• 5 months ago
At least 289 seats are needed for a parliamentary majority, and National Rally is predicted to get between 260 and 295 seats.
Transcript
00:00The latest polls suggest the far-right has around 36% as France prepares for the parliamentary elections,
00:06the first round of which is on Sunday.
00:08If National Rally do win the second round on the following Sunday,
00:12it'll be the first far-right government in France since it was occupied by the Nazis.
00:16But President Macron says he won't step down before his term ends in 2027.
00:21An Ilfop-Fiducial poll suggests that National Rally will get about 36% of the vote.
00:28The Popular Front, a coalition of centrists, leftists and greens, about 28%,
00:33and President Macron's centre-right party, about 20%.
00:38The winning number of seats is 289 out of the 577 seats in the parliament,
00:44and National Rally are expected to get somewhere between 260 and 295 seats.
00:49It means the National Rally's Jordan Bardella could be the next prime minister.
00:53Our compatriots have the feeling that the state no longer respects its laws,
00:57that the state is weak with the strong and strong with the weak.
01:01The far-right's growing popularity appears to stem from people's feelings of insecurity.
01:06And because France's politics are now deeply polarised,
01:09it'll be hard for a coalition to form in parliament if no party wins outright.
01:14And so, yes, I also set myself this objective, that we manage to have a democracy,
01:18a national assembly, perhaps more alive, less brutal.
01:22Turnout is expected to be higher this time around.
01:25Voters know this could be an historic election,
01:28with many determined to get the far-right into power,
01:31and many others desperate to keep them out.
01:35President Macron will most likely be forced into appointing a prime minister from a rival winning party.
01:41Such a situation is called cohabitation, and last occurred 22 years ago.

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