AccuWeather meteorologists say strong wind shear and dry air will combine to thwart any new tropical development in mid-July, but they're still expecting a dangerously busy hurricane season.
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00:00now it's time to talk all things tropics and so far during the 2024 atlantic hurricane season we've
00:07talked about three named systems most noteworthy of course barrel carving a two week long path
00:14from the atlantic back into the lower 48 so by the numbers here's where we would typically be
00:20the historical average date of the first three storms comes right around the third of august so
00:26we're definitely running ahead of schedule with that said we're kind of pumping the brakes here
00:30for a little while we're in the doldrums so to speak so we're not looking at tropical development
00:34this week the reason being dry dusty air and a stronger winds higher up in the atmosphere
00:40so this will keep any tropical wave weak and disorganized and not a whole lot going on in
00:46terms of the tropical waves right now as we look at thunderstorm activity period but we're going
00:51to be looking down the road for an active season especially as we work our way into the months of
00:57august and september the main development region showing a lot of warm water well above the
01:02historical average and with that in mind we are expecting an above average historical average
01:07season in terms of named storms hurricanes and major hurricanes here is the official exclusive
01:13accu but our forecast 20 to 25 named storms 8 to 12 hurricanes 4 to 7 of those major hurricanes
01:21and 4 to 6 direct us impacts but 20 to 25 named storms 25 named storms would actually rank as the
01:29third most active atlantic hurricane season on record so indeed we're going to be looking at
01:35much more activity later on in the season but at least for now as we go throughout the week
01:40things are looking to be on the quiet side