• 2 months ago
Transcript
00:00Craig, just take us back to the beginning. You said you had a couple of things here for some things that you do feel kind of good about that you might share with us here today.
00:10Absolutely. Let's talk quarterbacks first. When looking at the quarterbacks in the league and their player six scores, also looking at the health of their offensive line, and also looking at the health of their pass catchers,
00:24while at the same time looking at the health of the defensive lines, the pass rush really of the teams they're playing, and the health of the secondaries that they're playing against.
00:34What we do here is we take in, if you want to talk about daily fantasy, we take into account what the salaries are for these guys, what we think their projected points are going to be, and we come up with basically points per thousand.
00:50Our algorithm is at the top of the list this year. Does that all make sense, Scott?
00:55No, no, it's fine. It's just you broke up for one second. You were about to say points per thousand. Can you just back up like 10 seconds?
01:01Yeah, yeah. So, you know, say in FanDuel, you know, you'll have a salary of 8,500 points for a quarterback or so, and then you divide by the number of points we think they're going to score based on all the injuries.
01:14We come up with what's called a points per thousand dollars, and the quarterback that's at the very top this week, the best deal, the value deal is CJ Stroup.
01:24We love him this week for the reason that he's extremely healthy, his line is healthy, he's got three pass catchers that are all healthy, and the indie defensive pass rush is banged up.
01:38He should have all day to throw the ball, sit back there and pick them apart. The indie defensive backfield is healthy, but because of the D-line being banged up, we think CJ Stroup is going to have a big day.
01:50So, we're high on him. Now, a quarterback that we're going to fade is going to be Tua. Dolphins are playing at Jacksonville. Tua himself is healthy. His pass catchers are only an 83 point—excuse me, his pass catchers are an 85.3, and his offensive pass protecting line is 83.6.
02:14Those aren't very high. Those are in the yellow range. So, we don't love his offensive protection or his pass catchers, and at the same time, Jacksonville's defense, their pass rush and their secondary are extremely healthy.
02:27So, we're going to fade Tua. I believe Tua on Price Picks is 268.5 yards. I'm going to go under on that, and I'm going to fade Tua on all Daily Fantasy plays.

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