The Favorable Events Kamala Harris Has In Her Favor: Mark Penn Explains

last month

On "Forbes Newsroom," Mark Penn, Chairman and CEO of Stagwell Inc., discussed the race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris.

Fuel your success with Forbes. Gain unlimited access to premium journalism, including breaking news, groundbreaking in-depth reported stories, daily digests and more. Plus, members get a front-row seat at members-only events with leading thinkers and doers, access to premium video that can help you get ahead, an ad-light experience, early access to select products including NFT drops and more:

https://account.forbes.com/membership/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=display&utm_campaign=growth_non-sub_paid_subscribe_ytdescript

Stay Connected
Forbes on Facebook: http://fb.com/forbes
Forbes Video on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/forbes
Forbes Video on Instagram: http://instagram.com/forbes
More From Forbes: http://forbes.com

Transcript

00:00The dust does seem to finally be settling on this election shakeup a week after it was announced

00:06But how does this data dovetail with your political experience?

00:11Well, I thought Democrats always picked the vice president

00:15Hubert Humphrey, Walter Mondale, Al Gore, Joe Biden himself

00:21And now Harris, so I think if there had been a primary probably she she would have run

00:27Institutionally, that's the way things go in the Democratic Party. I was surprised always that

00:35President Biden's team agreed to a debate before the nomination

00:40Because it was the only thing that could possibly destabilize this nomination and it did

00:47And I was kind of shocked that they did that

00:51And I don't know, you know when when when all the books are written

00:56You know who proposed that and and why they did that but that that was undoubtedly the biggest the biggest surprise

01:04Of this election was scheduling a debate so early and taking such a risk and that risk obviously backfired on Joe Biden

01:13So as we look at all these numbers has everything we've known about this race so far

01:18Fundamentally changed now that Harris is the likely nominee or has it just reset to maybe June 26th

01:25And that pre-debate time. I

01:28Think that that it's closer to a reset

01:32Because again, we're back to Trump by a couple of points

01:36But there are certain advantages here. Look age is now off the table as it relates to the Democratic nominee

01:43What about experience is experience on the table?

01:46Does she have the experience and understanding and foreign affairs to be president? And is she going to face, you know, those?

01:54Those kinds of questions the black vote that seemed to be slipping away

01:58I think that's going to be consolidated the women's vote that seemed to be, you know, not as

02:06Not as polarized against men seems to be much more polarized so it is the same race on the surface

02:14But there are key differences here

02:17And of course right now her popularity is much higher than Joe Biden's ever was because he had been

02:23He had been slipping in job ratings slipping in popularity

02:27and and slipping and basically all the dimensions of his job and do you think that that popularity is

02:35she'll be able to continue that but

02:38As we get to the convention and as we get to a vice presidential pick will she be able to continue that till November?

02:46Look I I think that's kind of the the sigma we used to call the $64,000 question

02:53Which is can she continue to surf up or is she going to hit a ceiling here having brought back together?

02:59What was the core Biden vote?

03:01You know that kind of runs out with a lot of people who are unhappy with their economy unhappy with the Biden administration

03:08and and what had happened was that that they had fallen well below that ceiling because

03:14So many people thought Biden did such a bad job in the debate. So many Democrats had already defected

03:20The easy votes have come back. Does it become much harder for her to gain points beyond that?

03:26I think it does become much harder for her to gain points, but she does have these several very favorable

03:34Events here including her convention the lack of any serious questioning

03:39Of her, you know the good social media

03:41I think campaign that they've been able to put into into effect here that may raise this but every single point here

03:48it's going to be a very very difficult point to get because the rest of these voters have been

03:54Even if they say they might change their mind have been pretty dug in for quite some time

The Favorable Events Kamala Harris Has In Her Favor: Mark Penn Explains

Category

Transcript

Recommended