• 4 months ago
On "Forbes Newsroom," HarrisX CEO Dritan Nesho reflected on a new HarrisX/Forbes poll showing how alternatives to President Biden do against former President Trump.

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00:00here today. Some Democratic lawmakers are breaking rank and they're calling on President Biden to
00:05step aside. We also saw former Democratic Congressman Tim Ryan call for Biden to step
00:11aside and Kamala Harris, the vice president, to be the nominee. How does Kamala Harris stack up
00:18to Trump in a head-to-head matchup? So in our poll, Kamala Harris performs worse than Biden does
00:25by a small difference, but Trump is ahead by about seven points when you put him against
00:34Harris. And I don't think that she's the alternative. Now, there are several Democratic
00:43names that have been floated as potential substitutes for President Biden in the
00:49convention. None of them poll as well as President Biden either, but that's because they don't have
00:56the same name ID as President Biden does. And the new candidate will need to be built up
01:03adequately to be competitive. And who are those names? Well, I think in a future poll together,
01:12we've tested Gretchen Whitmer, we've tested Gavin Newsom, we've tested Pete Buttigieg,
01:19several leading Democratic candidates, and we'll continue testing other names. But
01:25again, any new candidate, a substitute candidate, would need to be built up, would have to tell
01:32their story, would have to make their own case to the American public. And as it stands,
01:38Biden is the best of the worst, right? He polls the best and he's the most competitive
01:45against Trump. So that's what our poll shows. Today, a poll from CNN came out that shows the
01:50opposite, that both in a head-to-head matchup, Biden would lose to Trump, Kamala Harris would
01:55lose to Trump, but Kamala Harris's loss is smaller than Biden's. Can you explain the difference here
02:00between our poll and CNN's? I haven't had the chance to look at the CNN poll yet, but I'm pretty
02:06sure the differences are quite small. And it's all in the composition of the sample, as viewers
02:13will know. You need to have also a perspective or a view of the share of vote amongst Democrats,
02:20Republicans, and Independents. In our own poll, we keep that pegged to the 2020 election,
02:28to the share of vote there, which was roughly 37 percent Democrat, 36 percent Republican,
02:34and 24 percent Independent. So if there's any big differences there, then maybe you're getting more
02:40Democrats in your poll than you are Republicans, and that kind of might explain the hope in Kamala Harris.

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