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00:00 And again, we have very two different contrasting quarterbacks in this football game. Joe Flacco
00:11 will be making the 16th start of his NFL career in a playoff game. It will be start number
00:17 one for CJ Stroud under his rookie head coach in D'Amico Ryan's 275 and a half. The passing
00:24 yards prop for Flacco, 242 and a half on the other side for Stroud. Yeah, and you take
00:30 a look at those numbers too. And you know, if you do shop around, obviously these numbers
00:34 are going to change, but let's just take it at 275 and a half. That's a big number for
00:38 a road playoff game, Ben. Like I don't care if you're Joe Flacco and you've seemingly
00:41 been thrown for 300 yards every single week. Sometimes in the playoffs, you know, ideologies
00:46 change here from these head coaches where maybe you're not so aggressive to start. Maybe
00:50 you're leaning into this football game because I doubt it's going to be one of those games
00:54 where, Hey, let's just start off on a track meet and have some fun here. As you talked
00:57 about in that week 17, excuse me, week 16 matchup overall. Is there a chance Joe Flacco
01:01 gets over 275? Sure there is. But if I also think that the Cleveland Browns win this football
01:06 game, you know, it's probably going to be throwing more in the fourth quarter. That's
01:09 CJ Stroud. So you take a look at his price point there at two 42 and a half. I think
01:13 there's a better chance. Let's just say for two, let's use just two 50. Even I thought
01:16 you get the discount of 25 yards on Flacco. Just hear me out. If you had both of these
01:20 guys at two 50 this weekend, and if you think Cleveland is going to win, I'm actually feeling
01:24 more confident in CJ Stroud getting to the two 50 because theoretically he's going to
01:29 have to throw his team to victory in this game. That's a really good defense. He said,
01:33 well, Donnie, why would you go up against the better defense here? Why don't we just
01:35 take it easy with Joe Flacco? It's not the same thing. If I'm putting a number on like
01:39 past attempts here for CJ Stroud, this game, if Houston wins or loses, Ben, he's going
01:44 to have over 40 attempts either way. Like I don't see them. Hey, you know what? We're
01:48 going to really hand off the single Terry and he's going to control the game. 24 carries
01:51 nonsense. How did you get to this spot? You got here because of CJ Stroud is an elite
01:55 passer. You're going to win. Why? Because CJ Stroud's in an elite passer here. So I'm
02:00 more comfortable going over with CJ Stroud's number. Then I am with Joe Flacco, even though
02:05 Stroud is facing the better defense.
02:08 It will be critical for Houston, by the way, up front along the O line to keep their rookie
02:12 QB upright Cleveland six most sacks this year in the regular season, 49 of them. As we look
02:20 at Joe Flacco in his final four starts of this regular season did not start week 18
02:25 on the road in Cincy. He threw for at least 309 yards, including three 68 week 16 in Houston
02:33 against this very Texans team. He is thrown for multiple passing touchdowns and all five
02:38 starts he has made for Cleveland three or more passing touchdowns in three of the five
02:42 starts as the Browns quarterback, but also an interception in all five games, 13 touchdowns
02:49 to eight I N T's in the five starts he has made in Cleveland minus one 48 for Flacco
02:55 to throw an I N T. I feel like that's a pretty good bet because Joe Flacco at this stage
03:01 of his career, the 38 year old veteran is a little bit of a gunslinger. He expands Kevin
03:07 Stefanski's offense. We'll talk about the Browns and how they reach this point in just
03:11 a moment. But first, this is nothing new for Joe Flacco. You see that seven road playoff
03:17 wins tied for the most ever in NFL history by a quarterback and Donnie, although he is
03:24 the fourth QB Cleveland has had to utilize this year after Deshaun Watson was out for
03:29 the remainder of the season. It didn't work with the rookie quarterback, Dorian Thompson
03:33 Robinson or the veteran backup in PJ Walker to turn to Joe Flacco. At least you have a
03:39 guy that is not shaken under center making a road playoff start to begin the postseason.
03:46 And by the way, if you go back to Joe Flacco season, he won the Super Bowl with the Baltimore
03:49 Ravens. I believe it was 2012. Just look at the statistics here, Ben. How about this?
03:53 11 touchdowns yet no interceptions all the way through. What are the single best playoff
03:57 runs you will ever see out of a player? So Joe Flacco, obviously cool as ice heading
04:01 into this. Yes, it's on the road. Yes, it will be loud. He's not going to be rattled.
04:05 One prop that I haven't bet yet in this environment, Ben, is I do like something for Joe Flacco
04:10 here, and I think it's cheap, as you just alluded to here. The passing game has been
04:13 working unbelievably well. David Najoku back in the fold where we knew he was in elite
04:18 tight end just couldn't get him the football. Now you're seeing how good of an athlete he
04:21 is where you could throw a pass 25 yards downfield on a rope. He's going to catch it, run and
04:25 make a play. Joe Flacco at the FanDuel Sportsbook to throw over one and a half touchdown passes
04:30 only minus 102. Like the Cleveland Browns really going to win by handing off the football
04:34 to Jerome Ford inside the 10. Who do we think we're going to get some splash plays here
04:37 out of Joe Flacco? I like that over one and a half. It's like, like I said, if I'm looking
04:41 for passing yards, it's actually CJ Stroud touchdown passes. I love that Flacco number
04:45 and it's cheap.
04:46 [MUSIC]