Analisis Saham Pilihan: PNLF, UNTR, BBRI, PTPP
"Saksikan tayangan kami Official Youtube IDX Channel di Program Power Breakfast, Jumat (30/08/2024) dengan Tema Analisis Saham Pilihan: PNLF, UNTR, BBRI, PTPP."
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00:00Thank you for joining us. We will continue our discussion with Mrs. Sulis Tina Primasuci, Head of Investor Relations and Chief of Security.
00:13Let's continue, Mrs. Sulis.
00:15You said that the optimism regarding the closure of The Fed, or the Central American Bank in September is still solid.
00:22It seems that it also drives the global stock market. Many have recorded the highest closing record, including the index of joint stock prices.
00:30So, what should be done if The Fed really cuts the flow rate?
00:36There is still time until September, up to the date H for example.
00:40For those who do not yet have a stock investment portfolio, can you still add a position or what should it be like?
00:46What opportunities can be used in the short term?
00:50Okay, until the announcement at the end of September.
00:53Maybe investors can take advantage of the opportunity, especially from the long-term investment side.
01:01You may be able to observe from the sector that is positively affected by the decrease in the flow rate.
01:07For example, in the banking sector, if we look at the pullback throughout 2024, it is quite corrected, especially in the BBRI and BBNI.
01:18Maybe you can see from the cheapest valuation that there can be an accumulation.
01:24Because there will be a potential improvement in the performance, even though it is still not too positive from the BBRI and others.
01:35But maybe you can start the accumulation for the long term.
01:38Because the most significant or the most sensitive impact with the closure of the flow rate is banking.
01:46And the impact is positive, right?
01:48Correct.
01:49Okay, let's look at the recommendation of the next list.
01:53Is there a Pemirsa Banking?
01:55Some of the recommendations are summarized in the graph.
01:58Among them, there is PNLF, recommended by.
02:02Then in the Pemirsa portfolio, there is UNTR by, there is BBRI by.
02:06And there is PTPP, which is also recommended by.
02:09With levels that become support and resistance, we will review one by one.
02:15Let's go to the BBRI first.
02:17What is interesting about the BBRI stock?
02:22If we look at the trend, since mid-June, there has been a positive signal.
02:31Where the trend has formed a higher low, where the short-term trend has been bullish.
02:37There is also a positive signal.
02:39And currently, it is supported by MA200, which is also crucial.
02:44So if it is able to survive, there is a signal for a rebound potential.
02:47Then also from the performance side, the BBRI, although the pressure from the off-cost credit in July,
02:55but it is still quite positive, because it managed to record a high.
03:00So it is still recommended by, with a target of 5,400.
03:05The target is 5,400, my dear.
03:07With a stop-loss at 5,000, right?
03:11Correct.
03:12Okay.
03:13It turns out that there is also a stop-loss for the bank.
03:17Yes, from the position of the bank, if it breaks down to level 5,000,
03:22there is also a negative signal for the short-term.
03:24So it still has to be limited to the risk.
03:27It still has to be limited to the risk, even though it is a blue-chip bank, like the BBRI.
03:33Okay.
03:345,125, by current price?
03:37You can try to wait at the level of 5,100 to 5,050 for the buy-on weakness.
03:42Because the level of support EMA200 is currently at the level of around 5,080.
03:48So close to 5,100, 5,050 can still be for buy-on weakness.
03:52What are the advantages of the BRI compared to other blue-chip banks?
03:57For example, BCA or maybe Mandiri.
04:00Why do you only include, maybe you recommend other banking emittance,
04:06but if you are told to choose four, only the BBRI that you recommend?
04:11Okay.
04:12Because I see from the valuation, which is still interesting,
04:16from the point of view of the company that still records the interest,
04:19and also the stagnation of the BBRI interest rate throughout 2024,
04:26because it is from an external factor, not from an internal company.
04:30So from the valuation side, it is still interesting.
04:32And if we look at other banks, such as BBCA, BBRI,
04:36from the price and valuation side, it is quite expensive.
04:39So I see it is still interesting from the valuation side,
04:42and from the technical side, it is still in the BBRI.
04:45Okay. So in terms of valuation, there is something interesting,
04:47we see the movement of the current price,
04:49but it turns out that the valuation is also quite high.
04:53So the opportunity to increase may be somewhat limited.
04:56Okay, that's it for BBRI.
04:58Let's move on to your next recommendation, which is PNLF.
05:02Yes, PNLF is indeed a sentiment group that was quite popular yesterday,
05:07which is the Panin Compact Group,
05:10such as PNBN, PNIN, PNLF, CEFIN.
05:13This is also a trigger for today,
05:16there may be a continuation of strengthening for trading buy or swing friends.
05:22So it's short-term for PNLF to take advantage of the euphoria that is happening in this group, right?
05:28Correct.
05:29Okay, you said there is a chance to 4.70 with a surplus of 4.28.
05:33Indeed, the range is short because it is only for trading.
05:37Correct.
05:38Take advantage of the swing.
05:39Okay, if you like short-term, you can look at PNLF.
05:43UNTR?
05:45Okay, UNTR is indeed in terms of trend,
05:48it has been an uptrend for investors since June.
