Pirates vs. Phillies Showdown: Nola Starts as Road Favorite
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00:00We'll be right back with more on that.
00:05Speaking of the Buccos, they get ready to host baseball's best this weekend in an in-state showdown in the Commonwealth at PNC Park.
00:14The Pirates and the Phillies.
00:15Arenola gets the start today for Philadelphia, booked as a hefty road favorite, minus 166, that updated number on the money line.
00:23They probably should be that favorite.
00:24But also keep in mind, once again, you take a look at these splits and which one matters more to you.
00:28That's 60 days for MartÃn Pérez.
00:30He's got a 113 XFIP minus, which is above average.
00:33An ERA, close to 5.80, which is terrible.
00:36An XFIP number, 4.58, that's in the danger zone.
00:39But again, you take a look at those total starts.
00:41You have a true pitching advantage when you're at home in Pittsburgh, one of the better pitchers' ballparks in Major League Baseball.
00:47His numbers are significantly better.
00:49But you also have a rested Arenola.
00:51We're going pedigree for pedigree here on pitchers.
00:53It's going to be the Phillies.
00:55Lineup side by side, it's going to be the Phillies.
00:57So I do think the Phillies have a manageable price.
00:59They're down at minus 160.
01:01And you better pick up victories because sooner or later, I'm going to say in the series, you're going to face Paul Skeens.
01:05Pick up this victory at NOLA tonight and move on.