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00:00we've been dancing around this game all day if I don't want to bet the side in
00:09this game I like Jonathan Taylor score a touchdown plus 120 I mean that's really
00:14where I'm confident in this matchup he's got a six game touchdown streak that I
00:17think he can extend here easily against the team that allowed Saquon Barkley to
00:21become the offensive player the year favorite in one performance but if you
00:24made me bet this game I'd have to fade a Malik Willis who does not look like an
00:31NFL level quarterback Donnie in any capacity we can't outsmart ourselves
00:35that's rule number one whenever you want to handicap a game whenever you're
00:38trying to attack a side you take a look and say to yourself let's keep it simple
00:42Anthony Richardson yes you see the guy last week nine completions but someone
00:46with some of the best completions you ever see we know there's gonna be
00:48inaccuracy but still you could say he's a starting quarterback in this league
00:52there's a lot of potential there Malik Willis went from the best pro that we've
00:55ever saw he'll go top two to going to the third round now apparently can't
00:59play at all and then you have a team like the Green Bay Packers that makes a
01:01trade for then goes now we got to start this kid and we're still gonna be
01:04probably looking around you look at the line itself Green Bay is not getting
01:08three and a half six and a half seven eight points we say manage your back
01:11keep it close you're looking at a two and a half point number for Indianapolis
01:14where you're telling yourself Green Bay has to win this game if Jordan Love was
01:18in this game you would love Green Bay and of course Green Bay would be laying
01:21the points not getting the points it's simple for me there is no way out there
01:25you can take Malik Willis and just say I like the head coach Matt LaFleur
01:28because I do they have talent around him I understand that but it takes a
01:32quarterback to get them the football I don't trust him to get them the football
01:36guys I like Green Bay here I think it's a lower scoring game if Jordan Love
01:40plays in this this is probably what 45 and a half 46 in regards to the total
01:44yeah oh yeah 41 and a half total I think it's a dead under I think it's a
01:49heavy dose of Josh Jacobs his number today is very low 64 and a half I think
01:53he could break out you saw the success that he had against Philadelphia and
01:57again I still like Jonathan Taylor as well I think both teams will look to run
02:01the football this is a manageable game for the Colts on the road they feel like
02:05they can win it let's be conservative not turn the football over that's why I
02:09lean to the under but I'll say this if you're gonna back Malik Willis in any
02:12capacity 29 and a half in terms of the RPO rush that's a look as well I think
02:17yeah I I get it I just can't I look he's only started three games I think
02:22I've bet him every game he's ever started in terms of props because they
02:25they all seem so low I just I cannot like honestly look what is the game
02:29plan for the green I know you said like run the wild or do we just say we're
02:33gonna hold on to the reins until it's the fourth quarter you know and maybe we
02:37have a chance to win you mentioned we mentioned the inactive reports and yeah
02:40Jaden Reed's playing if there's a rushing number on Reed yeah I would look
02:46that way because they're gonna kind of have to get him involved a little bit