希盟若输了新古毛补选 安华就只能做一届首相？
八点最热报 | 新古毛补选开打，有政治学者就指出，如果这次华人对安华和整个希盟失望，懒得出来投票，表面是行动党输了这场补选，但真正受到冲击的不会是行动党，反而是安华和巫统。（主播：梁宝仪）
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00:00 Before watching the video, I remind you that there is more content on the Hotline.
00:04 Under the support of Wu Tong, Wu Xingtuan's leader, Akuma,
00:09 turned the KK socks incident that had been unintentionally caused into a religiously sensitive storm.
00:14 Will this storm be a test of whether the Snowy City's new antler selection, Wu Tong and Simon's future cooperation?
00:21 Although the new antler was launched by the Action Party,
00:23 but the historian commentator, who received the 8 o'clock daily news, said,
00:27 "If the KK socks incident caused the Chinese to lie flat on the ground,
00:33 and are too lazy to vote,
00:34 it is on the surface that the Action Party lost this election,
00:37 but the real impact will not be on the Action Party,
00:41 but on the Anhua and Wu Tong."
00:43 What do you think?
00:44 Political scholar Huang Jingfa pointed out,
00:46 the voter structure of this election is similar to that of many other national elections.
00:51 Therefore, if the Action Party loses the new antler,
00:53 this mixed election,
00:55 it means that Simon's basic board will retreat to the pure Chinese electorate.
01:01 And Anhua's Prime Minister Bao Zuo can only do one thing.
01:04 And in the next general election,
01:05 Simon and Wu Tong will not be able to attack together with the allied team.
01:09 In this case,
01:11 Wu Tong will be the one who will be the most hurt.
01:14 Political scholar Pan Yongqiang also believes that
01:16 if Simon loses the new antler selection,
01:18 it will definitely hit the morale of the Anhua government.
01:21 Because during the six-week election,
01:22 the Xuezhou regime has lost two-thirds of its advantages.
01:26 Now, it has lost a Zhou Yixi who has won three consecutive years.
01:30 This means that not only did the Malay votes not return,
01:33 but even the non-Malay votes began to loosen.
01:37 Pan Yongqiang believes that the main indicator of the new antler selection is
01:41 that after Wu Tong's manipulation of the socks incident
01:44 and Anhua's active involvement in the Palestinian issue,
01:47 will the Malay voters' support for the united government improve?
01:51 If Wu Tong can't win the return of the Malay votes,
01:54 it means that Wu Tong's timely manipulation of the religion will not be affected and will not work.
02:00 This means that unless Wu Tong can reform again,
02:03 replace their corrupt leaders,
02:05 and bring new generations to take over,
02:07 otherwise, it will not be able to restore the confidence of the Malay society.
02:11 Huayan senior researcher Zheng Minglie also believes that
02:14 if the new antler selection is not selected, the active party will lose.
02:17 This means that Wu Tong's joining the united government
02:19 will not bring in the Malay votes,
02:22 but also scare away the Chinese votes.
02:24 At that time, the new antler, especially the active party,
02:26 may have to cut ties with Wu Tong.
02:29 Since Wu Tong is the main promoter of the sock storm,
02:31 the following selection will also make Wu Tong and the active party quite embarrassed.
02:38 From the perspective of the drama, it is a mystery.
02:41 But there may be one or two people.
02:43 The problem is that Wu Tong, the leader of the Wu Qing group,
02:46 has stepped on the feelings of the ethnic group like this.
02:49 The corresponding part is the supporting party.
02:52 The supporting party is the active party.
02:53 Even if it is a low-key vote,
02:55 how do you convince your voters to support the active party?
02:57 So when the selection is held, the Wu Qing group appears less.
03:00 The leader of the Wu Qing group will appear less.
03:02 Wu Tong is a gentle and peaceful leader.
03:08 As the main force, he may not be too much of a shock to the Chinese voters.
03:13 The audience thinks that after the high-profile sock incident of Wu Qing group leader Akhmar
03:18 became a sensitive religious controversy storm,
03:21 the next selection of the new antler will be very embarrassing for Simon and Wu Tong.
03:26 At the same time, it may also make non-Wu Yi, especially Chinese voters, angry.
03:30 If the KK socks storm makes the active party lose the three-time state-run election,
03:36 how big is the impact on the rocket?
03:38 Pan Yongqiang thinks that if the active party loses the new antler election,
03:42 the biggest impact is not the active party, but the entire coalition of the United Government.
03:47 Because this will affect the future cooperation between Simon and Wu Tong.
03:50 And the senior researcher Zheng Minglie of Huayan thinks that
03:53 Wu Tong and the active party may cut off from each other after the election.
03:57 The real impact of the election is actually affecting the unity of the government.
04:03 Can we have a common political and coordination election in the next general election?
04:10 Because if the different parties in the United Government have differences or different tones in some sensitive issues,
04:17 it may affect the future cooperation between Simon and Wu Tong and the alliance.
04:24 In the next general election, the party may not necessarily be tied together.
04:28 The impact on the real party politics will be greater.
04:30 It will not affect the leadership status of the Muzhaozhu in the new active party.
04:34 It will not undermine the power of the current active party leadership.
04:38 So if the active party loses the new antler election,
04:41 because Wu Tong can't help the Chinese vote,
04:44 and can't bring the horse to vote,
04:46 I think Wu Tong will cut off from Simon in the next general election.
04:51 Maybe they have already seen this problem.
04:54 In other words, the unreliable Minglie has been castrated.
04:58 In this case, it will hurt you rather than be with you.
05:01 Maybe I'll cut you off directly.
05:03 And Huang Jinfa also thinks that if the "sock storm" causes the active party to lose the election in the new antler,
05:09 the active party will reconsider cooperation with Wu Tong,
05:12 and may even cut off from the Yangtze River in the next general election.
05:15 So for Wu Tong, the impact is the greatest.
05:18 The active party will clearly show that the next general election will not talk about the ideas of the West and the National Government.
05:26 In the past, leaders like Liu Zhendong made such an assertion,
05:30 thinking that if the current government can go on, the next government will continue.
05:34 Such a market has no appeal.
05:38 If the West decides to cut off from the National Government in the 16th general election,
05:44 Wu Tong, which is to fight separately and choose the back of the pond, will be hurt.
05:48 The district of Mahua County may also fall.
05:52 Because once the West decides to go in this direction,
05:55 they will not be too polite to Wu Tong in many topics.
05:59 Or they will think about how to arrange the election of Wu Tong.
06:04 Pan Yongqiang pointed out that if Wu Tong cannot restore the support of the Malay voters in this non-election,
06:09 it is actually not a bad thing.
06:11 Because this will convey a message to Wu Tong,
06:14 that is, even if they want to strengthen the image of religion and Malay nationalism,
06:19 it is not enough to restore the support of the Malay voters.
06:22 If Wu Tong cannot restore the support of the Malay voters in this election,
06:27 it is actually not a bad thing.
06:29 Because it means that you go to fight KKM, you go to hype this religious issue,
06:34 it has no effect. In the past few years, the rise of this green tide is not because you are not religious enough,
06:41 not ethnic enough, but the Malay voters are not satisfied with Wu Tong's anti-corruption image,
06:46 not reforming Wu Tong, and not having a new face to take over.
06:52 If Wu Tong can know or understand this message,
06:55 it may have some impact on the party's future policy or change of power.
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