伊党没全力助选新古毛 绿潮仅停滞未退潮?
八点最热报 | 昨天落幕的新古毛补选，希盟行动党候选人彭小桃多数票近4000张，成绩超乎一般分析选前的预测，甚至超越行动党的期望，可说是赢得漂亮。补选成绩显示，绿潮并没有在新古毛补选发威，是绿潮已经开始消退了？还是只是土团党的队友，伊党故意不给力，才让绿潮“停滞”，掀不起浪涛？（主播：梁宝仪）
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00:00 Before watching the video, I remind you that there is more content on the Hotpoint website.
00:05 Yesterday's new stock market is back.
00:07 The number of votes of Xi Jinping's candidate Peng Xiaotao is nearly 4000.
00:12 The results are beyond the general analysis of the prediction before the election.
00:15 It even exceeds the party's own expectations.
00:18 It can be said that the result is beautiful.
00:20 The results show that the green tide is not in the new stock market.
00:25 This is the green tide has begun to decline.
00:28 Or is it that the Islamic Party deliberately does not give strength to the Green Party, so that the green tide stops and the wave does not rise?
00:36 And the background of the Chinese education of Peng Xiaotao, the candidate of the Communist Party of China,
00:41 was it an accident that those Chinese voters who were not satisfied with the unity government and wanted to sleep without voting,
00:48 had the motivation to get up and vote?
00:51 This time, the Chinese education was again rejected.
00:54 Did the new Chinese voters teach the National Alliance to vote?
01:01 Huang Jinfa, a political scientist at the National University of China, pointed out that
01:04 the biggest signal of the new Chinese voters' results is that the military police vote has changed direction.
01:12 He pointed out that since 2018, the military police vote has been inclined to the direction of the Islamic Party or the National Alliance,
01:20 but has not been turned to the West.
01:24 Until this election, the police vote of the West only won one-fourth of the votes from last year's election.
01:30 In this election, the number of votes rose to four-fifths.
01:35 The military vote has not reached 20% yet, and now it is more than half.
01:39 This is a big change.
01:41 This means that the military police vote, which was the iron vote of the past government,
01:45 now seems to have been successfully recruited by Anhua.
01:50 Will this kind of vote change be fully replicated in the future on the civil servants voters?
01:58 It is not yet seen.
02:00 But Huang Jinfa believes that the military police vote has a great deal to do with the prime minister Anhua
02:06 raising the salary of civil servants by 13% before the election.
02:11 Politically, this is still effective.
02:14 Since 2018, the military police vote has been inclined to the direction of the National Alliance.
02:18 In this election, the military police vote has been successfully recruited by the West.
02:22 Does this mean that the momentum of the National Alliance has begun to fade?
02:28 The respondents all think that the results of the new Gu Mao election
02:32 are basically still maintained in the six-week election pattern.
02:36 The two parties' voting rate is not too fluctuating.
02:39 And in the case that the first party has no power to mobilize the voters,
02:44 it can only be said that the green tide has stopped, not that it has already retreated.
02:51 Yes, you cannot belittle a green wave when I say it's stagnant because of the minimum presence of a pass.
02:58 I think why pass doesn't want to go all out this time is to show a signal or to transmit a signal to Bersatu.
03:06 Bersatu, without pass, you are nothing.
03:09 That's the reason I say it is stagnant there because pass is not there.
03:14 So there is no push for the Malay voters to go out to vote for Bersatu.
03:19 Why is the Islamic Party not having the power to help the new Gu Mao election?
03:24 No power to mobilize.
03:26 The Islamic Party does not want the Putuan Party to rise in this election
03:32 or to take this issue by accident.
03:35 If the Putuan Party wins the election in the election,
03:39 or the difference in the number of votes is shortened,
03:42 for Mu Huiting and for Aswin, it may be a bonus, a victory that should be won.
03:49 The Islamic Party itself is strategically low-key to deal with this election,
03:54 to lower the development of the Putuan Party's power.
03:59 I don't want to say that in the next election,
04:01 Mu Huiting will become the first candidate for Prime Minister of the National Alliance.
04:06 If the election results are very bright and ideal,
04:09 or if it is just a defeat,
04:12 the status and morale of the Putuan Party will be further promoted.
04:16 It will prevent some of the Bersatu members who were originally ready to turn to the party.
04:20 It will also prevent Mu Huiting from giving up her dream of becoming Prime Minister again.
04:25 Losing the new Gu Mao election, the Malay vote will not be able to break through further.
