals,
02:49 and playing some really exciting footy.
02:52 It's hard, it's tough,
02:53 but it's got a little bit of class on the top.
02:55 And likewise for the Saints,
02:56 they just strangle you to death.
02:58 They don't let you score.
02:59 Kept their last four opponents
03:00 in the last month of footy to 65 points per game,
03:03 or under, which is incredible.
03:05 - Unbelievable.
03:06 What about the Giants have won 10 games on the road
03:10 at 10 different venues.
03:11 - There you go.
03:12 - So they don't worry about the MCG, my friend.
03:14 - Well, they get it to the MCG,
03:15 and of course there's been a bit of a talk
03:17 whether St Kilda would have rather this at Marble,
03:19 where they are very, very good.
03:20 You've got to be playing finals at the big game,
03:23 and that is a big, big stage for them.
03:25 - SGM.
03:26 - That's exactly right.
03:27 Same game, multi-time.
03:28 Giants to win this one,
03:30 Toby Green to kick two or more goals,
03:31 Tom Green to have 25 or more disposals,
03:34 and Brad Green Crouch to have 25 or more disposals
03:37 gets you $3 and three.
03:38 - $3 and three?
03:39 - Yeah, it's a short fish,
03:40 but sometimes you've got to catch them.
03:43 - Even a tiny fish, but I do like that.
03:45 Go Giants there.
03:46 And this game, Brisbane taking on Port Adelaide.
03:48 It's at the Gabba.
03:49 Brisbane love the Gabba.
03:50 Time to say, right, here we are.
03:52 We're the Brisbane Lions.
03:53 We'll win this one.
03:54 We'll win that next one.
03:55 And then we're into a granny.
03:56 - Yeah, I'm confused with this one.
03:57 My head's sort of leaning towards the Lions
03:59 with all the historical stats.
04:01 They're going so good.
04:02 Won 13 in a row up at the Gabba.
04:04 Port haven't beaten them there since 2017.
04:06 - But.
04:06 - I just feel that Port are just primed for this.
04:09 They play an exciting brand.
04:11 They won't worry about bouncing off half back too much
04:13 like other sides can't do at the Gabba.
04:15 I think with their young stars,
04:16 they can cause a real upset here.
04:18 - Well, they got their mojo back.
04:19 They defeated Richmond Freer on the Giants
04:21 their last three weeks.
04:22 So mojo is back.
04:23 They're up and about to midfield battle.
04:25 - It certainly is.
04:26 Stars everywhere.
04:27 Neil Brown, low medalist in there.
04:28 Chucking wines, butters, the new brigade,
04:30 Rosie and Jason Horne-Francis.
04:32 Port Adelaide for me and for you.
04:33 - Hey, I'm going with you.
04:34 I'm going with, not with you.
04:35 I'm going with Brisbane.
04:36 Don't worry about that.
04:37 Download the points bet app yet.
04:38 - I have, Bill.
04:39 Only takes one minute of your time.
04:40 Have a great weekend.
04:41 Happy punting.
04:41 (upbeat music)
04:45 (upbeat music)
04:48 - Chances are you're about to lose.
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