BetQL betting experts weigh in on where you should place your money on tonight's NFL game
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00:00Welcome to the BetQL Daily Boost.
00:05I'm Lucy Burge of BetQL and I'm joined by Matt Horner and we have a Thursday Night Football
00:11Odds Boost for all of you today for Bills and Dolphins.
00:14This is on Tyreek Hill to have over seven and a half receptions and a touchdown boosted
00:19to plus 275 at Caesars.
00:20What do you think of this one, Matt?
00:23Yeah, I don't mind this at all.
00:25I think we might see a higher scoring game and that is due to the fact that everybody,
00:30once again I gave this explanation for the 49ers and the Jets, everybody is betting the
00:34under in this game.
00:35At least according to the latest betting splits, 64% of the bets and 79% of the money is on
00:42the under in this game.
00:43So I think it's going to be a lower scoring game.
00:46I think it could be higher scoring.
00:47So yeah, if you want to give me this type of odds for Tyreek, I'll sprinkle that.
00:52Love that.
00:53So if you want to get this Odds Boost plus 275 at Caesars and take advantage of our offer
00:57from BetMGM, bet $10, get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if your first bet does not hit
01:04by entering code Lucy when you sign up for a new BetMGM account now and head to BetQL.com
01:10and check out our exclusive sports book offers there as well, but also Odyssey.com slash
01:14BetQL for everything that you need to bet on Thursday Night Football and everything
01:18else the NFL season.
01:20So get in on that as well at Odyssey.com slash BetQL and of course, follow us on Twitter
01:25at sharp underscore side underscore and at Lucille Burge favorite bets for today.
01:30I'm sticking with Thursday Night Football and I am taking the Dolphins money line after
01:35a great careful consideration, I just went back and forth and I actually typed out analysis
01:40for like Bill's money and I was like, no, no, no.
01:43My gut is moving toward Dolphins money line because Josh Allen is 10 and two straight
01:48up in his career against the Dolphins, but he's got this hand injury that it could be
01:54worse than they're letting on.
01:57It could be better than they're letting on.
01:59I just, it's too much of a question in my mind to think that maybe it could be, it could
02:04irritate him throughout the game.
02:06It can be an annoyance.
02:07It could hinder his performance.
02:09This game also will be in Miami.
02:11The Miami heat can be brutal.
02:13The humidity can be brutal.
02:14The bills do are, they are used to playing in Buffalo where the humidity and heat aren't
02:19so much of a factor generally.
02:22And so I think that favors Miami in this situation.
02:24And last week, two is still through for 338 yards against the Jaguars.
02:28They almost didn't win that game, but that he's still through for many, many yards.
02:34So I think that a lot of factors led me to take Dolphins money line in this.
02:41There you go.
02:42Sometimes you just got that gut feeling.
02:43It just happens.
02:44And a lot of times, Hey, you can come up with the win.
02:47Uh, I am going to go, like I just said, I'm going to take the over in this game mostly
02:51because when I do my betting, especially for football, I bet numbers and I don't bet teams
02:57or players.
02:58It's when it comes to football, I just love fading the public and everybody loves the
03:03under in this game.
03:04At least according to the latest betting splits, haven't got any updated splits this morning.
03:08Of course, I want to get some closer to game time to see where the money and the tickets
03:12are going.
03:13But the latest splits are telling me the over is going to be the move 64% of the bed, 79%
03:17of the money on the under, as I just said, uh, in the first segment there, take a look
03:21at the spread and the money line for this game, the spread.
03:25Everybody seems to be on the dolphins on the spread 55% of the bets, 65% of the money or
03:31on the dolphin spread, but on the money line, it's a different story.
03:34Very weird.
03:3565% of the bets and 56% of the money is on the bills as a slight underdog.
03:40So what that tells me at least leads me to believe is that the sports books, they're
03:44going to want the bills to cover this game, but they're going to want the dolphins to
03:47win the game, which is good news for you, obviously with the, uh, with the dolphins
03:50money line there.
03:51Uh, so what I like to do in these situations is I like to bet one, I'll bet the over just
03:56as a straight bet, but when you have one side favoring the spread and one side favoring
04:01the money line, I'll probably, if, if things stay lined up this way, I'll do what I did
04:06with the chiefs and the Ravens, I'll put dolphins money line, and then I'll add a teaser
04:11for the Buffalo bills up to eight and a half, or if it gets to three up to nine.
04:15Uh, so I'll have bills plus nine and the dolphins money line in a teaser play, uh, which gives
04:20me a lot of good value there.
04:22That'll probably be like plus one 50 plus one 60 or so.
04:25And it's exactly what the sports books might need for the game.
04:27So I'll probably have something like that.
04:29And I'll probably bet the over for this game.
04:31I like that a lot.
04:32And instead of the spread, I looked at this, I thought the dolphins could win by one still.
04:36So money line just feels like the way to go for me.
04:38So that this look at all of this very much in sync, uh, for today for the sods boost
04:43and all of our, our bets for today, which is very exciting Thursday night football.
04:47I'm excited for this game to powerhouses in the AFC East going at it.
04:52So very, uh, interesting stuff going on here.
04:54So get in on the Zod's boost plus two 75 at Caesars and subscribe to the Beck QL daily
04:59boost wherever you get.
05:00Your podcast.