BetQL betting experts weigh in on where you should place your money on the upcoming NFL games
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00:00Welcome to the BetQL Daily Boost.
00:06I'm Lucy Burge of BetQL and I am joined by Kate Constable and Matt Horner and we have
00:11a Monday Night Football odds boost for all of you today on Lamar Jackson and Baker Mayfield
00:16to each have over 224 and a half passing yards boosted to plus 150 at Caesars.
00:22What do we think of this one?
00:24I really like this one actually because I'm on some Baker Mayfield props this afternoon
00:29or this evening because of how terrible that the Ravens pass defense is.
00:35Their run defense, best in the league.
00:37They can stop the run, they cannot stop the pass.
00:40So I think Baker's just going to have a huge game through the air.
00:44He's going to be able to kind of throw all over this defense.
00:48He's coming off a game of 325 yards against the Saints, not that that necessarily will
00:52correlate to a high yardage game against this Ravens team just because of what he did last
00:57week.
00:58But the Ravens defense has allowed teams to throw quite a bit on them and then Lamar Jackson
01:03as well.
01:04I mean, his last two games against four defenses in the Bengals and the Commanders, he's thrown
01:09for over 320 yards.
01:11And if you look at the, excuse me, the Bucs defense, 29th in pass defense.
01:17So they're also, they're giving up 252 yards through the air.
01:20The Ravens are 31st in pass defense, 275 yards through the air.
01:24So I think both of these quarterbacks are going to be able to, as much as Lamar Jackson's
01:30great at using his legs, I think the ball is going to be traveling quite a bit through
01:33the air today.
01:34And so I like this boost, Matt.
01:37Yeah.
01:38You pretty much said it all there.
01:39Both of these defenses are worse against the pass than they are the run.
01:43And that usually correlates to more passing yards being racked up.
01:46And I hardly have anything to add to that.
01:48So as I always say, with these boosts, quarter unit, half unit, I wouldn't mind it, especially
01:52against these defenses.
01:54Exactly.
01:55And why not?
01:56But yes, especially against these defenses, this is a very good boost.
02:00Plus 150 at Caesars.
02:01Get in on this and take advantage of our offer from BetMGM.
02:04Bet $10.
02:05Get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if your first bet does not hit by entering code Lucy
02:11when you sign up for a new BetMGM account now and head to betql.com or odyssey.com slash
02:16betql for everything you need to bet on this game and every NFL game this season, everything
02:22and the World Series and NBA, which is coming up.
02:25So everything you need to bet on everything all the time, odyssey.com slash betql.
02:30And of course, follow us on Twitter at Kate Constable at sharp underscore side underscore
02:34and at Lucille Burge, we have our favorite bets for today as well.
02:39And football is really the only thing going.
02:40So I am going football Buccaneers plus three and a half against the Ravens is what I'm
02:45taking in this game.
02:46Buccaneers are the underdog at home on a Monday night, which is a great spot for them, I think,
02:51cover the Ravens are 31st in the league in passing defense.
02:55Buccaneers are right behind only the Lions in scoring with 29.7 points per game.
03:00Baker Mayfield is averaging 248.2 passing yards per game, 70.9% completion percentage.
03:07So I like the Buccaneers here as a kind of under the radar, really good team to cover
03:13against another really good team in the Ravens plus three.
03:16Yeah, the Bucs don't feel like they're getting quite as much respect as they deserve because
03:22it's Baker Mayfield, right?
03:23Is he really that good?
03:24Well, he really has been that good this year.
03:26So I like that, Lucy, I would be on that side as well if I were to bet aside, I'm going
03:30to take Baker Mayfield over his passing completions number, which is 23 and a half.
03:36Like I mentioned, with this boost, I think he's going to be able to throw all over this
03:39Ravens defense.
03:40That's really poor against the pass in his last three of his last four games, he's gone
03:44over this mark.
03:45And I mean, just barely in a couple of them, but he's still reaching this mark against
03:49a poor passing defense and the Ravens have given up at least in their last, I mean, 30
03:54completions to Joe Burrow, 25, 24, actually, so just barely getting over this to Jane Daniels.
04:01So opposing quarterbacks are throwing all over him.
04:05I mean, 35 attempts for Jane Daniels, 39 for Joe Burrow.
04:09So I think the attempts will be there.
04:10He's got a great receiving core, Mike Evans is likely going to be playing tonight.
04:14Chris Godwin has been awesome this year.
04:16So I like Baker Mayfield over 23 and a half completions.
04:19There you go.
04:21Love that.
04:22We have another one of the double headers tonight, the Monday Night Football, which
04:25I hate.
04:26I can't stand them when they have these double headers.
04:27It just, I want to be able to watch the game and not have to switch channels back and forth
04:32or picture and picture and all that junk.
04:34My bets tonight, going with the Buccaneers plus three and a half.
04:37Sharps hit this, it opened four and a half and immediately got bet.
04:40Now it's down to three and a half.
04:42That's despite 59% of the cash in this game being on the Ravens.
04:45Obviously the public is going to be on Baltimore because they have Lamar Jackson.
04:49People still don't entirely trust Baker Mayfield.
04:51That's the obvious sharp play is going to be Tampa Bay.
04:54The under 15 and a half, also the sharp play here, a whopping 74% of the cash in this game
04:59is on the over to hit.
05:01As we just talked about, both these defenses looked, they've looked terrible pretty much
05:05most of this year.
05:07The Saints racked up points against Tampa Bay last week.
05:09The Ravens defense has not been as great as it has been.
05:12So people are betting the over.
05:13I'm going to take the under at 15 and a half.
05:15I think that's too many points.
05:16In the other game, just a quick synopsis here.
05:1857% of the cash is actually on the underdog Cardinals tonight against the Los Angeles
05:23Chargers.
05:24And then everybody is betting the over.
05:26It's only 44 and a half.
05:28It's a lower total.
05:2980% of the cash is on the over.
05:31So in that game, it's looking like I'm going to be on the Chargers and the under.
05:35And those are the betting splits.
05:37Those are my bets.
05:38Tampa Bay, the under and the Chargers and the under in the other game.
05:41I like that.
05:42What they should do is have it back to back.
05:44Have one game start at like five and one game start at like eight or start three hours apart.
05:49Like I don't, I don't get it.
05:50Or you know what would be really insane?
05:51Manning cast of both games so that you're watching two games, but you're not even watching
05:56them.
05:57You're listening to them talk about two games.
05:58You can't even watch either one.
05:59So I think that would be interesting as well.
06:01So just some ideas, you know, for the NFL going forward, it was just, I was just like,
06:04oh, that would be really fun for thought.
06:06Yeah.
06:07At the NFL who's, you know, listening to this and like, oh yeah, that's a good idea.
06:12Change.
06:13Yeah.
06:14Change the double header times or, you know, their broadcast schedule.
06:15So just an idea.
06:17Get in on that and the odds booze plus 150 at Caesars and our bets and subscribe to the
06:22BetQL daily boosts wherever you get.