AFC Championship: Chiefs vs Ravens - Odds & Analysis
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00:00 Not very in the lead. We got three o'clock Eastern
00:03 12 noon Pacific kick here guys
00:06 AFC championship game it is the Kansas City Chiefs and the Baltimore Ravens
00:12 Ravens - three with some juice or - three and a half as the favorite as we were talking a week out from
00:20 Kickoff you can see it there money line - 152
00:23 45 and a half the total fan duel sportsbook mark Sento. I'll throw it over to you, man
00:29 What are you thinking Chiefs and Ravens AFC championship game? I?
00:35 Well first I'm completely surprised that the NFL wouldn't have made this the late game
00:40 Like this is the better matchup of the two by far
00:45 I am shocked and I guess it's because San Francisco's on the west coast, right?
00:49 They couldn't think so
00:51 That's that I guess you're right
00:53 That's the I mean
00:55 But this this is gonna be the game that is gonna draw all the eyeballs to say the least
00:59 so
01:01 That said you know, I think that the Ravens are the better team
01:05 the Chiefs offense for
01:09 Tonight at least in the AFC divisional playoff, you know look similar to what we are accustomed to seeing but that's not the offense
01:16 We've seen all year long and the Ravens defense is better than Buffalo's. So I
01:21 think the Chiefs getting to
01:25 24 is gonna be a far stretch a tough tough game for them to be able to do in this game
01:31 against the Ravens defense, so
01:34 I
01:36 Like the Ravens. I already said it. I put it down on the money line. I don't I don't care
01:41 I am totally content with it
01:43 And I am gonna ride with the Baltimore Ravens here. I have a future on them to win the Super Bowl
01:48 doubling down this week and
01:50 ready to roll
01:53 And mark, I want to follow up with you because of the money line comment there
01:58 I mean the Ravens are 11 and 6 in the regular season now 12 and 6 against the spread so far this year
02:05 So they've been one of the more profitable teams
02:07 ATS you think it's kind of a smarter bet to lay I guess the 52 cents on the money line and not risk this
02:14 Three three and a half because they have been a profitable team ATS all season long. I
02:20 Mean I I would just avoid the headache of trying to sweat through
02:24 something right
02:27 You know again if it goes to overtime at 20 to 20, I don't want three and a half
02:32 Right. Just give me the money line. I mean it would have surprised you if these two teams went to overtime
02:37 No, it's funny. I look this up the last time the Chiefs were a three-point underdog to anybody
02:45 You want to know when it was?
02:49 Long time ago, I'm gonna guess
02:51 Well, you have to go back to 2020 to find the time that they were a three-point closing underdog
02:57 I don't know why I'm gonna close there, but you have to go back to 2020. You want to know who the opponent was?
03:01 The Patriots
03:05 No, no that was you're thinking too hard
03:08 It was the Baltimore Ravens in Baltimore in a game where the Ravens destroyed them
03:13 Which I think was a Thursday night game Thursday
03:15 I remember the primetime game, but the Ravens beat them handily
03:18 There was a primetime game in Baltimore and the Chiefs were were a a three-point underdog
03:26 Yeah, 2020 was already after Tom Brady left for Tampa so man that is surprising because it would be the COVID year
03:35 I'm guessing with limited fans anyway in Baltimore
03:39 Sorry, let me have a little 20
03:41 2021 is when it was
03:43 Okay, the Ravens three and a half point favorite and they won the game
03:48 exciting game
03:51 We're getting it again guys same type profile with this line
03:55 Baltimore you can see it here fan duel hang in the - three actually
03:59 That's a low watermark right now guys
04:01 If you like Baltimore check out fan dual sports book - 108 juice on that
04:06 So actually light juice with some sports books going to three and a half here
04:10 So that's a pretty good number fan duel sports book on the Ravens
04:14 Totals wise forty four and a half, you know, you were talking about this Chiefs offense going up against the Bills defense
04:20 I mean really for for the offensive plays they they had more than eight yards per play
04:27 You think that's gonna play out a little bit differently here against this Ravens defense number one scoring defense in the NFL mark
04:34 You think they're gonna have success defensively against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offense?
04:39 Uh
04:41 Yeah, I do this is not a good Chiefs offense it's just not
04:44 like here's you want to know what the difference was today between
04:48 What the Chiefs are able to accomplish today and what they've struggled with all season long mark is about a scantling actually caught a ball
04:55 Right. That was the big difference
04:59 Travis tells you it wasn't this unstoppable force tonight. He was he was good
05:05 He's always good, but he was he was guarded
05:09 And again, I was right. Let me just clarify
05:11 It was Monday September 28th 2020 and the Ravens won with the Ravens were a three-point favorite at home against the Chiefs
05:17 They won the game 34 to 20
05:19 so
05:22 You don't see this situation often where the Chiefs are getting three points and a lot of people will sit here and tell you
05:28 How do you how do you not auto bet the Chiefs when they're getting three points because that almost never happens
05:33 well, they're getting three points because they are not the better team and
05:38 I would advise you just to bet the better team here