Intip Proyeksi Sektor Energi di Tengah Kenaikan Harga Minyak
"Saksikan tayangan kami Official Youtube IDX Channel di Program Power Breakfast, Rabu (03/07/2024) dengan Tema Intip Proyeksi Sektor Energi di Tengah Tren Naik Minyak".
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00:00Thank you for joining us, and now we're going to have a discussion with Narasumber who has joined us on this occasion.
00:11Good morning, Mr. Chandra.
00:14Good morning, Mr. Peggy.
00:16Thank you, Mr. Chandra, for joining us on this occasion at MarketBus.
00:19We're talking about the movement of energy-based companies like this,
00:23which is of course triggered by the increase in the price of world oil.
00:29How do you see the projection of energy-based companies in today's trade?
00:35Actually, if you look at energy, especially oil,
00:39in the past few days, oil has gained positive momentum from several sentiments.
00:46First, there is a concern about Hurricane Beryl,
00:50which may affect the level of production in North America.
00:56The next issue is still in the Middle East,
01:02so the logistics are still not conducive.
01:07And the last one is probably the production restrictions by OPEC.
01:13But OPEC, OPEC Plus, sometimes the issue is a bit backward,
01:17because sometimes there are some countries that are not consistent
01:23with what has been stipulated for the reduction of production.
01:28So sometimes there is a slight deviation, so in the end it affects the price.
01:32But overall, if we look at these three conditions,
01:37it may get a little short-term positive sentiment for oil prices.
01:43So maybe the price of stocks or stocks in the oil and gas sector
01:49may be positively affected in the short term.
01:53Okay, in the short term, do you recommend buying energy-based stocks?
01:59Short-term trading can be seen as an opportunity
02:03because overall, IDX is also slightly positive.
02:10The rebound from yesterday was corrected to below IDR 7,000.
02:15So from the index, there is a positive sentiment.
02:19From the sector, there is also a positive sentiment.
02:22So we can buy energy-based stocks, especially oil and gas.
02:29Okay, are there specific stocks that you recommend to be traded today, Mr. Chandra?
02:35We look at two stocks with relative potential,
02:39which are Metco and Energy Megapresada.
02:42So we see that these two stocks may have a direct link with oil prices
02:49because they are in the exploration and exploitation of oil and gas.
02:55So maybe both will get a positive sentiment too.
03:00Okay, if we look at the target price for these two stocks,
03:07what is it like in the short term, Mr. Chandra?
03:10We look at Metco at IDR 14.80, while Energy Megapresada at IDR 2.30.
03:17So maybe we can see that.
03:19Okay, Mr. Chandra, Yandef and ICBP last week decided to divide the dividend
03:23at IDR 2.3 trillion in the RUPST for Yandef,
03:27the share value is IDR 267 and ICBP is IDR 200 per share.
03:32Do you have any recommendations for these two stocks, Mr. Chandra?
03:37At ICBP, we still have a buy recommendation, but it's a long-term buy.
03:44So the target price is around IDR 12,000 for the next 12 months.
03:50But if we go back to the dividend issue,
03:53if we look at ICBP and Yandef,
03:57maybe Yandef gives a more interesting yield,
04:01because with more than IDR 200, the yield is actually at IDR 4.3,
04:05while for ICBP, it's at 2%.
04:09So maybe from the yield side, it's more interesting in Yandef.
04:15Okay, Mr. Chandra.
04:16Briefly, for the stock options this time,
04:18you have Adaro, PTBA, Medco, and Buka.
04:21All buy-on-weakness recommendations.
04:25A brief analysis for your four stock options, Mr. Chandra.
04:29Adaro, PTBA, Medco, maybe back to the energy price issue.
04:35So maybe with Adaro, PTBA, even though they are in coal,
04:38but usually the correlation between oil and gas and coal is high.
04:44So we see that maybe they can also get a positive sentiment.
04:48Buka, maybe the approach is more technical.
04:51Because indeed, if you look at it,
04:54the price of coal has been corrected quite deeply.
04:58But we do see a little rebound there.
05:01Okay, as a closure,
05:03related to the ESG correction today, Mr. Chandra, what do you think?
05:08Maybe it will be positive.
05:10Back again, we actually see the stability of the exchange rate from the rupiah.
05:17So far, in the past few days, it has been relatively stable at IDR 1,600-1,400.
05:22So maybe it's a bit of a positive sentiment for IDX.
05:26Okay, Mr. Chandra, thank you for joining us on this occasion.
05:29The time is very limited.
05:32Thank you.
05:33We'll talk again in another segment on IDX channel.
05:36Good luck to you.
05:38Thank you, Mr. Vegi.
05:39Bye.