This Is Why Virginia Is Actually In Play For Trump In 2024: RCP's Tom Bevan

  • 4 months ago
On "Forbes Newsroom," Tom Bevan, Co-Founder and President of RealClearPolitics, discussed Virginia being in play in the 2024 election.

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Transcript
00:00I talked to someone from polling in Roanoke College, and he said Virginia could very much be in play this election.
00:07Do you agree? And why is that?
00:10I do. Again, you know, Democrats' strength in Virginia all comes from the northern suburbs, right, just outside of D.C.
00:19And if that suburban vote is soft, and we've seen this repeatedly, there was just a piece in The New York Times this morning
00:26talking about the gender gap and how over the last, I think they did an analysis of 30 polls taken over the last six months
00:32and found that Joe Biden's support among women was five points lower now than it was at this point in 2020.
00:39A lot of those voters in northern Virginia, if that vote for Biden is soft and doesn't come out,
00:46you know, that state is a state that could very well be in play, and Trump could very well win it.
00:52Now, the question is, will those voters get motivated?
00:55You know, when push comes to shove on November 5th, are they going to turn out and vote for Joe Biden?
01:01If they do, he'll win that state probably pretty handily.
01:04But, you know, that's one of those things that we won't know until the day after the election.

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