04:30 It does not mean that the National Alliance has been powerless,
04:34 or even starting to decline.
04:36 The political scholars, Asmi Hassan and Pen Yongqiang,
04:39 all believe that the green tide has not started a turbulent wave.
04:43 The main reason is that the Islamic Party deliberately low-keyed the election,
04:49 and was unwilling to give any benefits.
04:51 Because the Putuan Party won beautifully,
04:53 it was just to boost the morale of the Putuan Party and destroy its own prestige.
04:56 Why did the Islamic Party help the Putuan Party to make a dowry?
04:59 The Islamic Party not only did not help the election,
05:02 but also gave the Putuan Party a hand in the first battle.
05:04 Political scholar Huang Jingfa said that the National Alliance could not win the new Gu Mao election,
05:08 and the Putuan Party needed to take a big responsibility.
05:11 The Islamic Party has to take a big responsibility.
05:13 Because the Islamic Party helped Peng Xiaotao to make a dowry in the first election.
05:19 There is a Chinese word that is very important in Malaysian politics,
05:24 which is "religion".
05:25 Because for Malaysians, it is "religion",
05:28 for Chinese, it is "Chinese".
05:30 Any political party that attacks Islam will be rejected by most Malaysians.
05:37 Any political party that attacks Chinese will be rejected by most Malaysians.
05:44 If the Islamic Party did not attack Chinese at the beginning,
05:50 Peng Xiaotao, although he performed very well,
05:53 may not be able to hold the original basic party of the West.
06:00 If the ICC group attacks Peng Xiaotao's background,
06:04 it is equivalent to offending.
06:06 Because in the 1980s,
06:07 basically 10 Chinese children went to school.
06:11 So when you attack Peng Xiaotao's background,
06:15 you are reminding Chinese voters not to believe us.
06:20 As long as this factor is released,
06:23 many people will think that I am not going to vote.
06:27 They will change their mind.
06:29 When they used the vernacular school as their main campaign,
06:33 this made the Pakatan Harapan supporters afraid of the Pakatan National.
06:38 So with this campaign, Pakatan Harapan supporters,
06:42 especially the Chinese supporters,
06:44 they all went out to vote.
06:46 Even though the average voter's vote is low,
06:49 the low voter's turnout is due to the Pakatan National supporters.
06:53 They don't want to go out.
06:55 But if you look carefully at the Chinese voters especially,
06:58 plus the Indian voters, they are all out.
07:01 So I would presume that it is the wrong strategy
07:05 employed by Pakatan National in this case.
07:08 The Islamic Party attacked Peng Xiaotao's background,
07:11 which was a bad start.
07:13 As a result, more Chinese voters went out to vote,
07:17 which was a bad start.
07:19 In addition, Mr. Huang also said that
07:21 Pakatan Harapan has visited the Islamic State's offices in the entire campaign.
07:25 They have even approved development plans.
07:28 This indirectly prevented some leaders and gunmen from spreading their fire.
07:33 But there is another reason.
07:35 Pakatan Harapan visited the Islamic State's offices
07:39 in the post-election campaign.
07:42 They met with the Islamic State's officials
07:45 and approved the development plans they wanted.
07:48 This made the Islamic State's officials
07:52 feel embarrassed and went to the people.
07:57 What kind of political impact will the election of Pakatan Harapan
08:03 have on the defeated Pakatan National?
08:06 Political scholar Pan Yongqiang believes
08:08 that in fact, whether it is Pakatan National's chairman Mu Youding
08:11 or Pakatan National's chairman of the academic council, A Si Min,
08:14 they have never given up.
08:16 They want to do some political actions before the next election
08:19 and re-enact the intention of re-seizing power in the face of political change.
08:24 However, the defeat of Pakatan National
08:26 is a big mistake for Mu Youding and A Si Min's political energy.
08:33 Especially A Si Min,
08:34 because this election was held in her area of power,
08:37 which is the Snowy Lanzhou.
08:38 And the candidate sent by the Communist Party,
08:40 Kai Lu, is also the candidate of A Si Min's camp.
08:43 But this election,
08:44 in addition to no way to let the power of the Green Dynasty continue to rise,
08:48 the votes of the Malay people and the military police also show signs of shaking.
08:53 This is a big mistake for Mu Youding and A Si Min's attempt to regain power.
08:57 It will also further undermine their influence in the Communist Party.
09:02 To be continued...
09:07 To be continued...
09:10 To be continued...