How to Handicap the Race for the Academy Award Best Actress

  • 7 months ago
Transcript
00:00 [MUSIC]
00:03 It's such a different environment than us sitting back Greg and saying to ourselves,
00:07 let me see about how many yards the guy passed for, how many points he scored per game.
00:11 How do you effectively handicap the race here? Because again,
00:14 the Fandu Sportsbook doesn't actually pick the winner, it's the academy.
00:17 Are there things that you need to check out here and get your ducks in a row per se?
00:21 One million percent. I think that's how you saw the momentum with Coda just a couple of years ago,
00:26 right? There was no heavy favorite that year. And what you do is you're following along
00:29 with the award season. You're not following along with the Golden Globes, but you're looking at the
00:32 BAFTA Awards, looking at the SAG Awards, you're looking at some of these other awards that also
00:36 have the same voters as the academy. And when you're seeing some of these other movies or
00:40 actors and actresses win, this is where you build some momentum. You're like, wait a minute,
00:44 these odds aren't right. It reminds me of the NFL draft a little bit here, Donnie,
00:48 where it's just like, okay, Fandu's not picking the winners there either. And they don't necessarily
00:52 have the information. It's not being on the court. You're relying on teams and people.
00:55 And we go back to CJ Stroud last year, as that number fluctuated up and down throughout the week
01:00 of the NFL draft. And Stroud going number two, you were able to get a good price on that. And I think
01:05 that looking at the best actress race, for instance, if you are a big fan of Emma Stone and
01:09 you believe that she could win it at plus 140, that's a good number. This is the one toss up
01:13 race, seemingly, with Emma Stone at plus 140 and Lily Gladstone here at minus 210. They have gone
01:18 back and forth throughout this award season. Emma Stone was the heavy favorite back in the fall.
01:24 Lily Gladstone has come really all the way back to take the lead here with the best odds at minus
01:29 210. But we'll see. That's one where, hey, if you like a little juice, there's something here. Both
01:34 have won awards this winter. So I think Emma Stone, Lily Gladstone, best actresses award that
01:40 I am watching here on Sunday night.
01:42 [MUSIC]
01:44 (upbeat music)

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