ISW: Ukraine has managed to significantly curtail Russia's activities in the Black Sea

euronews (in English)

As the end of February also marks the 10th anniversary of Russia’s invasion and the consequent illegal annexation of Crimea, the UK defence ministry says: Russia’s tactics against Ukraine’s creative warfare on the Black Sea are falling short.

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00:00 Russian officials and state media largely refrained from publicly discussing the two-year

00:09 anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine on the 24th of February, likely

00:14 in an effort to avoid addressing Russia's failure to achieve its stated war aims at

00:19 significant human costs, says the Institute for the Study of War.

00:24 As the end of February also marks the 10th anniversary of Russia's invasion and consequent

00:29 illegal annexation of Crimea, the UK Defence Ministry says Russia's tactics against Ukraine's

00:35 creative warfare on the Black Sea are falling short.

00:41 At the outset of the full-scale invasion in February 2022, the Russian Navy maintained

00:46 the freedom to manoeuvre throughout the entirety of the Black Sea, most significantly in the

00:51 north-west.

00:52 Following Ukraine's success in employing asymmetric alternatives to its lack of a traditional

00:57 navy like guided missiles and uncrewed vessels, the Russian Navy has been repeatedly forced

01:03 to reassess its appetite for risk.

01:06 Ukraine has continued to push Russian threat perception to new highs through combined strike

01:10 activities on land and the sea, forcing the Black Sea Fleet units to relocate their main

01:16 operating areas to the eastern Black Sea.

01:20 This UK Defence Ministry map shows Russia's main maritime operational areas in the Black

01:25 Sea.

01:26 The first area is where the Black Sea Fleet is operating at lower risk, the second at

01:31 increased risk, the third at higher risk, and here, the fourth area, is where the Black

01:36 Sea operations are denied.

01:40 Britain's Defence Minister said in late December that Russia had lost around 20% of its Black

01:45 Sea Fleet in the previous four months.

01:48 At a strategic level, Ukraine's approach has denied Russia the ability to interfere with

01:53 its maritime trade routes.

01:55 [SWOOSH]

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