• 4 months ago
Transcript
00:09Historic day. Vecchio in major
00:11league baseball. Anytime Paul
00:13Skeens gets a start. It is
00:16Skeens Day number 13 in the
00:19history of MLB tonight in
00:21Houston. We have looked at the
00:21odds. The Buccos are a road
00:22favorite now to Skeens himself.
00:27What continues to baffle me a
00:29little bit is the number. The
00:31over has plus money. He is
00:34recorded at least eight
00:36strikeouts in eight of his
00:39prior nine starts. So how do
00:40you approach Paul Skeens in
00:41that strikeout prop? It's been
00:44tough with him because the
00:45numbers are super high.
00:46Sometimes they're juiced.
00:47Unlike today, we actually plus
00:48money on the over the Astros
00:50are actually really
00:51disciplined at the plate versus
00:52righties. So that is taking to
00:54account. So my take for this is
00:55I've said this before for many
00:58players, whether it's Luca,
00:59whether it's a tentacle,
01:00whoever it is, I don't take
01:01unders on some of those players.
01:02Sometimes you either take the
01:03over or you stay away. And I
01:04think that is where Skeens is
01:05really approaching where it's
01:06like he could put up 10
01:07strikeouts in six innings. I'm
01:09not going to take the under on
01:10Paul Skeens, but I don't
01:11necessarily love the matchup in
01:13order to lay money on the over.
01:14So sometimes it's just a stay
01:15away. And I think that's what we
01:16have today.

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