05:53And if we look at it, it has been able to break out to the level of strong resistance of 26,000.
05:58There is also an interim dividend signal that will be distributed in October,
06:06which can be seen from the history.
06:08So by October, maybe you, the dividend hunters, can pay attention to the accumulation in UNTR
06:15with the closest target to the level of 28,000.
06:1928,000 is the closest target?
06:21Yes, 28,500.
06:22Suitable for you who are a dividend hunter.
06:24In the last month, it has strengthened by 6%.
06:27In the last week, 1.5%.
06:29There is still a chance in UNTR, at least up to 28,500.
06:34The risk limit is 26,900.
06:37Correct.
06:38Okay, from the last UNTR, PTPP.
06:42Construction.
06:44Yes, PTPP from the construction sector,
06:46which if the Fed really cuts the flow rate,
06:50it will certainly be a fresh wind for the construction sector.
06:54This will also be positive later.
06:57It can be seen from the short term, it has formed a higher low,
07:00there is an uptrend signal, investors can pay attention.
07:03So for the PTPP target, it is at level 470 with a risk limit at level 434.
07:11It tends to be short first, right?
07:13Yes, to be short first, while waiting for the decision of the flow rate.
07:17Okay, this may be more speculative first, right?
07:21Yes.
07:22If the flow rate is really cut, even though it is only 25 basis points,
07:26can it be increased?
07:30For now, yes, with the position between the construction sector,
07:36this is indeed a PTPP that still records the interest,
07:38so friends may be able to add positions.
07:42Okay, how far is the correlation between the construction sector
07:45and the flow rate of the Central American Bank?
07:49Yes, the correlation is quite large, because in addition to the banking sector,
07:53the property sector and the construction sector are also waiting
07:57for the level of the flow rate to be lowered.
08:00Because if you look at the last year, with a high flow rate,
08:05the trend is still negative.
08:08So if we look at the decrease in the flow rate,
08:12it will certainly be positive for the construction sector, property, and banks.
08:16Okay, because maybe there is also funding from the banks, right?
08:19Yes.
08:20You mentioned banking, earlier there was a representative from the BBRI.
08:23You mentioned the positive impact, maybe from the flow rate cut,
08:27there is also construction, the PTPP earlier represented.
08:30If property, why don't you include property?
08:33Is the valuation already high, or is there another reason?
08:37Okay, from the property side, actually you can still notice
08:43that it is between the CTRA and the BSDE.
08:46But if I look at it, we also try to compare it with the technical,
08:51this CTRA is already close to the area resistant trend channel,
08:55so it is still waiting for buy-on weakness.
08:58Because looking at the sentiment that was just announced yesterday
09:01regarding the PPN-DTP 100% incentive will be implemented until December 2024,
09:07the stock has been rallied first, so it has been appreciated first,
09:12so it is still waiting for the buy-on weakness.
09:14Waiting for the buy-on weakness for the CTRA.
09:17Is the BSDE the same?
09:19Yes, that's right.
09:20The BSDE is also the same, because it has been rallied first,
09:23due to the sentiment of the PPN-DTP 100% incentive,
09:26plus the flower-type optimism incentive,
09:29that's why the rally is significant.
09:31If you pick it up at a higher price,
09:33I'm afraid there is a profit-taking action that makes us not gain, but lose.
09:39So there is a strategy, it doesn't have to be chased at the current price, like that.
09:45For example, CTRA.
09:46This morning, the trading opening was down by 1%,
09:49how much can we buy?
09:53Okay, for the short-term, CTRA may be able to wait at level 1,300.
09:581,300, okay.
10:00That's it for the analysis for CTRA.
10:02A little more.
10:03Okay, that's the recommendation for the election.
10:05And it's time to show the poll for more than one minute.
10:07Pemirsa, the price index of joint stocks this morning,
10:09maybe we can also see it on the screen.
10:11The opening of Pemirsa, where the IHSG strengthens 0.35% to 7,651.
10:19Indeed, it is still far from the level that was achieved in the trading yesterday,
10:22Pemirsa, at 7,700.
10:24However, the positive signal this morning,
10:26at the end of the week, it rose 23 points,
10:29accompanied by the value of Pemirsa's Rupiah exchange,
10:32which strengthens a thin, stagnant trend, only 0.01%,
10:3515,409 against the US dollar.
10:39And we will present later,
10:41a complete update on the stock that became gainers,
10:43and also losers based on value this morning.
10:45Don't miss it.
10:46Stay with us, Pemirsa, in the marketbuzz segment.
10:50Thank you for being with us again, Pemirsa.
10:52But, Pemirsa, as we have shown earlier,
10:55the opening of the IHSG trading this morning,
10:57strengthened 0.30 August 2024,
11:00at the end of the week,
11:02and followed by a strong trend,
11:03which became gainers based on value,
11:04and also losers based on value.
11:06Again, the brand or baritone renewable energy,
11:08TBK Pemirsa,
11:10rose 2% this morning at 10,650,
11:13led by PTRO or Petrosi,
11:1613,100 rose 8%.
11:18ABMM or ABM Invest Salma,
11:20strengthened 3,36%.
