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00:00We'll get to the explosive playmakers for Miami in just a moment.
00:07What do you make of Buffalo tonight, assuming the health of the Bills is in a better spot
00:12than Miami, at least the non-left throwing hand of Josh Allen, not expected to factor
00:17in this evening.
00:19I do like over two touchdown passes here for Josh Allen.
00:23I think it makes a lot of sense.
00:24And again, we're looking at a total around 50.
00:25We're expecting points.
00:26Both teams probably score at least three touchdowns.
00:28So that is a good look here.
00:29But also last week, Ben, my best bet on the pro football today show on Sunday was Josh
00:34Allen to throw more than one and a half touchdown passes, which again, it's two.
00:37And he got that.
00:38We know the basis for that for me, Ben.
00:40It wasn't at the wide receiving court.
00:41Like Shakir is OK.
00:42I get it.
00:43Coleman's a rookie coming in.
00:44Matt Collins is the third wide receiver.
00:45Now, Shakir and Hollins caught both of those touchdowns.
00:48But if you ask me for my breakdown, I actually thought the red zone targets would be really
00:51high for the tight ends.
00:52And at least one, if not two, touchdown passes could have been to the tight end.
00:56So if I still keep that same energy this week and say it's a wide receiving court that
01:00I'm not all in love with just yet, I always like the two options at tight end.
01:04So if you're looking at Kincaid, that number should increase tonight.
01:07Those red zone targets should be there.
01:09He should be more active in the game plan.
01:11So I do agree with you.
01:12Well, Keon Coleman, a couple of catches last week, but it's still hard, Ben, to trust a
01:16rookie this early in his career.
01:17Khalil Shakir down the stretch last year, excuse me, one of my favorite wide ups for
01:21the Buffalo Bills.
01:22But I do agree.
01:23Dalton Kincaid should be the lead dog here.
01:25And I'm looking for red zone targets with a legitimate chance to catch a touchdown.
01:29Khalil Shakir right at this number last week, 42 yards on three grabs, only three targets.
01:36I will say though, DRS, over this number of 40 and a half in nine of the final 14 for
01:42Buffalo a season ago, including the two playoff games, having 44 in the division around against
01:48Kansas City.
01:49The reason you bring that up is because it's a new look roster for Buffalo on both sides
01:53of the football.
01:54But for Josh Allen, it might take a little bit of time, at least for Keon Coleman, despite
01:59being the leading receiver or Mack Hollins.
02:02Despite catching a touchdown last week, Khalil Shakir is really the guy that remains from
02:06the Bills wide receiver core of a season ago.
02:10Of course, now we go to Miami, Tyreek Hill, seven grabs, 130 yards and a touchdown in
02:17week number one, despite being detained outside of the stadium in a scary situation prior
02:24to kick of the season opener, Jalen Waddle, also a big game as the Dolphins were moving
02:29it through the air in that second half.
02:31When you look at Miami, knowing that more than likely we're not going to see Raheem
02:35Mostert tonight and we're not exactly sure of the availability or if he will be even
02:40near 95 to 100% of Devon Achan, what do you make of Miami's skilled players on the outside?
02:47It's kind of hard to gauge because the one thing that you do like is yes, everybody wants
02:51to take Tyreek Hill every single week, touchdown prop each week.
02:54It probably makes a lot of sense to do that.
02:56But sometimes those numbers betting wise, right, 93 and a half.
03:00So if you just slightly round that up, it's basically a hundred yards.
03:03The anticipation.
03:04Do you think he can get there?
03:05Yes.
03:06But if you equate it to baseball, it's like, Hey, I got a great pitch from the mound, strikeout
03:08prop nine and a half.
03:10Well, he's actually got to get the 10 year.
03:12There could be a lot of factors to keep them under that.
03:14I usually love secondary options and maybe one of the best secondary options in the NFL
03:18is Jalen Waddle, 65 and a half, much more palatable, right?
03:21Hey, 25 yards.
03:22We're seeing it.
03:23They have, he can easily get that in the second half with one catch.
03:26And last week he did have one of those big catches.
03:28The same thing with Tyreek Hill.
03:30So tight ends for me completely out in Miami running backs too much up in the air tonight
03:34to take a guess and say, Hey, Jeff Wilson season only to see he gets three carries and
03:38maybe two catches out of the backfield.
03:40Not good enough.
03:41You are going to zero in on Tyreek Hill and Jalen Waddle already love to attack about
03:44lower over one and a half touchdown passes.
03:46So there, Ben, somebody has to catch at least two touchdown passes.
03:49It's probably coming from the wide receivers.
03:51So instead of the yards for Tyreek Hill, which he can get at 93 and a half, I'd much more
03:55likely go with a touchdown catch for Tyreek Hill in that situation.