• 2 months ago
Transcript
00:00Where do you kind of lie when it comes to, as far as just when you really, really like
00:08a game?
00:09It really all depends on the spot.
00:12Usually in NFL, if you're looking at a side or a total for a full game, if you see something
00:17that you think is way off, again, typically you're the one that's, that's mistaken because
00:21you just don't get massive errors in the NFL.
00:24So for the most part, for full games, sides and totals, it's very consistent.
00:30It's a standard bet amount.
00:31Anything that I'll do in media rarely is significantly stronger or weaker than things that were given
00:37out in the past.
00:38Now, when you get into more of the prop markets or secondary derivatives, you can find things
00:44that have a pretty big variance and that's standard, not just through NFL, but for every
00:49sport too.
00:50And so in some circumstances you can look at those and say, this is way off because
00:55a guy was injured and they got the depth chart wrong on this, or they're mispricing the usage
01:00for this third string wide receiver, who's now going to be the second string.
01:04A lot of times in play as well.
01:07Something that's typically missed by sports books is if a team is trailing and you're
01:12looking at in play props, the second string or third string running back is typically
01:17used in the passing game more than the starter is.
01:20And so if a team is trailing by two plus scores and they're trying to pick up the tempo, they'll
01:26bring the passing game back in and that guy may often be priced a little bit shorter.
01:30There's a lot of things like that.
01:31Like the backup would be getting a lot of pass plays.
01:36Yep, exactly.
01:38Lots of situational things like that tend to be missed.
01:42And that's where you're like, okay, I want to get as much as I can on, on this.
01:46And then it becomes like, what are you limited to by the sports book?
01:48So it really depends on the circumstance, but in an ideal world, you could just bet
01:54the same amount of money on everything and we'd all be pretty happy, but that's just
01:58not, that's not reality.

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