11:23Then Barito Pacific Pemirsa,
11:251,32%.
11:27In the construction sector,
11:28there is WIJAYA Karya,
11:29which strengthened 2%.
11:31Then GEMS,
11:32PANI, CUAN or PETRINDO,
11:34JAYA KREASI rose 2,65%.
11:36Film, GJTL.
11:38The losers of Pemirsa are UNTR,
11:40or United Tractor,
11:41which weakened almost 1,5%.
11:44Then there is BICAP,
11:46MNC Capital Indonesia,
11:48MEJA, GULA, ASPI,
11:50INET, SMRA, ICBP, CTRA,
11:53and a few other stocks.
11:55As you can see in your RTI data.
11:59That's Pemirsa,
12:00the trading opening update.
12:02Let's talk again with Ms. Sulis.
12:04Ms. Sulis, PTRO brand is dominating again.
12:09What's interesting about this stock?
12:12Can it still be bought?
12:14Or what's your strategy?
12:17If you look at the brand,
12:19it's still from the sentiment group.
12:22The euphoria is quite high.
12:24The sentiment group is strong
12:26because it just entered the FTSE index.
12:30Which will be rebalancing on September 6th.
12:33So for now,
12:35the momentum can be used in the short term
12:37until the rebalancing later.
12:40There is still a chance
12:42to continue the rebalancing.
12:44Because today, it's rebalancing again.
12:48So for those who are looking for a short term investment,
12:53this brand is one of the choices.
12:55Other than PNLF, right?
12:57Yes, that's right.
12:58Because if we look at the long term,
13:00from the valuation,
13:02Sam Sam, Prajogo,
13:04PTRO, PIA, and others,
13:06from the valuation, it's already very expensive.
13:09So for the long term, it's a bit worrisome.
13:12So we still take advantage of the momentum.
13:15If we look at PTRO, how is it?
13:19PTRO, where today it's back to 8%,
13:25it already recorded the all-time high level again.
13:29So right now, the trend is already moving in a rally.
13:33So as long as the trend is still up,
13:35you can still follow it.
13:37So if you are worried about profit taking,
13:39it's already far from the average price of the broker summary.
13:43So maybe you can immediately monitor the profit taking.
13:47Okay, maybe we can also see from the trading opening screen this morning.
13:51We saw WIKA there.
13:53For the time being, it is more recommending PTPP.
13:55WIKA entered the top gainers based on value
13:58in the early minutes of this morning's trading opening.
14:01Its strength is 1.79% at 342.
14:04What's interesting, Sam WIKA?
14:07Okay, if we look at WIKA,
14:10after a long suspension in December,
14:14it's moving again.
14:16But right now it's still consolidating
14:18in the resistance area at 3.80.
14:21So as long as it hasn't broken out 3.80,
14:23I still recommend to wait and see first
14:26while waiting.
14:28Because on the part of the company's performance,
14:30it still notes the losses.
14:32So I'm worried that there will be a weakness in the performance again.
14:36Okay, that's it.
14:38For WIKA, if it's construction,
14:40you still prefer PTPP, right?
14:45Yes, for the construction sector.
14:47Maybe it's starting to show up in the trading opening this morning.
14:50Maybe there's an interesting stock,
14:53or your attention,
14:55or what is the opening like, or IHSG?
14:59Okay, for today,
15:01the strength is limited from IHSG.
15:05So for now,
15:07I see it's still in the Projogo Group stocks,
15:11such as Dibren, PTRO, Tepia, and also BRPT.
15:15You can still monitor
15:17for the first phase trade today.
15:20Okay, more to short-term trading.
15:24A little bit about ABMM.
15:26If I'm not mistaken, ABMM was weak yesterday,
15:28now it's in the top gainers,
15:30top five frequency.
15:32What's interesting about that?
15:34For ABMM?
15:36Yes, ABMM,
15:38one of the METEN Batubara too,
15:41whose movement is quite significant
15:43in the last two days.
15:46So for now, it's still interesting
15:48for you to follow the momentum.
15:51In the short term,
15:52it can still try to test the 5,000 resistance level.
15:56So you can still follow
15:58as long as it's still above the 4,500 level,
16:03for ABMM.
16:05Okay, just a brief tip for investors
16:08at the end of the week,
16:10how to invest in the capital market?
16:13Okay, for tips for investors
16:15to invest in the capital market,
16:17especially for the long term,
16:22you have to keep looking
16:24from the perspective of the company's business,
16:27how is the performance
16:29over the past few years,
16:31and determine the entry
16:33based on the best level of the price,
16:37looking from the technical side.
16:39So there are two analysis that need to be compared,
16:43from the fundamental and technical,
16:45except for friends who are traders,
16:47or daily,
16:49you can enter the entire stock market,
16:51but still limit the level of the risk.
16:53Okay, thank you, Ms. Suli,
16:56for sharing the information,
16:57the recommendation this morning.
16:59But we remind you again,
17:01investors, the decision to invest,
17:03is entirely up to you.
17:05Happy weekend, Ms. Suli,
17:08see you again.
17:10Thank you, good morning.
17:12Good morning.